Supra Quebec vs Forge FC: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Forge FC's superior league position, strong away form, and the must-win motivation in the title race (per intelligence) give them a clear edge over a mid-table Supra side that has struggled at home.
- Forge FC are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (9W-1D-1L), while Supra Quebec are 6th with 11 points from 9 games (3W-2D-4L).
- Forge FC have won 4 of 5 away games this season, conceding only 4 goals.
- Supra Quebec have lost 2 of 5 home games, with a negative goal difference at home (6 scored, 5 conceded).
- In the only H2H this season (May 13, 2026), Forge FC won 1-0 away, limiting Supra to 1 shot on target.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonForge FCEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Forge's consistency and Supra's inability to win regularly at home, a double chance covering Forge win or draw is highly probable, supported by Forge's only one loss all season.
- Forge FC have lost only 1 of 11 league games this season.
- Supra Quebec have won only 2 of 5 home games, with 2 losses.
- Forge FC's away record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss.
- The only H2H ended in a Forge win.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Forge FCEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring and a high frequency of half-time draws, especially in Forge's recent matches.
- Supra Quebec have been leading at half-time in only 30% of games, trailing in 10%.
- Forge FC have been leading at half-time in 27% of games, trailing in 13%.
- The only H2H was 0-0 at half-time.
- Forge FC's last 5 league games: 4 draws at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Forge's pattern of breaking deadlocks in the second half, combined with Supra's tendency for first-half draws, supports a Draw/Forge HT/FT double.
- Forge FC have won 4 of their last 5 league games, with 3 of those wins coming after a drawn first half.
- Supra Quebec have drawn at half-time in 4 of their last 9 games.
- The only H2H was 0-0 at half-time, with Forge winning 1-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Forge FCEstimated chance40%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Forge's defensive solidity (best in the league) and Supra's modest home scoring output suggest a low-scoring affair, reinforced by the 1-0 H2H result.
- Forge FC have conceded only 6 goals in 11 league games (0.55 per game), keeping 7 clean sheets.
- Supra Quebec average 1.6 goals scored per game but only 1.2 goals per game at home (6 in 5 games).
- The only H2H ended 1-0.
- Forge FC's last 5 league games: 4 wins with clean sheets, only 1 game over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Forge's strong defensive record and Supra's occasional home blanks, combined with the H2H evidence, make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Forge FC have kept clean sheets in 7 of 11 league games.
- Supra Quebec failed to score in 2 of 5 home games.
- In the only H2H, Supra did not score.
- Forge FC's away clean sheet rate: 3 clean sheets in 5 away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Forge's league-best defense and Supra's inconsistent home scoring support a reasonable chance of an away clean sheet.
- Forge FC have kept clean sheets in 7 of 11 league games (64%).
- Forge FC have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 away games.
- Supra Quebec have failed to score in 2 of 5 home games.
- The only H2H saw Forge keep a clean sheet against Supra.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSupra Quebec not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, especially Forge's stingy defense, making a goalless first half likely.
- Supra Quebec average 0.7 first-half goals per game, but only 0.4 first-half goals conceded.
- Forge FC average 0.4 first-half goals per game and concede only 0.2 first-half goals per game.
- In the only H2H, the first half ended 0-0.
- Forge FC's last 5 league games: 4 had 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and while the sum of averages is slightly above 9.5, the lack of H2H corner data and the low-scoring nature of the match suggest a cautious under pick.
- Supra Quebec average 5.7 corners per game, Forge FC average 5.0 corners per game.
- In the only H2H, corner data is unavailable, but both teams' averages sum to 10.7, slightly above 9.5.
- Forge FC's away games: corner data limited, but their overall average is moderate.
- Supra Quebec's home games: corner data limited, but their overall average is moderate.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have relatively low card counts, and the match lacks a heated rivalry, suggesting a low total cards outcome.
- Supra Quebec average 2.3 yellow cards per game, Forge FC average 1.2 yellow cards per game.
- Forge FC have received only 1 red card in 11 games, Supra 0 red cards.
- In the only H2H, card data is unavailable.
- Both teams' foul averages are moderate (Supra 12.3, Forge 12.0).
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Supra Quebec	9	3	2	4	13-14	11	LDWDL
1	Forge FC Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	11	9	1	1	18-6	28	WWWWL

Supra Quebec1Forge FC2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Forge FC

Draw or Forge FC

Draw

Under 0.5

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Supra Quebec

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Supra Quebec

Forge FC

Squad & Injuries

Supra Quebec

Forge FC