Draw
Market 26.7% · BetBugs 35%
Both sides are inconsistent and defensively vulnerable; HFX's home edge is offset by Supra's recent cup lift, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
Canadian Premier LeagueFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A tense playoff-line game likely to see both teams score and exceed 2.5 goals, with a draw the most probable result.
The best value is backing the draw at 3.75 (8% edge), while avoiding short-priced HFX-related markets like double chance and first-half winner.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 26.7% · BetBugs 35%
Both sides are inconsistent and defensively vulnerable; HFX's home edge is offset by Supra's recent cup lift, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 65%
Both sides consistently find the net but also concede regularly, making BTTS a strong likelihood.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 74.1%
HFX's home resilience and Supra's poor away form suggest the hosts are unlikely to lose, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18-21 | 16 |
| 7 | Supra Quebec | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15-21 | 11 |

