VeikkausliigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Ilves are strong at home and need points for a top-six push, but the only market with a positive edge is Ilves or Draw at 1.40 (72% model vs 71.4% implied).
Avoid over 2.5 goals, BTTS Yes, and first-half over 0.5, as all are priced below our estimated probabilities.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 71.4% · BetBugs 72%
Ilves are unbeaten in 7 of 9 home league matches (6W 1D) while VPS have failed to win 6 of 10 away, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, and recent H2H meetings have been high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%
Both sides have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H games have seen both teams find the net.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the price already reflects the directional read and the edge is negative.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  IlvesVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33-34 | 25 |
| 5 |  VPSPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28-21 | 30 |