IF Gnistan or Draw
Market 69% · BetBugs 75%
Gnistan's strong home form (5W-1D-3L) and Ilves' poor away record (1W-3D-6L) make the home side avoiding defeat highly likely.
VeikkausliigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Gnistan's strong home form and Ilves' poor away record make the double chance (Gnistan or Draw) the top value bet at 1.45 (75% model vs 69% implied).
For goal markets, Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.25 offers a +10.6-point edge, while Over 2.5 and BTTS are overpriced and should be avoided.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69% · BetBugs 75%
Gnistan's strong home form (5W-1D-3L) and Ilves' poor away record (1W-3D-6L) make the home side avoiding defeat highly likely.
Market 44.4% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to produce more goals after halftime, especially in Gnistan's home games.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%
Both teams' home/away splits show high-scoring tendencies, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 43% vs our 45% estimate leaves no meaningful edge; the price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | IF GnistanPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29-24 | 29 |
| 9 | IlvesVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31-31 | 25 |

