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RangersAberdeen

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:3031 Oct, 17:30

8Probabilities7Priced7Edges78%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

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Context last updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 · Europe/Bucharest

Rangers have won the last five meetings with Aberdeen, who have scored in four of six away matches.

Rangers should win, but the 1.4 on a home victory asks too much. The price that offers something is both teams to score: No at 1.91, backed by five Rangers home clean sheets in nine and Aberdeen's two blanks in six away games.

Context

Clear statistical separation: Rangers are 7W-1D-1L at home with five clean sheets in nine, while Aberdeen are 2W-1D-3L away and concede 1.67 per away game. No confirmed team news or availability information was supplied, so the reading rests on form alone.

One goal separated the sides that afternoon and Aberdeen's defence kept Rangers to a single strike. It is the tightest of the recent meetings, which is why a similar scoreline is easy to picture even with Rangers holding the stronger overall record. The fixture has rarely needed many clear chances to be settled.
- Aberdeen 0-1 Rangers, Premiership, 30 August 2026: Rangers won by a single goal.
- It was the most recent of the five meetings listed between the clubs.
Rangers score at better than two goals a game at home and concede roughly one every other match, with five clean sheets in those nine fixtures. The single defeat shows the record is strong rather than untouchable. Aberdeen's task is to find a way through a defence that has blanked five of nine home visitors.
- Rangers' home record to 24 October 2026 covers nine competitive matches: 7 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
- They have scored in all nine home matches, averaging 2.22 goals for and 0.56 against per game.
- Five of the nine home matches produced a clean sheet.
Aberdeen score at a fair rate on the road, but they concede more shots than they take and their 2.8 shots on target per away game is modest against 6.4 for opponents. Against a Rangers side that has scored in every competitive match, that shot differential is the number that matters most. One clean sheet in six away games leaves the defence under pressure.
- Aberdeen's six away competitive matches in 2026-27: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses.
- They average 1.83 goals for and 1.67 against per away match, with one clean sheet.
- Across five away matches with shot data they average 11.6 shots to opponents' 16.6, and 2.8 shots on target to 6.4.
It is the only previous League Cup tie in the sample and it shows Rangers producing a controlled knockout performance: one goal ahead at half-time, two more after the break, and almost no clear chances conceded. Celtic are a stiffer test than Aberdeen on paper, but a single match is thin evidence of a cup pattern. It sits alongside the league form rather than replacing it.
- Rangers 3-0 Celtic, League Cup, 13 September 2026 at home: 1-0 at half-time, 2-0 in the second half.
- Rangers recorded 8 shots on target to Celtic's 1, and 5 corners to 3.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerUncertainty band: Lean

Rangers

1.40fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 71.4%

−9.4ppshort

Rangers have the stronger home record and have dominated this fixture recently.

Double Chance First HalfUncertainty band: Strong lean

Rangers or Draw

1.10fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 90.9%

−12.9ppshort

Rangers' first-half home profile makes them likely to be level or ahead at the break.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Lean

Under 3.5

1.55fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%

−4.5ppshort

Rangers' home control and Aberdeen's modest scoring point to a moderate-scoring game.

Home Goals TotalUncertainty band: Lean

Rangers over 1.5

1.44fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 69.4%

−6.4ppshort

Rangers' home scoring rate and Aberdeen's away concessions make two goals a reasonable target.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.22fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 82%

−7.0ppshort

Both teams' home and away first-half profiles point to at least one goal before the break.

Corners Over/UnderUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 9.5

1.50fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 66.7%

−1.7ppshort

Both teams' corner profiles point to a combined count above nine.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result2 outcomes · top 78%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Rangers have the stronger home record and have dominated this fixture recently.
- Rangers are 10W-3D-2L in 15 competitive matches and 7W-1D-1L at home.
- They have scored in all 15 matches and average 1.93 goals per game.
- Aberdeen are 6W-2D-6L overall and have lost three of their last six.
- Rangers have won the last five meetings by an aggregate 13-2.
BetBugs · Match WinnerRangersMarket price1.40Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.10
The read
Rangers' first-half home profile makes them likely to be level or ahead at the break.
- Rangers average 1.0 first-half goal at home and concede 0.22.
- Aberdeen concede 1.17 first-half goals away and score 0.67.
- Rangers have lost only one home match all season.
- Aberdeen have lost three of six away matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfRangers or DrawMarket price1.10Estimated chance78%

Goals4 outcomes · top 75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Rangers' defense and the recent head-to-head pattern make an Aberdeen blank plausible.
- Rangers have kept five clean sheets in nine home matches and concede 0.56 per home game.
- Aberdeen failed to score in two of six away matches.
- Rangers kept clean sheets in four of the last five meetings.
- Aberdeen have scored only eight goals in 14 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoMarket price1.91Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Rangers' home control and Aberdeen's modest scoring point to a moderate-scoring game.
- Rangers home matches average 2.78 total goals (2.22 for, 0.56 against).
- Aberdeen's away matches average 3.5 total goals but they have scored only eight in 14 overall.
- Three of the last five meetings finished under 3.5 goals.
- Rangers have kept seven clean sheets in 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5Market price1.55Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Rangers' home scoring rate and Aberdeen's away concessions make two goals a reasonable target.
- Rangers average 2.22 goals per home match and scored in all nine home matches.
- Aberdeen concede 1.67 goals per away match.
- Rangers scored at least twice in four of the last five meetings.
- Rangers have scored three or more in three of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalRangers over 1.5Market price1.44Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams' home and away first-half profiles point to at least one goal before the break.
- Rangers average 1.0 first-half goal at home and concede 0.22.
- Aberdeen average 0.67 first-half goals away and concede 1.17.
- Aberdeen's away first halves average 1.84 total goals.
- Rangers scored in all nine home matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.22Estimated chance75%

Match stats2 outcomes · top 65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both teams' corner profiles point to a combined count above nine.
- Rangers home matches average 10.42 total corners (7.71 for, 2.71 against).
- Aberdeen away matches average 12.4 total corners (5.6 for, 6.8 against).
- Rangers average 6.54 corners overall; Aberdeen 6.42.
- Both teams have 12 or more corner samples.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 9.5Market price1.50Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' shot-on-target profiles suggest a total below ten and a half.
- Rangers average 9.92 total shots on target per match (6.38 for, 3.54 against).
- Aberdeen away matches average 9.2 total shots on target (2.8 for, 6.4 against).
- Aberdeen's recent matches stayed under 10.5 total shots on target in five of six.
- Both teams have 12 or more shots-on-target samples.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderUnder 10.5Estimated chance62%