Yeovil Town1Altrincham2

HT 1–0Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 12:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Yeovil's strong home record and back-to-back 1-0 wins over Altrincham make the home side the likelier winner, but Altrincham's away threat and the shared midweek cup workload keep it from being straightforward.

Yeovil to win at 2.05 and Yeovil to win or draw at 1.30 are the two prices worth considering; at least one first-half goal at 1.25 and both teams to score at 1.62 do not.

Context

McCormick's last Yeovil appearance came in September, so the loan formalises an absence the side had already absorbed rather than removing a player who would otherwise have faced Altrincham. The deal runs to 13 January 2027, closing any short-term route back for a midfielder who had scored six times before he dropped out. It also explains why the captaincy moved this week. The limitation is that Yeovil's recent scoring run, including six-goal league wins over Boston United and Wealdstone, was produced without him, so Altrincham's preparation does not face a new unknown.
- Luke McCormick joined AFC Fylde on loan until 13 January 2027 on 15 October.
- The midfielder scored six goals this season before missing matches, with the manager describing the absence in late September as an internal matter.
- AFC Fylde confirmed the loan arrival from Yeovil Town the same day.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Neither side had a free midweek to prepare specifically for this game, and both face another league fixture on Tuesday 27 October, so the workload is symmetrical rather than an edge for either club. The one asymmetry is logistics: Yeovil's replay was at home while Altrincham travelled to Manchester. Both ties were effectively settled by half-time, which allowed second-half changes, including Altrincham's introduction of returning players. The counterpoint is that shared congestion rarely separates two teams; it mainly raises the chance that both starting line-ups differ from the ones that played in the cup.
- Yeovil Town beat Leatherhead 5-2 in an FA Cup fourth-qualifying-round replay at Huish Park on 20 October.
- Altrincham won 6-2 at FC United of Manchester the same evening.
- Altrincham host Kidderminster Harriers at 7:45pm the following Tuesday, while Yeovil travel to Hornchurch.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Europe/Bucharest
The armband moved because Luke McCormick, Yeovil's captain earlier in the season, has not played since September and has since gone on loan to AFC Fylde. Handing it to McGavin, a central midfielder in his third season at Huish Park, points to him being the fixed point of the midfield that faces Altrincham rather than a stopgap appointment. Gubbins staying as vice-captain keeps a defender in the leadership group. It is a leadership change rather than a tactical one; Yeovil's shape and midfield personnel are unlikely to alter because of it.
- Brett McGavin became Yeovil Town captain on 22 October, with Joe Gubbins remaining vice-captain.
- McGavin is 26 and in his third season at the club, having joined from Torquay United in June 2024.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Europe/Bucharest
The tie sits a fortnight beyond this fixture, but it fixes Altrincham's calendar and puts a National League squad on free-to-air television for the first time in this run. That shapes how the next two weeks are managed and makes the side's selection at Huish Park worth watching, because a televised home cup tie against a League club is the kind of date a manager plans around. There is no sourced indication that players will be rested here; the connection is scheduling and profile rather than a confirmed rotation plan. Altrincham had lost only one of their previous six league matches before the cup break, so the starting XI has been stable.
- Altrincham host Notts County at the J Davidson Scrap Stadium in the FA Cup first round, with the tie broadcast live on BBC Sport and TNT Sports.
- First-round ties are scheduled for the weekend of 7 November.
- Altrincham reached the first round by beating FC United of Manchester 6-2 in a replay on 20 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Yeovil's home league form and recent head-to-head wins give them the stronger case.
- Yeovil's home league record is 4W-2D-1L with 19 goals for and 9 against in seven.
- Altrincham's away league record is 3W-0D-4L with 7 goals for and 12 against in seven.
- Yeovil won the last two meetings 1-0 and 1-0.
- Yeovil's overall competitive record is 8W-5D-2L in 15.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYeovil TownEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's home first-half scoring and Altrincham's low away first-half concession rate give the home side the stronger first-half case.
- Yeovil average 1.375 first-half goals for and 0.625 against in eight home matches.
- Altrincham average 0.75 first-half goals against in eight away matches.
- Yeovil average 0.33 first-half goals against in 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonYeovil TownEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's second-half scoring at home gives them the stronger second-half case.
- Yeovil average 1.625 second-half goals for and 0.75 against in eight home matches.
- Altrincham average 1.0 second-half goals against in eight away matches.
- Yeovil average 1.73 second-half goals for in 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostYeovil TownEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Yeovil's home league form and recent head-to-head wins give them the stronger case. Yeovil's draw habit and the recent head-to-head pattern keep a level result in view.
- Yeovil's home league record is 4W-2D-1L with 19 goals for and 9 against in seven.
- Altrincham's away league record is 3W-0D-4L with 7 goals for and 12 against in seven.
- Two of the last five meetings finished level.
- Yeovil have drawn 5 of 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostYeovil Town or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's home first-half scoring and Altrincham's low away first-half concession rate give the home side the stronger first-half case. Both teams have modest first-half concession rates, which keeps a level first half in view.
- Yeovil average 1.375 first-half goals for and 0.625 against in eight home matches.
- Altrincham average 0.75 first-half goals against in eight away matches.
- Yeovil concede 0.625 first-half goals per home match.
- Altrincham concede 0.75 first-half goals per away match.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonYeovil Town or DrawEstimated chance73%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Yeovil's home scoring and Altrincham's away concession rate point to a busy match.
- Yeovil's home league matches have produced 28 goals in seven.
- Altrincham's away league matches have produced 19 goals in seven.
- Yeovil average 3.0 scored and 1.375 conceded in eight home competitive matches.
- Altrincham average 1.625 scored and 1.75 conceded in eight away competitive matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both sides have shown enough scoring to make a mutual goal return the stronger case.
- Yeovil have scored in all 15 competitive matches and all eight home matches.
- Altrincham have scored in 12 of 15 competitive matches.
- Altrincham have both scored and conceded in 10 of 15 competitive matches.
- Yeovil's home matches have produced both teams scoring in 6 of 8.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams have scored first-half goals often enough to make at least one first-half goal the stronger case.
- Yeovil's home first-half matches average 2.0 total goals.
- Altrincham's away first-half matches average 1.75 total goals.
- Altrincham scored in the first half of five of their last six matches.
- Yeovil scored in the first half of four of their last six matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent second halves have produced enough goals to make over 1.5 the stronger case.
- Yeovil's home second-half matches average 2.375 total goals.
- Altrincham's away second-half matches average 1.625 total goals.
- Four of Yeovil's last six and four of Altrincham's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's home scoring rate makes two or more goals the stronger case.
- Yeovil have scored in all eight home competitive matches and average 3.0 goals.
- Yeovil's home league record includes 19 goals in seven.
- Altrincham have conceded 12 away league goals in seven.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostYeovil Town over 1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altrincham's away league scoring and Yeovil's home concession rate make under 1.5 the stronger case.
- Altrincham have scored seven goals in seven away league matches.
- Altrincham's away competitive average of 1.625 includes a 6-2 FA Cup game.
- Yeovil have conceded nine goals in seven home league matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAltrincham under 1.5Estimated chance66%

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W0-1AltrinchamvYeovil TownFeb 7, 2026NAT

W1-0Yeovil TownvAltrinchamSep 27, 2025NAT

L2-1AltrinchamvYeovil TownApr 5, 2025NAT

D0-0Yeovil TownvAltrinchamSep 14, 2024NAT

D1-1Yeovil TownvAltrinchamFeb 28, 2023NAT

Yeovil Town: 3 clean sheets1.4 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Yeovil Town Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	13	7	4	2	32-15	25	WWDWW
6	Altrincham Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	13	8	0	5	20-19	24	WLWWW