National LeagueFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Yeovil Town1Worthing1

HT 0–1Tue 29 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions7–847%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Sep 2026, 05:35 · Europe/Bucharest

Yeovil Town's home scoring against a Worthing side unbeaten in five league games is the tension at Huish Park.

Both teams scoring looks the likeliest shape of the night and is priced at 1.45; at 1.30, the two teams not both scoring before half-time. Those are the two quoted prices the evidence supports, while 2.05 for a Yeovil win and 1.25 for either team to win ask for more than the form justifies.

Context

Yeovil won 1-0 at Aggborough after Powell was introduced on 66 minutes and scored seven minutes later, the latest example of Billy Rowley having a bench option who can decide a tight game. With a Saturday away trip followed by a Tuesday home fixture, that kind of impact matters for how minutes are managed across a short turnaround. The counterweight is that Yeovil's September form is uneven, with a 1-4 home defeat to AFC Fylde and a 2-3 loss at Southend, and one substitute goal does not confirm a starting role against Worthing.
- Powell replaced Zac Westbrooke on 66 minutes at Aggborough and scored on 73 minutes to give Yeovil Town a 1-0 win over Kidderminster Harriers on 26 September 2026.
- Yeovil Town named an unchanged starting XI for that match.
- J. Powell started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 05:33 · Europe/BucharestYeovil Town official siteytfc.net · 26 Sep 2026
Rowley's Yeovil went unbeaten through August to earn a National League manager-of-the-month nomination, and they followed that recognition with a 1-0 win at Kidderminster Harriers on 26 September. Managers with that kind of early record tend to keep faith with a settled group, which is the likeliest shape of a home selection on a quick Tuesday turnaround. The record and the recent results pull in different directions, though: September brought a 1-4 home defeat to AFC Fylde and a 2-3 loss at Southend, so the August recognition describes a team that has since been inconsistent.
- Billy Rowley is Yeovil Town's manager and was nominated for the Enterprise National League Manager of the Month award for August after an unbeaten start to the season.
- Ahead of the trip to Kidderminster Harriers, Rowley described his side as being 'in a good place'.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 05:33 · Europe/Bucharest
Worthing have drawn twice and won three times in their last five league games, the most recent a 2-1 home win over FC Halifax Town, and Hinshelwood has pointed to togetherness within the group during the sequence. An in-form, settled side is the profile that travels with belief, and Worthing are organising coach travel for the midweek journey to Huish Park. The run rests on fine margins, however: two of the five were draws and two of the wins came by a single goal, so it reflects resilience as much as dominance.
- Adam Hinshelwood is Worthing's manager.
- Worthing beat FC Halifax Town 2-1 at home on 26 September 2026, extending an unbeaten league run to five matches and a third successive win.
- Hinshelwood highlighted 'a good togetherness in the group' after the Halifax win.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 05:33 · Europe/Bucharest
His goal in the 2-1 win over FC Halifax Town was his tenth in Worthing colours, an unusually high return for a defender and evidence that the visitors carry scoring from deeper than their forward line. Yeovil Town have been porous at home at times this season, including a 1-4 defeat to AFC Fylde, so a defender arriving with that record is a live consideration at set pieces. The figure covers Cook's whole Worthing career rather than this season alone, so it says more about his standing at the club than about current form.
- Cook scored in Worthing's 2-1 home win over FC Halifax Town on 26 September 2026, a tenth goal for the club.
- J. Cook started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- H. Ransom started in the same position in 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when J. Cook did not start.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 05:33 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Yeovil Town or Worthing

1.25fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 80%

−6.0ppshort

Yeovil's strong home record gives them the better chance, though Worthing's away scoring makes it close. Worthing's away scoring and current form give them a good chance despite the trip to Huish Park.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

−4.0ppshort

Both teams score and concede often, pointing to three or more goals.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Yeovil Town

2.05fair 2.44

BetBugs 41% · Market 48.8%

−7.8ppshort

Yeovil's strong home record gives them the better chance, though Worthing's away scoring makes it close.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.05
The read
Yeovil's strong home record gives them the better chance, though Worthing's away scoring makes it close.
- Yeovil have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at home this season.
- Yeovil average 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home.
- Worthing have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss away, averaging 2.5 goals scored.
- Yeovil won 1-0 at Kidderminster in their latest league match.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYeovil TownEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score few first-half goals, making a level half-time score the most likely.
- Yeovil average 0.67 first-half goals scored; Worthing average 0.8.
- Yeovil concede 0.33 first-half goals on average; Worthing concede 0.3.
- Both teams have had several low-scoring first halves.
- First-half goal averages for both are below one per game.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yeovil score more after half-time and face a Worthing side that concedes in second halves.
- Yeovil average 1.33 second-half goals scored and 1.22 conceded.
- Worthing average 1.0 second-half goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Yeovil scored after half-time in five of their last six matches.
- Worthing concede 1.4 second-half goals on average.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonYeovil TownEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Yeovil's strong home record gives them the better chance, though Worthing's away scoring makes it close. Worthing's away scoring and current form give them a good chance despite the trip to Huish Park.
- Yeovil have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at home this season.
- Yeovil average 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home.
- Worthing are unbeaten in five league games with three straight wins.
- Worthing average 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostYeovil Town or WorthingEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil have a slight home edge, but first halves are usually low-scoring. Both teams score few first-half goals, making a level half-time score the most likely.
- Yeovil average 0.67 first-half goals scored and 0.33 conceded.
- Worthing average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Yeovil average 0.67 first-half goals scored; Worthing average 0.8.
- Yeovil concede 0.33 first-half goals on average; Worthing concede 0.3.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostYeovil Town or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals6 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Both teams score and concede often, pointing to three or more goals.
- Yeovil home matches average 4.0 total goals; Worthing away matches average 4.5.
- Yeovil have both scored and conceded in 8 of 9 league games.
- Worthing have both scored and conceded in 8 of 10 league games.
- Worthing have scored in all 10 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Both teams have scored in most of their matches and rarely keep clean sheets.
- Yeovil have scored in all 9 league matches and conceded in 8.
- Worthing have scored in all 10 league matches and both scored in 8.
- Worthing's away matches all had both teams scoring (4 of 4).
- Yeovil home matches had both teams scoring in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil score regularly at home and face a Worthing side that concedes away.
- Yeovil have scored 12 goals in 5 home league matches (2.4 per game).
- Yeovil scored 2+ in 4 of their 5 home league matches.
- Worthing have conceded in all 4 away league matches.
- Worthing away average 2.0 conceded.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostYeovil Town over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing score freely away and meet a Yeovil defence that concedes at home.
- Worthing have scored 10 goals in 4 away league matches (2.5 per game).
- Worthing scored 2+ in each of their last three away league matches.
- Yeovil have conceded 8 goals in 5 home matches.
- Yeovil home average 1.6 conceded.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostWorthing over 1.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's consistent scoring makes a Yeovil clean sheet unlikely.
- Yeovil have 1 clean sheet in 5 home league matches.
- Worthing have scored in all 10 league matches.
- Worthing average 2.5 goals away.
- Worthing scored 2+ in each of their last three away league matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWorthing to scoreEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's strong home scoring makes a Worthing clean sheet unlikely.
- Worthing have 0 clean sheets in 4 away league matches.
- Yeovil have scored in all 9 league matches.
- Yeovil have scored 12 goals in 5 home matches.
- Yeovil scored 2+ in 4 of 5 home league matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYeovil Town to scoreEstimated chance89%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's scoring record makes a Yeovil win without conceding unlikely.
- Yeovil have 1 clean sheet in 5 home league matches.
- Worthing have scored in all 10 league matches.
- Yeovil have won 3 of 5 home league matches.
- Worthing average 2.5 goals away.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance91%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams have usually seen at least one first-half goal in recent games.
- Yeovil average 1.0 total first-half goals per match.
- Worthing average 1.1 total first-half goals per match.
- Five of Yeovil's last six matches had a first-half goal.
- All six recent Worthing matches had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Low first-half scoring and concession rates make both teams scoring unlikely.
- Yeovil average 0.67 first-half goals scored and 0.33 conceded.
- Worthing average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Neither team has shown a pattern of both scoring in the first half.
- First-half concession averages are low for both.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are involved in high-scoring second halves, making two or more goals likely.
- Yeovil's second halves average 2.56 total goals; Worthing's average 2.4.
- Five of Yeovil's last six matches had 2+ second-half goals.
- Five of Worthing's last six matches had 2+ second-half goals.
- Both teams average more than one second-half goal scored or conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance72%

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 1W

L1-3Yeovil TownvWorthingApr 6, 2024NAT

W1-2WorthingvYeovil TownOct 21, 2023NAT

3.5 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Yeovil Town Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	9	4	3	2	18-14	15	WDLLW
11	Worthing	9	4	2	3	17-15	14	WWDDL

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Yeovil Town

W4-1Solihull MoorsSep 18NAT

D1-1Aldershot TownSep 15NAT

L1-4AFC FyldeSep 12NAT

L2-3SouthendSep 5NAT

W3-2TamworthAug 31NAT

W2-1BarrowAug 28NAT

W3-0GatesheadAug 22NAT

D1-1CarlisleAug 15NAT

D1-1ScunthorpeAug 8NAT

L1-2Newport CountyAug 1FRI

D1-1Farnham TownJul 28FRI

L2-3WycombeJul 25FRI

W1-0Cardiff City U21Jul 18FRI

D2-2Merthyr TownJul 14FRI

W4-1Melksham TownJul 11FRI

Worthing

W3-1HartlepoolSep 19NAT

W1-0AFC HornchurchSep 15NAT

D2-2BarrowSep 12NAT

D2-2AFC FyldeSep 5NAT

L2-3Boreham WoodAug 31NAT

L2-3TamworthAug 28NAT

W1-0WealdstoneAug 22NAT

L1-2West Ham United U21Aug 18NAT

L1-2Forest GreenAug 15NAT

W3-2CarlisleAug 8NAT

W3-0HorshamAug 1FRI

W2-1Brighton U21Jul 28FRI

D1-1Enfield TownJul 24FRI

W1-0Queens Park Rangers U21Jul 21FRI

D1-1Frome TownJul 18FRI

Squad & Injuries

Yeovil Town

24 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Worthing

30 available

Attackers11

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Yes

Yeovil Town or Worthing

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Over 2.5

Yeovil Town

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 10 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Yeovil Town

Worthing

Squad & Injuries

Yeovil Town

Worthing