Yongin FC0Ansan Greeners4

HT 0–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–940%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 16:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Yongin FC have won twice in 13 home league games and drawn seven of them; Ansan Greeners have taken four of their six league wins on the road.

A level, low-scoring game is the likeliest outcome, and the two quoted prices that hold up are a draw or an Ansan win at 2.00 and the draw on its own at 3.75.

Context

That 10 May 2026 result is the only head-to-head in the record for this fixture, so it describes one afternoon rather than a pattern. Yongin won 2-1 at Ansan, which gives the home side a small reference point for the return. The counterweight is form since then: Ansan have taken four of their six league wins away from home, while Yongin have two wins in 13 home league games.
- Head-to-head on 10 May 2026: Ansan Greeners 1-2 Yongin City in K League 2, the only supplied meeting between the clubs.
Ansan's 27 league games split sharply. Their 11 away matches have produced 4W 2D 5L with 11 scored and 20 conceded, while 16 home games have produced 2W 2D 12L with 17 scored and 33 conceded. Four of their six league wins came on the road, which explains why a 16th-place side is not obviously outmatched when it travels. The 20 goals conceded away from home is the part of the record that keeps this from being a clear away edge.
- Ansan Greeners away record 2026 K League 2 (11 games): 4W 2D 5L, 11 scored, 20 conceded.
- Ansan Greeners home record 2026 K League 2 (16 games): 2W 2D 12L, 17 scored, 33 conceded.
- Standings snapshot dated 14 October 2026: 16th of 17 teams, 22 points from 27 games.
Yongin's league season reads 5W 12D 9L, and 7 of those 12 draws came in 13 home games, where their record is 2W 7D 4L with 15 scored and 17 conceded. Only two of those 13 home matches ended in a win. That keeps a share of the points a live result in this fixture and makes a home win a thin base to build on.
- Yongin FC 2026 K League 2 record: 26 games, 5W 12D 9L, 32 scored, 37 conceded.
- Yongin FC 2026 K League 2 home record: 13 games, 2W 7D 4L, 15 scored, 17 conceded.
- Standings snapshot dated 14 October 2026: 13th of 17 teams, 27 points.
South Korea's 6 October friendly against Uzbekistan was played at Yongin Mir Stadium, the ground Yongin FC use for this 17 October home match, and a local report put the crowd at about 24,000. The same stadium has just hosted a run of senior internationals and city events, so the club returns to a venue that has handled bigger match-day operations and a recently used pitch. The venue coverage pointed to praise for the surface rather than any wear, so there is no reported pitch problem to price in. The useful read is environment: a home ground in an unusually busy and well-attended period.
- South Korea played Uzbekistan in a friendly at Yongin Mir Stadium on 6 October 2026, with the KFA publishing the national team's starting XI for the match at the venue.
- An 8 October report on Yongin Mir Stadium's rising profile said the ground has hosted men's World Cup qualifiers, the EAFF E-1 Championship and AFC club matches, and that Son Heung-min's record international goal came there.
- A 7 October report put the attendance for the national-team fixture at Yongin Mir Stadium at about 24,000.
- Yongin FC's supporters' group listed Yongin Mir Stadium as the venue for the club's 20 September home match against Gyeongnam.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 16:23 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.30fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 76.9%

−8.9ppshort

Combined first-half scoring rates point to at least one goal before the break in most matches.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yongin sit slightly higher, hold home advantage and already beat this opponent away this season, while Ansan have lost 17 of 27 league games.
- Yongin home: 2W 7D 4L, 15 scored, 17 conceded in 13 league games
- Ansan away: 4W 2D 5L, 11 scored, 20 conceded in 11
- Yongin won the 10 May meeting 2-1 away to Ansan
- Yongin 13th on 27 points, Ansan 16th on 22
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYongin FCEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20
The read
Both sides score little before the break, making a level first half the single most likely outcome.
- Yongin average 0.36 first-half goals for, 0.57 against
- Ansan average 0.53 first-half goals for, 0.87 against
- Yongin drew 12 of 26 league games overall
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Ansan's second-half defensive record is poor and Yongin do most of their scoring after the break.
- Yongin average 0.79 second-half goals for and against
- Ansan average 0.47 second-half goals for, 1.33 against
- Ansan concede heavily after the break
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostYongin FCEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin sit slightly higher, hold home advantage and already beat this opponent away this season, while Ansan have lost 17 of 27 league games. Yongin draw far more than they win and their recent games have been tight and low-scoring, which keeps a share draw likely.
- Yongin home: 2W 7D 4L, 15 scored, 17 conceded in 13 league games
- Ansan away: 4W 2D 5L, 11 scored, 20 conceded in 11
- Yongin have drawn 12 of 26 league games and 7 of 13 at home
- Yongin recent 6: 1 win, 3 draws, 2 defeats
BetBugs · Double ChancelostYongin FC or DrawEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ansan concede fairly early on the road, giving Yongin a modest edge in the opening period. Both sides score little before the break, making a level first half the single most likely outcome.
- Yongin average 0.36 first-half goals for and 0.57 against
- Yongin recent home first-half record: 1 scored, 4 conceded in 6
- Yongin average 0.36 first-half goals for, 0.57 against
- Ansan average 0.53 first-half goals for, 0.87 against
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonYongin FC or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yongin's recent matches have been low-scoring and their home defence is tighter than Ansan's overall numbers suggest.
- Yongin recent 6 matches produced 3 scored and 4 conceded
- Yongin 17 goals conceded in 13 home games
- Ansan have scored 11 in 11 away games
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance51%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Neither side keeps clean sheets often and Ansan's away games regularly produce goals at both ends.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Yongin's 14 tracked matches
- Both teams scored in 10 of Ansan's 15 tracked matches
- Yongin have kept only 4 clean sheets in 14 tracked matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin's home scoring is modest and their recent output is well below what two goals would require.
- Yongin home record: 15 goals in 13 league games
- Yongin recent 6: 3 goals scored
- Yongin drew 7 of 13 home games
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonYongin FC under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ansan's road scoring is limited and Yongin's home defence is their stronger side of the ball.
- Ansan have scored 11 goals in 11 away league games
- Ansan recent away output is around one goal per match
- Yongin have 4 clean sheets in 14 tracked matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAnsan Greeners under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin leak goals at home most weeks and Ansan score in the majority of their games.
- Yongin kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 6 home games
- Ansan scored in 7 of 9 home-team perspective matches
- Yongin conceded 17 in 13 home league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAnsan Greeners to scoreEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ansan concede in most matches and their away defence has been the weakest part of their season.
- Ansan have only 2 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches
- Yongin scored in 11 of 14 tracked matches
- Ansan conceded 20 goals in 11 away league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostYongin FC to scoreEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin's home wins are rare and they usually concede, so a clean-sheet victory is unlikely.
- Yongin home record 2W 7D 4L
- Yongin conceded in 4 of their last 6 home games
- Ansan scored 11 in 11 away league games
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ansan rarely keep a clean sheet, so any away win is likely to come with goals conceded.
- Ansan have only 2 clean sheets in 15 matches
- Yongin scored in 11 of 14 tracked matches
- Ansan concede 1.82 goals per away game
BetBugs · Away Win to NillostNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Combined first-half scoring rates point to at least one goal before the break in most matches.
- Yongin average 0.36 first-half goals for, 0.57 against
- Ansan average 0.53 first-half goals for, 0.87 against
- Ansan have conceded in the first half in several away games
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second half is where both sides concede most, pushing the combined output near the line.
- Yongin average 0.79 second-half goals for and against
- Ansan average 1.33 second-half goals against
- Ansan away second-half: 1.0 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance51%