Jeonnam Dragons2Yongin FC1

HT 1–0Sat 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 16:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Two draw-prone mid-table sides meet with Yongin above Jeonnam and neither able to pull clear; the 4 April meeting finished 2-2.

A level result again looks the most likely single outcome — Yongin have drawn 12 of 25 — and at 3.4 the draw is the one quoted price that offers something. The 1.48 double chance covering a draw or a Yongin win is priced about right, and the shorter goal and first-half prices ask more than the record supports.

Context

This is the only meeting between the clubs in the supplied record, and the 2-2 line is a useful anchor: both defences were beaten and neither side saw it out. It fits the goal patterns each team has shown since, with Jeonnam conceding at home and Yongin scoring in most of their away games. A single result cannot carry a forecast, but it is the closest read on how these two match up.
- Reverse fixture on 2026-04-04 in K League 2: Yongin City (Yongin FC) 2-2 Jeonnam Dragons, ending in a draw.
- It is the only meeting between the two clubs in the supplied head-to-head record.
Jeonnam Dragons have been the more vulnerable side late in home matches this season.
Jeonnam's home scoring is modest at both ends of the game (0.55 per match before the break, 0.64 after), so this split is mainly about the goals they concede: the home rate rises from 0.36 in first halves to 1.18 in second halves across 11 matches. For a Yongin side averaging a goal in away second halves, that late window is the obvious route into the game. The sample is short — 11 home games from 23 May to 19 September — so it may be a stretch of games rather than a settled trait.
- Jeonnam Dragons' 11 home K League 2 matches, 2026-05-23 to 2026-09-19: 3W-4D-4L, 12 goals scored, 15 conceded.
- First-half goals against at home: 0.36 per game (11 matches).
- Second-half goals against at home: 1.18 per game (11 matches).
- First-half goals for 0.55 and second-half goals for 0.64 per game (11 matches).
More than half of Yongin's league matches have finished level, so another draw is an ordinary result for them rather than a surprise, and 31 goals scored against 35 conceded shows how many of those games turned on fine margins. That supports the draw over either win. The caution is that Jeonnam have won two of their last four home matches, both 1-0 in late August, so a narrow home win is a live alternative.
- Yongin's 2026 K League 2 season after 25 matches (standings fetched 2026-10-07): 5 wins, 12 draws, 8 losses, 31 scored, 35 conceded, 27 points, 13th place.
- Yongin's away record in the same season: 3W-5D-4L in 12 matches, 16 scored, 18 conceded.
Yongin's organised supporters confirmed on 4 October that travelling fans will occupy section S3 for the Round 28 visit to Jeonnam Dragons, which also pins this fixture to that round. It matters because it shows a coordinated away following making the long trip from Gyeonggi Province to the Jeonnam region, the kind of support that colours a late-season away game. The notice comes from a supporter account rather than the club or the league, so the section detail is best treated as indicative.
- Yongin FC supporters' group 용비어천가 (Nord Kurve Yongin) posted seating information for the 2026 Hana Bank K League 2 Round 28 away match against Jeonnam Dragons, stating the away section is S3 (2026-10-04).
ReportedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 16:13 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double Chance First HalflostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Yongin FC

1.30fair 1.37

BetBugs 73% · Market 76.9%

−3.9ppshort

Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, making a level first half the most supported outcome. Yongin have a slightly better first-half scoring rate away than Jeonnam do at home.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.40
The read
Yongin draw frequently and the reverse fixture was level, making a share of the points the single most supported result.
- Yongin have drawn 12 of 25 league matches.
- Yongin away: 5 draws in 12.
- Jeonnam home: 4 draws in 11.
- Reverse fixture ended level.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, making a level first half the most supported outcome.
- Jeonnam home first-half goals: 0.55 for, 0.36 against.
- Yongin away first-half goals: 0.57 for, 0.43 against.
- Jeonnam drew the first half in 2 of their last 4 home matches.
- Yongin drew the first half in 1 of their last 3 away matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yongin score at a higher rate in away second halves than Jeonnam do at home, and Jeonnam concede heavily after the break.
- Yongin away second-half goals: 1.0 for, 1.0 against.
- Jeonnam home second-half goals: 0.64 for, 1.18 against.
- Yongin scored in the second half in 2 of their last 3 away matches.
- Jeonnam conceded 2 second-half goals in their last home match.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostYongin FCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Yongin draw frequently and the reverse fixture was level, making a share of the points the single most supported result. Yongin sit higher, have a better away record than Jeonnam's home record, and avoid defeat often.
- Yongin have drawn 12 of 25 league matches.
- Yongin away: 5 draws in 12.
- Yongin sit 13th with 27 points, Jeonnam 16th with 21.
- Yongin away: 3W-5D-4L, scoring 16 in 12.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Yongin FCEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, making a level first half the most supported outcome. Yongin have a slightly better first-half scoring rate away than Jeonnam do at home.
- Jeonnam home first-half goals: 0.55 for, 0.36 against.
- Yongin away first-half goals: 0.57 for, 0.43 against.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Yongin FCEstimated chance73%

Goals8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both teams concede regularly and their home/away goal totals point to a game with at least three goals.
- Jeonnam home league games average 2.45 total goals (12 scored, 15 conceded in 11).
- Yongin away league games average 2.83 total goals (16 scored, 18 conceded in 12).
- Both teams concede: Jeonnam 1.36 home GA, Yongin 1.5 away GA.
- Head-to-head produced four goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Both teams score in a majority of their matches, and the reverse fixture had both teams scoring.
- Jeonnam scored in 8 of 11 home league games.
- Yongin scored in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Jeonnam's 15 and 8 of Yongin's 14 league matches.
- Head-to-head was 2-2.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeonnam have scored one or zero in three of their last four home matches.
- Jeonnam have scored one or zero in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
- Jeonnam's home league average is 1.09 goals per game.
- Yongin have kept 2 clean sheets in 7 away league games.
- Jeonnam failed to score in 3 of 15 league matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostJeonnam Dragons under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin have been held to one goal or fewer in two of their last three away matches.
- Yongin have scored one or zero in 2 of their last 3 away matches.
- Yongin's away league average is 1.33 goals per game.
- Jeonnam have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 home league games.
- Yongin failed to score in 3 of 14 league matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonYongin FC under 1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin score in most matches and have found the net in each of their last three away games.
- Yongin have scored in 11 of 14 league matches.
- Yongin have scored in their last 3 away matches.
- Jeonnam have kept only 3 clean sheets in 11 home games.
- Yongin away average 1.33 goals per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYongin FC to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeonnam score in most home games, so a Yongin clean sheet is the weaker outcome.
- Jeonnam have scored in 8 of 11 home league games.
- Jeonnam have scored in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Yongin have kept only 2 clean sheets in 7 away games.
- Jeonnam home average 1.09 goals per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonJeonnam Dragons to scoreEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeonnam have won only three of eleven home matches, and Yongin score in most games.
- Jeonnam have won only 3 of 11 home matches.
- Yongin have scored in 11 of 14 league matches.
- Jeonnam have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 home games.
- Yongin have failed to score in only 3 of 14 league matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Combined first-half goal averages are near one, and recent first halves for both teams have often produced a goal.
- Jeonnam home first-half total goals average 0.91.
- Yongin away first-half total goals average 1.0.
- Jeonnam's last 4 home first halves produced 3 with at least one goal.
- Yongin's last 3 away first halves all had at least one goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely score in the first half, and recent first halves show few instances of both scoring.
- Jeonnam home first-half goals: 0.55 for, 0.36 against.
- Yongin away first-half goals: 0.57 for, 0.43 against.
- Jeonnam's last 4 home first halves: both scored once.
- Yongin's last 3 away first halves: both scored zero times.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half goal averages are near the 1.5 line, so under 1.5 is also well supported.
- Jeonnam home second-half total goals average 1.82.
- Yongin away second-half total goals average 2.0.
- 2 of Jeonnam's last 4 home second halves had under 1.5 goals.
- 1 of Yongin's last 3 away second halves had under 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance51%