K League 2Full time

Predictions graded

Chungnam Asan1Ansan Greeners1

HT 1–0Fri 7 Aug 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 4 Aug 2026, 17:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Chungnam Asan are strong favorites based on a dominant H2H record and home form, but the odds offer no value.

The best betting angle is over 2.5 goals at 1.70, with a slim edge driven by both teams' high-scoring trends and Asan's defensive frailties. Avoid the short-priced match winner and first-half goals markets.

Context

Asan are 7th with 27 points, five behind 6th-placed Daegu, while Ansan are 15th with 18 points and a 14-point gap to the top six.
- The top two earn automatic promotion and places 3-6 enter the playoff, so Asan's incentive is immediate and substantial.
Asan won 3-1 in April 2026, 1-0 in October 2025, 2-0 in August 2025, and 3-0 in April 2025.
- Ansan have not beaten Asan since September 2024, when they drew 1-1.
Kim scored the winner in a 2-1 home victory over Suwon Bluewings on 11 July and a 1-0 away win at Paju Citizen on 26 July.
- Asan have kept only two clean sheets in their last ten home matches, conceding in seven of those games.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Chungnam Asan

1.47fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 68%

0.0ppshort

Chungnam Asan have won the last 4 H2H meetings with a 9-1 aggregate and hold a strong home record, but the odds imply a 68% chance which is above our 55% estimate, offering no value.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Chungnam Asan or Draw

1.14fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 88%

0.0ppshort

Chungnam Asan are unbeaten in the last 5 H2H meetings and have lost only 2 of 10 home matches, but the implied probability of 88% is above our 80% estimate, leaving no value.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.80fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

Chungnam Asan concede in 70% of home games, and Ansan's Kim In-sung has scored in consecutive matches, boosting their attack.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

4 of last 5 H2H meetings had a first-half goal, and Chungnam Asan scored in 4 of last 6 home first halves.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's strong H2H dominance and superior home form, combined with Ansan's poor defensive record, give them a clear edge, though Ansan's recent signing Kim In-sung adds some counterattacking threat.
- Chungnam Asan have won the last 4 H2H meetings with a 9-1 aggregate (2025-2026).
- Chungnam Asan home record: 5W-3D-2L, 18 goals scored, 13 conceded in 10 matches this season.
- Ansan Greeners away record: 3W-1D-3L, 7 goals scored, 12 conceded in 7 matches this season.
- Chungnam Asan are 7th with 27 points, 5 points off playoffs; Ansan are 15th with 18 points, 14 points off playoffs.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostChungnam AsanEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Chungnam Asan's strong H2H record and home resilience, combined with Ansan's defensive frailties, it is highly unlikely that Ansan will win this match.
- Chungnam Asan are unbeaten in the last 5 H2H meetings (4W-1D).
- Chungnam Asan have lost only 2 of 10 home matches this season.
- Ansan Greeners have lost 3 of 7 away matches this season.
- Ansan Greeners have conceded 36 goals in 19 matches, the second-worst in the league.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonChungnam Asan or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Chungnam Asan have a slight edge in first-half performance, their low halftime lead rate and Ansan's occasional resilience make this a low-confidence pick.
- Chungnam Asan have led at halftime in 13% of their matches this season.
- Ansan Greeners have trailed at halftime in 40% of their matches this season.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Chungnam Asan led at halftime in 2 matches.
- Chungnam Asan have scored first in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonChungnam AsanEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan tend to be stronger after the break, especially at home, while Ansan's defense often weakens in the second half, making a home second-half win likely.
- Chungnam Asan have scored 60% of their home goals in the second half.
- Ansan Greeners have conceded 65% of their away goals in the second half.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Chungnam Asan won the second half in 3 matches.
- Chungnam Asan have a +5 goal difference in the second half at home this season.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostChungnam AsanEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of halftime draws followed by Chungnam Asan wins has occurred in recent H2H and home matches, but the specific sequence is not frequent enough for high confidence.
- Chungnam Asan have drawn at halftime in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
- Chungnam Asan have won 5 of their 10 home matches this season.
- Ansan Greeners have drawn at halftime in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 matches were draws at halftime with Chungnam Asan winning full-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Chungnam AsanEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency for higher-scoring games in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H history suggests goals are likely, especially with Chungnam Asan's attacking form at home.
- Chungnam Asan home matches average 3.1 total goals (18 scored, 13 conceded in 10 games).
- Ansan Greeners away matches average 2.7 total goals (7 scored, 12 conceded in 7 games).
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Chungnam Asan have scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While Chungnam Asan are favorites, their defense has been leaky at home, and Ansan's improved attack with Kim In-sung makes it likely both teams will find the net.
- Chungnam Asan have conceded in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
- Ansan Greeners have scored in 5 of their last 7 away matches.
- Ansan's new signing Kim In-sung has scored in consecutive matches, boosting their attack.
- Chungnam Asan have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's home defensive record is not solid, and Ansan's recent attacking improvement suggests they are likely to score at least once.
- Chungnam Asan have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Ansan Greeners have scored in 5 of their last 7 away matches.
- Ansan's Kim In-sung has scored in back-to-back games, providing a consistent threat.
- Chungnam Asan have conceded in 7 of 10 home matches this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAnsan Greeners to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to score or concede in the first half, and the H2H history supports at least one goal before the break.
- Chungnam Asan average 0.5 first-half goals at home this season.
- Ansan Greeners average 0.4 first-half goals away this season.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had at least 1 first-half goal.
- Chungnam Asan have scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 6 home matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner stats, we rely on league averages and tactical tendencies; Chungnam Asan's home pressure and Ansan's defensive shape suggest a moderately high corner count.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided match logs.
- K League 2 matches average around 9.5 corners per game based on general league trends.
- Chungnam Asan's attacking style at home typically generates more set-piece opportunities.
- Ansan Greeners' defensive approach under Choi's 3-4-3 may concede corners while absorbing pressure.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 68% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

W1-3Ansan GreenersvAsan MugunghwaApr 5, 2026K L

W0-1Ansan GreenersvAsan MugunghwaOct 8, 2025K L

W0-2Ansan GreenersvAsan MugunghwaAug 15, 2025K L

L3-0Asan MugunghwavAnsan GreenersApr 26, 2025K L

D1-1Asan MugunghwavAnsan GreenersSep 14, 2024K L

Chungnam Asan: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

K League 2 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Chungnam Asan	19	7	6	6	28-23	27	WLLDW
15	Ansan Greeners	19	5	3	11	20-36	18	DWLWL

9pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Chungnam Asan

W2-0Seongnam FCAug 1K L

W2-1Siheung CitizenJul 29FAC

L2-3HwaseongJul 25K L

L0-1Jeonnam DragonsJul 18K L

W4-3Jeonnam DragonsJul 15FAC

D1-1Gyeongnam FCJul 12K L

W2-0Gimpo CitizenJul 5K L

D2-2Busan I ParkJun 5K L

W2-1Suwon BluewingsMay 30K L

D0-0Yongin CityMay 24K L

L1-3Suwon City FCMay 17K L

W3-0Seoul E-Land FCMay 9K L

L0-1Cheonan CityMay 3K L

D0-0CheongjuApr 26K L

D2-2Jeonnam DragonsApr 19K L

Ansan Greeners

D2-2Gimhae CityAug 2K L

W1-0Paju CitizenJul 26K L

L0-5Gyeongnam FCJul 19K L

L0-2Jinju CitizenJul 15FAC

W2-1Suwon BluewingsJul 11K L

L1-3Suwon City FCJul 4K L

L1-3Cheonan CityMay 31K L

L0-3Daegu FCMay 24K L

L0-1Gimpo CitizenMay 16K L

L1-2Yongin CityMay 10K L

L0-2HwaseongMay 3K L

W2-1Jeonnam DragonsApr 25K L

L0-2Seoul E-Land FCApr 19K L

W1-0Seongnam FCApr 12K L

L1-3Asan MugunghwaApr 5K L

Squad & Injuries

Chungnam Asan

29 available

Attackers5

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Ansan Greeners

34 available

Attackers12

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Chungnam Asan

Chungnam Asan or Draw

Yes

Over 0.5

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Chungnam Asan

Chungnam Asan or Draw

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Chungnam Asan

Ansan Greeners

Squad & Injuries

Chungnam Asan

Ansan Greeners