K League 2Full time

Predictions graded

Daegu3Yongin FC1

HT 1–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 07:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges8–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 07:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Daegu are likely to win or draw, but the odds offer no value.

The best edge is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.20 (+10 points), while Over 0.5 first-half goals is heavily overpriced and should be avoided.

Context

Daegu are 4th in K League 2 with 43 points from 24 games, inside the promotion playoff spots. Yongin are 11th with 26 points from 23 games, 13 points above the relegation line.
Daegu need points to stay in the playoff race, so they are likely to push for a win at home. Yongin have less immediate pressure, but they are not safe from relegation and may still fight for points. The 17-point gap between the teams suggests Daegu are stronger, but Yongin's away record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses shows they can be competitive on the road.
- Daegu are 4th with 43 points, in the promotion playoff places.
- Yongin are 11th with 26 points, 13 points above the relegation line.
- Daegu have 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home this season.
Daegu's last five league matches: 0-0 draw at Paju Citizen, 2-1 win at Ansan Greeners, 1-1 draw at home to Busan I Park, 2-0 home win over Asan Mugunghwa, and 1-0 away win at Gyeongnam FC.
Daegu's recent results show they are hard to beat, with three wins and two draws in their last five. Yongin's form is less consistent: they drew 1-1 at home to Suwon City FC, won 3-0 at Gimhae City, lost 2-1 at Asan Mugunghwa, won 2-0 at home to Busan I Park, and drew 2-2 at Cheonan City. Daegu's stronger recent form gives them an edge, but Yongin's away win at Gimhae City shows they can score on the road.
- Daegu's last five league results: D, W, D, W, W.
- Yongin's last five league results: D, W, L, W, D.
- Daegu have scored 44 goals in 24 league games; Yongin have scored 30 in 23.
Yongin goalkeeper Hwang Sung-Min started all five recent fixtures with available lineups before the 5 September match against Suwon FC.
Hwang could not continue after a heavy collision during an aerial-ball challenge, and a debutant replacement finished that match. His availability for this game is unresolved, so Yongin may have to use a less experienced goalkeeper, which can affect defensive organisation and build-up from the back.
- Hwang Sung-Min started Yongin's 5 September league match against Suwon FC.
- Yongin reported that Hwang could not continue after a heavy collision during an aerial-ball challenge.
- A replacement goalkeeper entered for his Yongin debut.
- Hwang Sung-Min started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 07:00 · Europe/BucharestYongin FC — Suwon FC match reviewyonginfc.co.kr · 9 Sep 2026
Daegu manager Choi Seong-yong was promoted from assistant manager on 20 April.
Choi has described building the side around faster midfield transitions and collective forward pressing. That approach may increase Daegu's pressing intensity and the speed of their transition play in this home match, though the effect depends on execution.
- Daegu officially appointed Choi Seong-yong as manager on 20 April after dismissing Kim Byung-su.
- In a July interview, Choi described faster midfield transitions and increased forward pressing as features of Daegu's improvement.
ConfirmedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 07:00 · Europe/BucharestK League — Daegu appoint Choi Seong-yongwww.kleague.com · 20 Apr 2026Sports Chosun — Choi Seong-yong interviewwww.sportschosun.com · 15 Jul 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 7

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Daegu

1.54fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 65%

0.0ppshort

Daegu's home form is strong but the market price already reflects their superiority, leaving no value.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Daegu or Draw

1.18fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 85%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' unbeaten splits make this outcome likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' home/away splits show high total goal averages, but the odds already reflect that, leaving no value.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.65fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have consistent scoring and conceding records, but the market has priced this accurately.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.22fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Combined first-half goal average is moderate, but the odds imply a near-certainty that our model does not support.

Team to ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Yongin FC to score

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Yongin's consistent away scoring record makes a Daegu clean sheet unlikely, but the market has priced this in.

Team to ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Daegu to score

1.30fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Daegu's strong home scoring record makes a Yongin clean sheet unlikely, but the market has overpriced this outcome.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Daegu's strong home form and higher league position give them the edge, though Yongin's decent away record and the previous draw add uncertainty.
- Daegu home record: 7W 2D 3L, 23 goals scored, 15 conceded in 12 home matches
- Daegu overall form: 12W 7D 5L, 44 goals scored, 32 conceded in 24 matches
- Yongin away record: 3W 5D 3L, 15 goals scored, 15 conceded in 11 away matches
- H2H: only meeting this season ended 1-1 draw
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDaeguEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong unbeaten records in their respective home/away splits, making a Daegu win or draw highly likely.
- Daegu home record: 7W 2D 3L (75% unbeaten at home)
- Yongin away record: 3W 5D 3L (73% unbeaten away)
- H2H: only meeting this season ended 1-1 draw
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDaegu or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half records with low leading percentages, making a draw at half time plausible.
- Daegu leading at half time in 20% of matches, trailing in 27%
- Yongin leading at half time in 20% of matches, trailing in 27%
- Both teams have similar first-half performance profiles
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Daegu's tendency to improve in the second half at home makes a draw at half time followed by a Daegu win a possible outcome.
- Daegu home record: 7W 2D 3L, often winning after a draw at half time
- Daegu first half leading percentage only 20%, but full time win percentage 50%
- Yongin away record: 3W 5D 3L, with many draws
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DaeguEstimated chance20%

Goals6 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits show high total goal averages, supporting an over 2.5 goals outcome.
- Daegu home matches average 3.17 total goals (23 scored + 15 conceded in 12 games)
- Yongin away matches average 2.73 total goals (15 scored + 15 conceded in 11 games)
- Daegu recent form: 1.7 goals scored, 1.1 conceded per match overall
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring and conceding records in their respective home/away splits, making both teams scoring likely.
- Daegu home: scored in 10 of 12 matches, conceded in 8 of 12
- Yongin away: scored in 9 of 11 matches, conceded in 8 of 11
- H2H: only meeting ended 1-1 with both teams scoring
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, and the combined average suggests at least one first-half goal is likely.
- Daegu first half goals: 0.3 per match, first half conceded: 0.5 per match
- Yongin first half goals: 0.5 per match, first half conceded: 0.5 per match
- Combined first half goal average: 1.8 per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given the total goals averages and lower first-half scoring, the second half is likely to see multiple goals.
- Daegu average total goals per match: 2.8 (1.7 scored + 1.1 conceded)
- Yongin average total goals per match: 2.5 (1.2 scored + 1.3 conceded)
- First half goals average only 1.8, leaving significant second half scoring
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin's consistent away scoring record makes a Daegu clean sheet unlikely.
- Daegu home conceded in 8 of 12 matches
- Yongin away scored in 9 of 11 matches
- Yongin average away goals: 1.36 per match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYongin FC to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Daegu's strong home scoring record makes a Yongin clean sheet unlikely.
- Daegu home scored in 10 of 12 matches
- Yongin away conceded in 8 of 11 matches
- Daegu average home goals: 1.92 per match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDaegu to scoreEstimated chance70%