Yongin FC0Gyeongnam FC0

HT 0–0Sun 20 Sept 2026, 07:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges6–186%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Sep 2026, 04:03 · Europe/Bucharest

Yongin vs Gyeongnam profiles as a draw-heavy, low-tempo K League 2 fixture: both sides carry extreme draw rates (Yongin 11/24, Gyeongnam 7/11 away) and the only recent H2H finished 2-2.

The best value is the half-time draw at 2.15 (52% model vs 47% implied, +5pts), while the full-time draw at 3.30 offers a smaller +4pt edge. Avoid the first-half Under 1.5 goals at 1.38, which is priced well above our 60% estimate.

Context

Yongin FC sit 11th in K League 2 with 26 points from 24 matches. Their home record shows two wins, six draws and four losses in 12 games at home.
That home record is the weakest part of Yongin's season. They have taken only 12 points from a possible 36 at home, and they have scored 15 goals while conceding 17 in those games. Gyeongnam arrive with an away record of one win, seven draws and three losses, so they have been hard to beat on the road. The combination suggests Yongin may struggle to turn home advantage into a win, while Gyeongnam are likely to make the match competitive away from home.
- Yongin FC home record in K League 2: 2 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses in 12 matches.
- Yongin have scored 15 and conceded 17 at home this season.
- Gyeongnam FC away record: 1 win, 7 draws, 3 losses in 11 matches.
Gyeongnam FC are 9th in K League 2 with 33 points from 24 matches. Their away record shows one win, seven draws and three losses in 11 away games.
Gyeongnam's away form is built on draws rather than wins. They have scored 10 and conceded 14 on the road, so they are not a high-scoring away side. Yongin's home record is also draw-heavy with six draws in 12 home games. This points to a match where both teams may find it difficult to secure a win, and a draw is a plausible outcome given their season-long patterns.
- Gyeongnam FC away record: 1 win, 7 draws, 3 losses in 11 matches.
- Gyeongnam have scored 10 and conceded 14 away from home.
- Yongin FC home record includes 6 draws in 12 matches.
Yongin City and Gyeongnam FC met in K League 2 on 6 June 2026 at Gyeongnam, with the match ending 2-2.
That draw is the only recent head-to-head evidence available. It shows both teams found the net and neither could hold a lead. However, one match is a small sample and does not guarantee a repeat. The result does suggest that this fixture has been competitive and that both defences can be breached, which is consistent with their season averages of 1.1 and 1.5 goals scored per game respectively.
- Gyeongnam FC 2-2 Yongin City on 6 June 2026 in K League 2.
- Both teams scored in that match and neither led at half-time.
Bae Sung-jae is the Gyeongnam FC head coach, and on 17 September he described the team's game model as active pressing and quick attacks, saying he wanted the same principles shown without wavering away to Yongin.
That stated intent points to Gyeongnam pressing high and looking to attack quickly after winning the ball, which raises the importance of transition moments and whether they can establish pressure in Yongin's half. The plan is confirmed as an intention rather than a guarantee of execution, so the away side's ability to sustain that pressure remains the open question.
- On 17 September, Bae described Gyeongnam's game model as active pressing and quick attacks.
- He said the team wanted to show the same principles without wavering in the away match.
- Gyeongnam confirmed the fixture is at Yongin Mireu Stadium on 20 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 20 Sep 2026, 04:03 · Europe/BucharestGyeongnam FC match previewwww.gyeongnamfc.com · 17 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both sides carry extreme draw tendencies, especially Gyeongnam away (7 draws in 11) and Yongin at home (6 draws in 12), and the single recent H2H was a 2-2 draw, so the stalemate is the single most likely outcome.
- Yongin City: 11 draws in 24 K League 2 matches in 2026, the joint-highest draw rate in the division
- Gyeongnam FC: 9 draws in 24 matches, and 7 draws in 11 away matches this season
- H2H: the only recent meeting (2026-06-06) finished 2-2
- Yongin home record 2W-6D-4L; Gyeongnam away record 1W-7D-3L
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance34%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam are the stronger side by table position and are extremely hard to beat on the road (only 3 away losses), while Yongin have won just twice at home, making the away-or-draw cover the safest result play.
- Gyeongnam away: 1W-7D-3L in 11 away matches, only 3 away defeats all season
- Gyeongnam sit 9th on 33 points vs Yongin 11th on 26 points
- Yongin home: 2W-6D-4L, only 2 home wins in 12
- Gyeongnam form WWDDL vs Yongin form LDWLW
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Gyeongnam FCEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Half-time draws dominate both teams' recent profiles (8/15 for Yongin, 10/15 for Gyeongnam) with very low first-half scoring, making the level half-time score the most likely.
- Yongin half-time results in last 15: 8 draws, 6 losses, 1 win
- Gyeongnam half-time results in last 15: 10 draws, 3 losses, 2 wins
- Yongin leading at half-time only 13% of matches; Gyeongnam 13%
- Both teams average 0.4-0.5 first-half goals
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam rarely trail at the break while Yongin frequently do, so the away-or-draw half-time cover is well supported by the half-time splits.
- Gyeongnam half-time results: 10 draws and 2 wins in last 15, only 3 half-time deficits
- Yongin half-time results: 8 draws and 6 losses in last 15
- Yongin trailing at half-time in 33% of matches
- Gyeongnam trailing at half-time in only 20% of matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Gyeongnam FCEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam are the higher-ranked and more resilient away side, but their heavy away draw tendency (7 in 11) caps the outright win probability.
- Gyeongnam 9th on 33 points vs Yongin 11th on 26 points
- Gyeongnam away record 1W-7D-3L, only 3 away defeats in 11
- Yongin home record 2W-6D-4L, only 2 home wins in 12
- Gyeongnam form WWDDL vs Yongin form LDWLW
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGyeongnam FCEstimated chance29%

Goals5 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' combined scoring and conceding averages sit near the 2.5 line, and Gyeongnam's away matches have produced a low 2.18 goals per game, tilting the total slightly under.
- Yongin average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match over the last 15
- Gyeongnam average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per match over the last 15
- Gyeongnam away: 10 goals scored and 14 conceded in 11 away matches (2.18 goals per away game)
- Yongin home: 15 scored and 17 conceded in 12 home matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks find the net regularly (Yongin scoring in most recent games, Gyeongnam in 13 of 15) and the recent H2H was a 2-2, so both-teams-to-score leans yes.
- Yongin have scored in 11 of their last 15 matches and conceded in 12 of 15
- Gyeongnam have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches
- The only recent H2H finished 2-2 with both teams scoring
- Yongin home matches: 15 goals for and 17 against in 12 games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce very low first-half goal averages (0.4-0.5 each) and rarely lead at the break, pointing to a quiet opening period.
- Yongin average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over the last 15
- Gyeongnam average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over the last 15
- Yongin have been leading at half-time in only 13% of matches and trailing in 33%
- Gyeongnam leading at half-time in 13% of matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams averaging under 0.5 first-half goals but 1.1-1.5 per match overall, the bulk of scoring is expected in the second half.
- Yongin average 1.1 total goals with only 0.4 in the first half, implying most goals come after the break
- Gyeongnam average 1.5 total goals with only 0.5 in the first half
- Gyeongnam away matches average 2.18 goals with low first-half output
- Both teams' first-half goal averages are well below their match averages
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin concede regularly at home (17 in 12) and Gyeongnam score in nearly every match, so a Yongin clean sheet is unlikely.
- Yongin have conceded in 12 of their last 15 matches
- Yongin home: 17 goals conceded in 12 home matches
- Gyeongnam have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches
- Gyeongnam average 1.5 goals per match over the last 15
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGyeongnam FC to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam concede in most away games (14 in 11) and Yongin score regularly at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
- Gyeongnam have conceded in 11 of their last 15 matches
- Gyeongnam away: 14 goals conceded in 11 away matches
- Yongin have scored in 11 of their last 15 matches
- Yongin home: 15 goals scored in 12 home matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostYongin FC to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Yongin's modest scoring output (1.1 per match, 1.25 at home) against a Gyeongnam side conceding just 1.0 per game points to a low home total.
- Yongin average 1.1 goals per match over the last 15
- Yongin home: 15 goals in 12 home matches (1.25 per game)
- Yongin scored 0 or 1 goal in 8 of their last 15 matches
- Gyeongnam concede only 1.0 per match on average
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonYongin FC under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam's away scoring drops sharply to 0.91 goals per game, well below their overall average, supporting a low away total.
- Gyeongnam away: 10 goals in 11 away matches (0.91 per game)
- Gyeongnam average 1.5 goals per match overall but far lower on the road
- Gyeongnam scored 1 or fewer in 10 of their last 15 matches
- Yongin concede 1.3 per match on average
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGyeongnam FC under 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gyeongnam concede regularly on the road and Yongin score in most home games, so an away win without conceding is improbable.
- Gyeongnam have kept only a minority of clean sheets in their last 15 matches
- Gyeongnam away: 14 goals conceded in 11 away matches
- Yongin have scored in 11 of their last 15 matches
- Yongin home: 15 goals scored in 12 home matches
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance78%