Stockport County1Bromley0

HT 1–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–940%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 76%–24%ShotsShots 18–4On targetOn target 6–0CornersCorners 7–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 18:10 · Europe/Bucharest

Stockport, third in League One and averaging 3.17 goals a game at Edgeley Park, host a Bromley side in the relegation places in the clubs' first EFL meeting.

Kyle Wootton's seven goals in seven competitive home appearances point to a home win and a lively afternoon. None of the quoted prices — Stockport at 1.22, over 2.5 goals at 1.36, both teams to score at 1.75, over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.18 — is worth taking.

Context

Wootton's seven goals in his last seven competitive appearances at Edgeley Park give Stockport a reliable focal point at home, and he arrives after a brace in the 3-1 win over Barnsley and a place in the League One Team of the Week. Bromley have conceded repeatedly on their travels and sit in the relegation zone, so limiting Wootton's aerial and penalty-box threat is central to any plan they bring. The run is venue-specific, which is the main caveat: it is strong evidence of home form but not of how he performs against a side set up specifically to contain him.
- Stockport County announced on 11 October that Wootton 'has now scored seven goals in his last seven competitive appearances at Edgeley Park.'
- Wootton was named in the League One Team of the Week on 13 October after scoring twice in the 3-1 win over Barnsley.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 18:07 · Europe/Bucharest
Woodman confirmed a squad injury crisis before the Mansfield trip, with goalkeeper Shamal George and defender Richard Taylor among those out, and there has been no update since for this fixture. Bromley have also been managing the minutes of recent signing Jodi Jones, which suggests the squad is still being patched together rather than fully settled. That matters against a Stockport side scoring freely at Edgeley Park, because the visitors' preferred defensive and wide options may not be fully available or fit. The specific limitation is that this information dates from 9 October and has not been re-confirmed for the Stockport game.
- Ahead of the Mansfield game, manager Andy Woodman confirmed Bromley were dealing with an injury crisis, with Shamal George and Richard Taylor among those sidelined (9 October).
- Jodi Jones, Mickel Miller and Jaden Mendy had their minutes managed in the Crawley EFL Trophy defeat with the league match in mind.
To watchSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 18:07 · Europe/Bucharest
The comeback shows Stockport's goals can arrive later in the game, so a level half-time score has not stopped them at home. It also shows they conceded first, and Barnsley ended with nine shots on target to Stockport's four, so the win was efficient rather than dominant. It is one match, and Bromley's approach on Saturday may differ.
- 10 October 2026, League One at Edgeley Park: Stockport County 3-1 Barnsley, with Stockport's three goals all in the second half after trailing 0-1 at half-time (one match).
- Stockport recorded 16 shots, four on target and 11 corners; Barnsley managed 18 shots and nine on target.
It describes a road pattern: opponents get volume against Bromley, which fits a Stockport side that averages 18.5 shots at home. The five-match sample is small and spans league and cup games, so the numbers are a guide rather than a fixed rate. Bromley scored in four of those five, so the threat is not one-way.
- Five away matches tracked from 15 August to 10 October 2026: one win, one draw and three defeats, conceding 3.0 goals per game and facing 22.4 shots per game.
- Bromley scored in four of those five away matches and averaged 1.2 goals per game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.18fair 1.37

BetBugs 73% · Market 84.7%

−11.7ppshort

Both teams are involved in first halves with goals, especially Bromley away from home.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.36fair 1.52

BetBugs 66% · Market 73.5%

−7.5ppshort

Both sides are involved in high-scoring games, with Bromley's away defence especially generous.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Stockport County

1.22fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 82%

−19.0ppshort

A high-scoring home side faces a bottom-three visitor shipping goals on the road, so Stockport hold the clear advantage.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.22
The read
A high-scoring home side faces a bottom-three visitor shipping goals on the road, so Stockport hold the clear advantage.
- Stockport sit 3rd with 16 points from 9 League One games; Bromley are 21st with 8 from 8.
- Stockport home league record: 13 scored, 8 conceded in 5 games.
- Bromley away league record: 6 scored, 11 conceded in 4 games.
- Kyle Wootton has 7 goals in his last 7 home appearances.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport are the more likely side to lead at the break, though their home first halves have been even.
- Stockport average 1.0 first-half goals for and 0.58 against in competitive games.
- Their home first-half split is 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
- Bromley average 0.3 first-half goals for and 1.0 against overall.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport finish games strongly at home, and Bromley tend to fade after the break.
- Stockport average 2.17 second-half goals per home game.
- They score 1.42 second-half goals versus 0.92 conceded overall.
- Bromley concede 1.6 second-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostStockport CountyEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A high-scoring home side faces a bottom-three visitor shipping goals on the road, so Stockport hold the clear advantage. Bromley have shown they can hold a point away, and the fixture has a recent history of tight draws.
- Stockport sit 3rd with 16 points from 9 League One games; Bromley are 21st with 8 from 8.
- Stockport home league record: 13 scored, 8 conceded in 5 games.
- Stockport have 1 draw in 12 competitive games and none in 5 home league games.
- Bromley have drawn 2 of 8 league games, both on their travels.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonStockport County or DrawEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport are the more likely side to lead at the break, though their home first halves have been even. Both teams start slowly, making a level first half a strong possibility.
- Stockport average 1.0 first-half goals for and 0.58 against in competitive games.
- Their home first-half split is 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
- Stockport have scored 0 first-half goals in four of their last six matches.
- Bromley average just 0.3 first-half goals per game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonStockport County or DrawEstimated chance85%

Goals2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Both sides are involved in high-scoring games, with Bromley's away defence especially generous.
- Stockport's home games average 5.0 combined goals; Bromley's away games average 4.2.
- Stockport score 2.42 and concede 1.5 per competitive game.
- Bromley concede 2.5 per competitive game and 3.0 per away game.
- Bromley have conceded 3 or more in three of their last six.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Bromley usually find a goal on the road and Stockport's recent home games have often seen both teams score.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Stockport's 12 competitive games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Bromley's 10 competitive games and 3 of their 5 away games.
- Bromley average 1.2 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport consistently score multiple goals at Edgeley Park, so two or more is the likely outcome.
- Stockport average 3.17 goals per home game and 2.42 overall.
- They have scored 20 goals in 7 home games in all competitions this season.
- Stockport scored 3, 1, 3 and 4 in recent home league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostStockport County over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The away side's scoring output is low, making one goal or fewer the most likely outcome.
- Bromley average 0.9 goals per competitive game.
- They failed to score in three of their last six matches.
- Bromley have scored 6 goals in 8 league games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBromley under 1.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport winning is likely, but doing so without conceding has been the exception at home recently.
- Stockport conceded in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
- Stockport kept 4 clean sheets in 12 competitive games.
- Bromley scored in 6 of 10 competitive games.
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Both teams are involved in first halves with goals, especially Bromley away from home.
- Stockport's games average 1.58 first-half goals combined.
- Bromley's away games average 1.8 first-half goals combined.
- Bromley conceded a first-half goal in four of their last six matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second halves produce goals, with Stockport especially prolific after the break at home.
- Stockport's home games average 3.0 second-half goals combined.
- Bromley's away games average 2.4 second-half goals combined.
- Stockport score 2.17 second-half goals per home game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance68%

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport's home corner volume is high and Bromley concede plenty on the road, pushing the total up.
- Stockport average 8.67 corners and concede 4.17 at home.
- Bromley average 3.2 corners and concede 8.4 on their travels.
- Stockport produced 11 and 8 corners in their last two home matches.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 11.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport generate plenty of shots and Bromley allow a lot, so the combined total should be high.
- Stockport average 18.5 shots and concede 10.83 at home.
- Bromley average 10.2 shots and concede 22.4 on their travels.
- Bromley conceded 22 shots at Crawley and 21 at Mansfield.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 25.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' on-target numbers combine to comfortably clear nine, driven by Stockport's home volume.
- Stockport average 7 shots on target and concede 5.67 at home.
- Bromley average 4 shots on target and concede 8.2 on their travels.
- Stockport have hit 5 or more on target in four of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance72%