Draw
Market 29.4% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams have balanced recent form and low first-half scoring, making a stalemate more likely than the market implies.
League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The model sees a draw as the most likely result (34%) and offers a small value edge at odds of 3.40.
Avoid the double chance and first-half under 1.5 goals, as they are overpriced. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are near coin-flips with no meaningful edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 29.4% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams have balanced recent form and low first-half scoring, making a stalemate more likely than the market implies.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Combined scoring and conceding averages support a moderate chance of at least three goals.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 68% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-1 | 4 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-2 | 3 |

