MTK Budapest or Draw
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 75%
MTK are unbeaten at home to Nyiregyhaza in the last five H2H meetings (3W, 1D) and Nyiregyhaza have lost both away league matches this season without scoring.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
MTK Budapest are strong favourites to avoid defeat at home to Nyiregyhaza, with a 75% model probability for Double Chance (odds 1.43, +5.1pt edge).
The second-half Over 1.5 goals line also offers value (55% vs 43.5% implied). Avoid Match Winner and Asian Handicap MTK -1 due to thin or negative edges.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 75%
MTK are unbeaten at home to Nyiregyhaza in the last five H2H meetings (3W, 1D) and Nyiregyhaza have lost both away league matches this season without scoring.
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 55%
The teams' scoring rates and H2H history suggest a high likelihood of at least two second-half goals.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, and recent H2H encounters have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 43.5% leaves minimal cushion vs our 45% estimate; the edge is too thin for a medium-confidence play.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9-7 | 5 |
| 4 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 6 |

