Landskrona BoIS3Sandvikens IF2

HT 2–0Sat 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–471%

Edges4–267%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 8–4On targetOn target 4–2CornersCorners 7–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 05:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Landskrona open the last five rounds at home, but Sandviken have scored more league goals this season and the recent meetings have all been narrow.

The likeliest outcome is a close Landskrona result, and the two prices that hold up are the draw or a Sandviken win at 1.95 and under 2.5 goals at 2.2. Landskrona at 1.78 and both teams to score at 1.57 ask for more than the record supports.

Context

Superettan has been idle for both clubs since 19 September, making this round their first competitive league football in three weeks. Each side played once during the pause, with Landskrona losing 1-2 to Falkenberg on 30 September and Sandviken beating GIF Sundsvall 1-0 on 3 October, so both have some rhythm but only against friendly opposition. The layoff is identical for the two teams, which makes it shared context rather than something that tilts the fixture either way.
- Landskrona BoIS and Sandvikens IF last played a Superettan match on 19 September, with their next league fixture set for Saturday 10 October at Landskrona IP.
- Landskrona lost a warm-up friendly 1-2 to Falkenberg on 30 September, and Sandviken beat GIF Sundsvall 1-0 in their own friendly on 3 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 05:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Westström is an academy-developed left-back who was on the scoresheet in Landskrona's 3-1 win at Norrby on 5 September and has now debuted for Sweden U21. His return from international duty means the club can field a first-team full-back on that flank for the restart instead of covering the position. The cap itself was only a short late cameo, so the international minutes add little physical load.
- Gustaf Westström came on late for Sweden U21 in a 2-0 win on 5 October, one of five debutants in the squad.
- The left-back scored in Landskrona's 3-1 Superettan win at Norrby on 5 September.
- G. Westström started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 05:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Lindell's return to goalkeeper training gives Sandviken a fresh option in goal going into the trip to Landskrona on 10 October. He has only just rejoined training, so his availability and match sharpness for the weekend are still unclear. Goalkeeper is the hardest position to cover late in a preparation week, which is why the timing of his return matters more than the session itself.
- Otto Lindell took part in goalkeeper training on 5 October for the first time since his injury.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 05:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Four straight Landskrona wins in this fixture, three by 1-0 in the league and one 3-2 in the 2026 Svenska Cupen, point to another close game at Landskrona IP. Sandviken's most recent win over Landskrona was a 2-0 home success on 18 August 2024. Four meetings is a small sample, and Sandviken arrive with 41 league goals in 25 matches, two more than Landskrona, so the run is not a guarantee of the same scoreline.
- 24 May 2026, Superettan: Sandviken 0-1 Landskrona BoIS
- 7 March 2026, Svenska Cupen: Landskrona BoIS 3-2 Sandviken
- 17 August 2025, Superettan: Sandviken 0-1 Landskrona BoIS
- 26 April 2025, Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 1-0 Sandviken

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.22fair 1.32

BetBugs 76% · Market 82%

−6.0ppshort

First-half goals have arrived in every recent match for both clubs.

Both Teams to ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.57fair 1.85

BetBugs 54% · Market 63.7%

−9.7ppshort

Both sides score regularly while also conceding often enough for the other to find the net.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Landskrona BoIS

1.78fair 2.17

BetBugs 46% · Market 56.2%

−10.2ppshort

Landskrona sit higher in the table, are at home and have repeatedly beaten Sandviken in recent meetings.

First Half WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Landskrona BoIS

2.20fair 2.50

BetBugs 40% · Market 45.5%

−5.5ppshort

The opening period has been Landskrona's strongest spell at home.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.78
The read
Landskrona sit higher in the table, are at home and have repeatedly beaten Sandviken in recent meetings.
- Landskrona home league record 4W-5D-3L, 17 goals for and 12 against in 12
- Sandviken away league record 3W-4D-5L, 14 for and 15 against in 12
- Landskrona have won four of the last five meetings between the clubs
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLandskrona BoISEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20
The read
The opening period has been Landskrona's strongest spell at home.
- Landskrona average 1.0 first-half goals at home and concede 0.43
- Landskrona led at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches
- Sandviken average 0.75 first-half goals away
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonLandskrona BoISEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' relevant splits point to a quiet and tight second period.
- Landskrona's home second halves average 0.71 total goals
- Sandviken's away second halves average 0.5 total goals
- Sandviken have conceded 1 second-half goal in 8 away matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landskrona sit higher in the table, are at home and have repeatedly beaten Sandviken in recent meetings. Both clubs' records show a large share of level matches, particularly Landskrona at home.
- Landskrona home league record 4W-5D-3L, 17 goals for and 12 against in 12
- Sandviken away league record 3W-4D-5L, 14 for and 15 against in 12
- Landskrona have drawn 5 of 12 home league matches
- Sandviken have drawn 4 of 12 away league matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLandskrona BoIS or DrawEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The opening period has been Landskrona's strongest spell at home. Half-time parity is a common outcome for both clubs' matches.
- Landskrona average 1.0 first-half goals at home and concede 0.43
- Landskrona led at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches
- Landskrona's home first halves average 1.43 total goals
- Sandviken's away first halves average 1.625 total goals
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonLandskrona BoIS or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving both clubs have been producing goals at a rate near or above three per game.
- Landskrona's 14 tracked matches average 2.64 total goals
- Sandviken's 14 tracked matches average 3.00 total goals
- Landskrona's six most recent competitive matches produced 20 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both sides score regularly while also conceding often enough for the other to find the net.
- Landskrona kept clean sheets in 4 of 14 tracked matches
- Sandviken kept clean sheets in 4 of 14 tracked matches
- Both teams scored in 5 of Landskrona's last 6 and 4 of Sandviken's last 6
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Landskrona's home scoring output rarely goes beyond a single goal.
- Landskrona average 1.43 goals across 7 tracked home matches
- Landskrona have scored 17 goals in 12 league home matches
- Landskrona failed to reach two goals in 3 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostLandskrona BoIS under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sandviken's away form produces low scoring totals, with one goal or none the common outcome.
- Sandviken away scoring average: 1.125 goals from 8 matches
- League away record: 14 goals in 12 matches
- Sandviken scored one goal or fewer in 4 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSandvikens IF under 1.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
First-half goals have arrived in every recent match for both clubs.
- Landskrona's tracked matches average 1.43 first-half goals in total
- Sandviken's tracked matches average 1.86 first-half goals in total
- None of the 12 recent matches for either club was goalless at half-time
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring across both clubs' matches is low enough to favour under the line.
- Landskrona's 14 tracked matches average 0.79 second-half goals scored
- Sandviken's 14 tracked matches average 0.71 second-half goals scored
- Landskrona concede 0.43 second-half goals on average
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance67%

Match stats3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Total shot counts in both teams' matches have stayed below the line.
- Landskrona average 13.33 shots and concede 9.83 across 6 matches
- Sandviken average 12.6 shots and concede 7.2 across 5 matches
- Sandviken's last four matches produced 20, 20, 17 and 17 shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 25.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
On-target counts in both teams' matches have consistently finished under the line.
- Landskrona average 5.83 shots on target and concede 4.33 across 6 matches
- Sandviken average 7.0 shots on target and concede 3.8 across 5 matches
- Sandviken's last four matches produced 14, 10, 8 and 7 shots on target in total
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 12.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card counts for both sides have typically finished just under the line.
- Landskrona's 14 tracked matches show 2.17 yellows and 1.67 for opponents
- Sandviken's matches average 1.8 yellows with 1.0 for opponents
- Recent match totals averaged 3.4 and 3.0 cards
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance56%