Draw
Market 30.8% · BetBugs 32%
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits and recent H2H is balanced, making a draw likely.
SuperettanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is in the first half: back the draw at 2.20 (60% model probability) and under 0.5 goals at 3.00 (55% model probability).
The full-time draw at 3.25 is a slight lean, while under 2.5 goals at 1.95 offers moderate value. Avoid home/away win and over 2.5 goals.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 30.8% · BetBugs 32%
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits and recent H2H is balanced, making a draw likely.
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams rarely lead at half-time, making a draw the most likely first-half result.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams' home/away splits produce a combined average under 2.5 goals, and recent H2H has seen low-scoring games.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 42% vs our estimate 38% leaves no value; the home side's inconsistent home form and Ostersund's recent H2H edge make the price unattractive.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Landskrona BoIS | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26-21 | 30 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29-22 | 34 |

