Lindome GIF1IF Boljan3

HT 0–1Fri 9 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–657%

Edges0–40%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 16:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Lindome are the more likely winner — they have taken all three recent meetings — but four defeats in five league games and a level home record mean the 1.8 price asks more than that case justifies.

Boljan have drawn five of 12 away games, and the draw at 3.8, under 2.5 goals at 3, no goals before half-time at 4 and the half-time draw at 2.4 are the four reviewed selections assessed at potential value.

Context

That is three wins from three in this fixture for Lindome, two of them on Boljan's own ground, which is the strongest single reason to favour them here. Each of the three meetings produced four or five goals, a reminder that this pairing has not been tight. Three matches is still a small sample, and Lindome's league form of four defeats in five games points the other way.
- 10 Apr 2026: Böljan 2-3 Lindome, Division 2 - Västra Götaland
- 12 Sep 2025: Böljan 1-3 Lindome, Division 2 - Västra Götaland
- 2 May 2025: Lindome 3-2 Böljan, Division 2 - Västra Götaland
The home scoring record is the basis of Lindome's case: 2.29 goals per game across those seven matches, against 1.57 conceded. The same sample shows only two clean sheets and five games with a goal conceded, so a Boljan goal would not be unusual at this ground. Taken together, it points to goals at both ends rather than a controlled home performance.
- Seven tracked home matches, 5 Jun–2 Oct 2026: 4W-1D-2L
- Goals for 2.29 per game, goals against 1.57 per game
- Scored in 7 of 7 home matches; 2 clean sheets; conceded in 5 of 7
That is a durable away profile: five draws are more than any other result, which makes a level game a realistic outcome rather than a surprise. It also shows limited away scoring, only 15 goals in 12 matches. Lindome's own home league record is level at 5W-2D-5L, so this fixture is not a clear venue mismatch in either direction.
- Boljan league away record: 12 games, 4W-5D-3L, 15 scored, 16 conceded (league table fetched 8 Oct 2026)
- Boljan overall: 7th, 34 points, 9W-7D-8L, 36 goals for, 32 against in 24 games
- Lindome home record: 12 games, 5W-2D-5L, 21 scored, 23 conceded
A single result, but it shows how open Lindome's home matches can become: they scored three after half-time and conceded three. It was their seventh home match of the tracked window and their only win in the last five league outings. Boljan's away numbers, five draws and just 15 goals in 12 games, are the counterweight to expecting another seven-goal game.
- 2 Oct 2026: Lindome 4-3 Galtabacks (home), Division 2 - Västra Götaland
- Half-time 1-0; second half 3-3
- Seventh home match of the tracked window, 5 June–2 October 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lindome sit higher in the table, have scored the most in this fixture history and have won each of the last three meetings, two of them away at Boljan.
- Table: Lindome 5th, 11W-4D-9L, 46 scored, 40 conceded (24 games); Boljan 7th, 9W-7D-8L, 36-32
- Head-to-head: Lindome won all three recent meetings (3-2 home in May 2025; 3-1 and 3-2 away at Boljan)
- Venue splits: Lindome 5W-2D-5L at home; Boljan 4W-5D-3L away, only three away defeats in 12
- Tracked window: Lindome 7W-3D-5L versus Boljan 5W-4D-6L
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLindome GIFEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring is low, and the recent matches for each side have usually reached the break without a lead changing hands.
- Lindome first-half goals for 0.67 and against 0.4 per game
- Boljan first-half goals for 0.8 and against 0.87 per game
- Lindome's last three matches were all level at half-time
- Boljan were level at half-time in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lindome do most of their scoring after the break at home, while Boljan's second-half output is the lowest part of their game.
- Lindome second-half averages: 1.33 scored, 1.2 conceded; at home 1.57 scored, 1.43 conceded
- Boljan second-half averages: 0.6 scored, 0.6 conceded; away 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded
- Lindome scored three second-half goals in their last home match
- Boljan have scored four second-half goals in their last six matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostLindome GIFEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome score in the first half about as often as their opponents and have conceded almost nothing before the break at home. Both teams' first-half scoring is low, and the recent matches for each side have usually reached the break without a lead changing hands.
- Lindome first-half averages: 0.67 scored, 0.4 conceded per game; at home 0.71 scored, 0.14 conceded
- Boljan first-half averages: 0.8 scored, 0.87 conceded; away 0.67 scored, 0.5 conceded
- Lindome first-half goals for 0.67 and against 0.4 per game
- Boljan first-half goals for 0.8 and against 0.87 per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostLindome GIF or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides score regularly, Lindome's home games have averaged nearly four goals combined, and the recent meetings have all been open.
- Lindome average 2.0 goals for and 1.6 against; Boljan 1.4 and 1.47
- Lindome home split: 2.29 for, 1.57 against per game in 7 home matches
- All three recent head-to-heads finished with 4 or 5 goals
- Last six Lindome matches produced 7, 5, 4, 3, 2 and 3 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome have scored in every home match tracked and concede regularly, and both sides have scored in each recent meeting.
- Lindome saw both teams score in 11 of 15 tracked matches; Boljan in 8 of 15
- All three recent head-to-heads had both teams scoring
- Lindome scored in all 7 home matches in the tracked window
- Boljan scored in 4 of 6 away matches tracked
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome have scored in every home match tracked and average better than two goals a game at home, so two or more is realistic.
- Lindome average 2.0 goals per game overall and 2.29 in home matches tracked
- Lindome scored in all 7 home matches in the tracked window
- Lindome scored 4 in their most recent home match
- Boljan concede 1.17 away goals per game in this window
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostLindome GIF over 1.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boljan's away scoring in this window amounts to little more than one goal a game, and their recent output has been mostly one goal or none.
- Boljan scored 4 goals in 6 away matches tracked
- Boljan failed to score in their most recent match and scored 1 in two others
- Boljan average 1.4 goals per game across 15 tracked matches
- Boljan's second-half scoring average is 0.6 per game
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostIF Boljan under 1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome concede far more often than they shut out opponents, and Boljan have been scoring at a steady rate on the road.
- Lindome conceded in 12 of 15 tracked matches and 5 of 7 at home
- Boljan scored in 4 of 6 away matches tracked
- Lindome conceded 3 in their last home match
- Boljan have scored 10 goals across their last six matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIF Boljan to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome have scored in every home game tracked, so Boljan keeping them out would go against their strongest repeated pattern.
- Lindome scored in all 7 home matches tracked and 14 of 15 overall
- Lindome scored 4, 2 and 2 in recent home matches
- Boljan conceded in 12 of 15 tracked matches
- Boljan's away goals-against is 1.17 per game this window
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLindome GIF to scoreEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome concede too often for a win without a reply to be the likely route to victory.
- Lindome conceded in 12 of 15 tracked matches
- Boljan scored in 4 of 6 away matches tracked
- Lindome's home clean sheets number 2 in 7 matches
- Boljan scored in their last three away matches
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The two first-half scoring rates combine to roughly one goal a game, which makes at least one goal before the break the more likely outcome.
- Lindome first-half goals for 0.67 per game, at home 0.71
- Boljan first-half goals for 0.8 per game, away 0.67
- Lindome first-half goals against 0.4 per game
- Boljan first-half goals against 0.87 per game
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Total first-half scoring in this fixture profile is low, so both teams scoring before the break is unlikely.
- Lindome first-half goals against 0.4 per game, 0.14 at home
- Boljan first-half goals against 0.87 per game
- Combined first-half scoring average is about one goal per match
- Three of Lindome's last six matches were level 0-0 at half-time
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome's home second halves have averaged around three goals combined, and both of their recent home games had goals after the break.
- Lindome second-half goals for 1.33 and against 1.2 per game; at home 1.57 and 1.43
- Boljan second-half goals for and against 0.6 per game; away 0.67 each
- Lindome's last six matches produced 3, 3, 1, 2, 2 and 1 second-half goals
- Lindome scored three after the break in their last home match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Prediction history

Lindome GIF: 2/4 recent winner projections matched

2 of 4 comparable winner projections favouring Lindome GIF matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Lindome GIF4 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

31 Jul·Division 2 - Västra Götaland