Cheonan City0Suwon Bluewings1

HT 0–0Sat 22 Aug 2026, 10:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–450%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Aug 2026, 16:10 · Europe/Bucharest

Suwon Bluewings are strong favourites and should avoid defeat, but the odds offer no value on the away win or double chance.

The only positive edge is the first-half draw at 2.40, given both teams' tendency to be level at the break.

Context

Suwon Bluewings' last five away league results: W, D, D, L, D.
- They have drawn 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- Their away record this season is W5 D3 L2.
Cheonan City home record: W2 D6 L2.
- They have drawn 60% of home matches.
- Recent home form includes draws against Yongin City and Suwon City FC.
Suwon Bluewings won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- They won the most recent meeting 3-2 at home in May 2026.
- Cheonan City have lost 3 of their last 5 home matches against Suwon Bluewings.
Cheonan City drew at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Bluewings drew at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- H2H meetings were level at half-time in 2 of the last 5.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Suwon Bluewings

1.62fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Suwon Bluewings' superior league position, recent form, and dominant H2H record strongly support an away win.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Suwon Bluewings

1.20fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 83.3%

−3.3ppshort

Suwon Bluewings' low loss rate and Cheonan City's poor home win rate make a double chance for the away side very likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Suwon Bluewings' superior league position, recent form, and dominant H2H record strongly support an away win.
- Suwon Bluewings are 1st in K League 2 with 41 points from 21 matches; Cheonan City are 14th with 21 points.
- Suwon Bluewings have won 12 of 21 league matches this season; Cheonan City have won only 4 of 21.
- Suwon Bluewings have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including a 3-2 home win in May 2026.
- Cheonan City's recent form is DLDLL, while Suwon Bluewings' is DWDWD.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSuwon BluewingsEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Suwon Bluewings' low loss rate and Cheonan City's poor home win rate make a double chance for the away side very likely.
- Suwon Bluewings have lost only 4 of 21 league matches this season.
- Cheonan City have won only 2 of 10 home matches this season.
- Suwon Bluewings have avoided defeat in 17 of 21 league matches.
- Cheonan City have drawn 6 of 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Suwon BluewingsEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams frequently go into the break level, making a first-half draw a solid pick.
- Cheonan City have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Bluewings have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- H2H meetings have been level at half-time in 2 of the last 5.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Suwon Bluewings win is plausible given their second-half strength and H2H dominance.
- Suwon Bluewings have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Cheonan City have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Bluewings have been level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/Suwon BluewingsEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches and H2H history show a tendency for goals, supporting over 2.5.
- Cheonan City's last 5 matches have averaged 3.2 total goals.
- Suwon Bluewings' last 5 matches have averaged 2.6 total goals.
- H2H meetings have seen 3+ goals in 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Cheonan City concede 1.5 goals per match on average this season.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been scoring regularly, and H2H meetings often see both sides find the net.
- Cheonan City have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Bluewings have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Cheonan City average 1.3 goals scored per match; Suwon Bluewings average 1.5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Cheonan City have scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Bluewings have scored a first-half goal in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Cheonan City average 0.5 first-half goals per match; Suwon Bluewings average 0.5.
- H2H matches often feature first-half goals (3 of last 5 had a first-half goal).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring has been moderate, but the overall goal trend suggests a chance for over 1.5.
- Cheonan City's last 5 matches have averaged 1.8 second-half goals.
- Suwon Bluewings' last 5 matches have averaged 1.2 second-half goals.
- H2H meetings have seen 2+ second-half goals in 2 of the last 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner data, we rely on league average and attacking tendencies, giving a neutral probability.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- K League 2 matches average around 9 corners per game.
- Suwon Bluewings' attacking style often leads to corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
In the absence of card data, we use league average and competitive context, resulting in a neutral probability.
- Card data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- K League 2 matches average around 3.5 cards per game.
- The match has moderate stakes with Suwon Bluewings pushing for promotion.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 24% leaves no cushion vs our 20% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Prediction history

Suwon Bluewings have struggled to convert win projections

Suwon Bluewings have fulfilled 1 of 4 win predictions, with a sample size of 4. Their average estimated probability was 58.3%, but expected fulfilled predictions were 2.3, indicating underperformance. In missed matches, they drew twice and lost once, and they have not won away from home in this sample.

Recent evidence for Suwon Bluewings4 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

1 Aug·K League 2