Cheonan City22 – 2Suwon2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Cheonan's poor home win rate combined with Suwon's resilience away makes a Suwon win or draw highly probable, reinforced by the motivational parity of both teams fighting for playoff spots.

• Cheonan have won only 2 of 7 home games (28.6% win rate); 5 of 7 home games ended in draw or loss.
• Suwon have lost only 3 of 7 away games; 4 of 7 away games ended in win or draw.
• Cheonan's overall win rate is 30.8% (4/13); Suwon's loss rate is only 23.1% (3/13).
• H2H historical pattern (low weight) shows Suwon unbeaten in last 3 meetings (2W-1L) but data is old.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or SuwonEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at halftime followed by a Suwon win is plausible given Suwon's strong second-half away performances, but the low frequency of this exact sequence (only 1 occurrence in Suwon's 7 away games) keeps confidence low.

• Cheonan drew at halftime in 40% of matches; Suwon drew at halftime in 20%.
• Suwon won the second half in 4 of 7 away games; Cheonan lost the second half in 2 of 7 home games.
• Cheonan's home HT-FT pattern: 2 draws at HT turned into 1 win, 1 draw; 1 loss at HT turned into loss.
• Suwon's away HT-FT: 3 leads at HT turned into 3 wins; 2 draws at HT turned into 1 win, 1 loss.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/SuwonEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Suwon's high-scoring away trend (3.57 goals per away game) clashes with Cheonan's low home totals, but Suwon's consistent 2+ goal output on the road makes over 2.5 goals likely if they score early and force Cheonan to open up.

• Suwon's away games average 3.57 total goals (13 scored, 12 conceded in 7 games).
• Cheonan's home games average only 1.29 total goals (5 scored, 4 conceded in 7 games), but Suwon's attacking threat could break that pattern.
• Suwon have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 7 away matches; Cheonan conceded in 5 of 7 home games.
• Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of Suwon's last 6 matches overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently find the net in their respective home/away splits, with Suwon's leaky away defense (1.71 goals conceded per away game) and Cheonan's need to attack at home making BTTS a strong probability.

• Suwon have scored in 6 of 7 away games; Cheonan have scored in 5 of 7 home games.
• Suwon have conceded in 6 of 7 away games; Cheonan have conceded in 5 of 7 home games.
• Suwon's both teams to score rate in away games: 5 of 7 (71%); Cheonan's home BTTS rate: 3 of 7 (43%).
• Cheonan's last 5 home games: scored in 3, conceded in 3; Suwon's last 5 away: scored in 4, conceded in 4.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Suwon's away scoring rate of 1.86 goals per game and their consistency in hitting 2+ goals on the road, even against a solid Cheonan home defense, makes over 1.5 away goals a strong bet.

• Suwon have scored 13 goals in 7 away games (1.86 per game); they scored 2+ goals in 5 of 7 away matches.
• Suwon's overall goals per game is 1.7; away it's 1.86.
• Cheonan concede 0.57 goals per home game on average, but have faced weaker attacks; Suwon's away scoring is top-tier in the league.
• Suwon scored 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSuwon over 1.5Estimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a high frequency of first-half goals, with Suwon's away first-half scoring (5/7) and Cheonan's home first-half concessions (4/7) making over 0.5 first-half goals very likely.

• Suwon's first-half goals per game: 0.8; Cheonan's first-half goals conceded per game: 0.6.
• Cheonan's first-half goals per game: 0.4; Suwon's first-half goals conceded per game: 0.7.
• Suwon have scored a first-half goal in 5 of 7 away games; Cheonan have conceded a first-half goal in 4 of 7 home games.
• Combined first-half goal rate: 1.5 per game on average across both teams.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Suwon's away matches tend to open up in the second half, with an average of 2.0 second-half goals in recent road games, and Cheonan's home second-half concessions support over 1.5 second-half goals.

• Suwon's matches average 3.2 total goals; subtracting first-half average (1.5) leaves ~1.7 second-half goals.
• Cheonan's matches average 2.4 total goals; second-half average ~1.4.
• Suwon have scored in the second half in 5 of 7 away games; Cheonan have conceded in the second half in 4 of 7 home games.
• In Suwon's last 5 away games, second-half goals: 2, 1, 2, 3, 2 – average 2.0.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Suwon's high possession and shot numbers imply they will force corners, but the lack of Cheonan corner data and only one Suwon corner stat makes this a low-confidence estimate based on Suwon's attacking style.

• Suwon average 4 corners per game (from limited data); opponent corners average 2 in the only match with data.
• Cheonan's corner data is unavailable, but Suwon's high shot volume (22 shots per game) suggests high corner potential.
• Suwon's possession average is 69%, indicating territorial dominance that typically generates corners.
• K League 2 average corners per game is around 8-9 based on typical league trends.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive stakes and Suwon's known card count (2 per game) suggest a moderate card total, but missing Cheonan data and only one Suwon card stat force low confidence.

• Suwon average 2 yellow cards per game (from one match with data); opponent averaged 4 yellows in that game.
• Cheonan's discipline data is unavailable, but playoff-race intensity often increases card counts.
• K League 2 matches typically see 3-4 cards on average.
• No red cards in recent data for either team, suggesting yellows are the main card risk.