K League 2Full time

Predictions graded

Seoul E-Land4Cheonan City3

HT 1–1Fri 24 Jul 2026, 10:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–188%

Edges6–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 21 Jul 2026, 15:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Seoul E-Land are favorites in a playoff-relevant clash, but the 1.50 match winner odds overstate their edge.

Better value lies in both teams to score (62% estimate vs. 57.8% implied) and over 2.5 goals (60% vs. 62.5% implied, near fair). Avoid first-half markets due to poor value and Seoul's low HT leading rate.

Context

Seoul E-Land official notice on 2026-07-07 promoted the 'Leoul Park Summer Night Series' for this fixture.
- Fan activations and a flea market are scheduled from 17:30 until kickoff at Mokdong Stadium.
K League 2 2026 rules send 3rd-6th into promotion playoffs, with higher seed advancing on a draw in the semifinals.
- Cheonan City's official table shows them 9th on 19 points with a game in hand, while Seoul E-Land are 5th on 26 points.
2026-03-21: Cheonan City 0-0 Seoul E-Land
- 2025-08-31: Cheonan City 2-5 Seoul E-Land
- 2025-06-21: Cheonan City 4-2 Seoul E-Land
Last 4 league matches: 1W-0D-3L, 3 goals scored, 5 conceded.
- Away record this season: 2W-2D-4L, 12 goals scored, 13 conceded in 8 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Seoul E-Land or Draw

1.15fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 87%

0.0ppshort

Seoul E-Land are unbeaten in 5 of 8 home matches while Cheonan have lost half their away games, making a home win or draw highly probable.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Seoul E-Land

1.49fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 67%

0.0ppshort

Seoul's superior home form and recent momentum give them a clear edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.60fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' home/away splits average over 3 goals per game, and 4 of last 5 H2H saw over 2.5, but odds are tight.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Seoul home matches see first-half goals in 87.5% of games, but odds are heavily juiced.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seoul E-Land's superior home form and recent momentum, combined with Cheonan's poor away record and current slump, give the hosts a clear edge in this top-6 race fixture.
- Seoul E-Land home record: 4W-1D-3L, 15 goals scored, 11 conceded in 8 matches
- Cheonan City away record: 2W-2D-4L, 12 goals scored, 13 conceded in 8 matches
- Seoul E-Land last 5 matches: 3W-1D-1L, 10 goals scored, 6 conceded
- Cheonan City last 5 matches: 1W-1D-3L, 5 goals scored, 7 conceded
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSeoul E-LandEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Seoul's tendency to start stronger at home and Cheonan's high rate of trailing at half-time suggest a narrow first-half edge for the hosts, though the low scoring averages keep confidence low.
- Seoul E-Land leading at half-time in 33% of last 15 matches; Cheonan trailing at half-time in 47%
- Seoul E-Land first-half goals per game: 0.6; Cheonan first-half goals conceded: 0.6
- Cheonan first-half goals per game: 0.3; Seoul first-half goals conceded: 0.5
- Last 5 H2H: Seoul led at half-time in 2 of 5, with 2 draws and 1 Cheonan lead
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSeoul E-LandEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Seoul's ability to hold leads when ahead at half-time and Cheonan's poor record when trailing make HT/FT a plausible outcome, but the low frequency of Seoul leading at half reduces confidence.
- Seoul E-Land leading at half-time in 33% of matches; winning 60% of those when leading at half
- Cheonan trailing at half-time in 47% of matches; losing 71% of those when trailing at half
- Seoul E-Land home win rate: 50% (4 of 8); Cheonan away loss rate: 50% (4 of 8)
- Last 5 H2H: Seoul led at half and won full-time in 2 of 5
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableSeoul E-Land / Seoul E-LandEstimated chance30%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Seoul's strong home form and Cheonan's struggles on the road make a home win or draw highly probable, with Seoul losing only 3 of 8 at home and Cheonan winning just 2 of 8 away.
- Seoul E-Land home record: 4W-1D-3L (62.5% unbeaten)
- Cheonan away record: 2W-2D-4L (50% losing)
- Seoul E-Land last 5 matches: 3W-1D-1L (80% unbeaten)
- Cheonan last 5 matches: 1W-1D-3L (80% not winning)
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSeoul E-Land or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits show high-scoring tendencies, and recent H2H history is dominated by goal-filled encounters, making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Seoul E-Land home matches average 3.25 total goals (15 scored, 11 conceded in 8 games)
- Cheonan away matches average 3.13 total goals (12 scored, 13 conceded in 8 games)
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals, including 7, 6, and 3 goals in three of them
- Seoul E-Land last 15 matches: 1.9 goals scored, 1.3 conceded per game
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
High BTTS rates in both teams' respective home/away splits, coupled with Seoul's defensive vulnerability at home and Cheonan's consistent away scoring, point to both teams finding the net.
- Seoul E-Land home matches: both teams scored in 6 of 8 (75%)
- Cheonan away matches: both teams scored in 6 of 8 (75%)
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 3 of 5, with the other two being 0-0 and 3-0
- Seoul E-Land conceded in 6 of last 7 home matches; Cheonan scored in 6 of last 8 away matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combined first-half scoring and conceding rates suggest a high probability of at least one goal before the break, supported by Seoul's strong home trend of first-half action.
- Seoul E-Land first-half goals: 0.6 per game; Cheonan first-half goals conceded: 0.6 per game
- Cheonan first-half goals: 0.3 per game; Seoul first-half goals conceded: 0.5 per game
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 4 of 5 matches (0-0 in the most recent)
- Seoul E-Land home matches: first-half goals in 7 of 8 (87.5%)
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Seoul's consistent home scoring output and Cheonan's tendency to concede multiple goals on the road support the hosts netting at least twice.
- Seoul E-Land home goals: 15 in 8 matches (1.88 per game)
- Seoul E-Land scored 2+ goals in 5 of 8 home matches (62.5%)
- Cheonan conceded 2+ goals in 4 of 8 away matches (50%)
- Last 5 H2H: Seoul scored 2+ goals in 3 of 5 meetings
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSeoul E-Land over 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seoul's strong second-half scoring at home and Cheonan's vulnerability after the break suggest a decent chance of multiple second-half goals, though the data is not overwhelming.
- Seoul E-Land second-half goals: 1.3 per game (total 1.9 - first-half 0.6)
- Cheonan second-half goals conceded: 0.5 per game (total 1.1 - first-half 0.6)
- Seoul E-Land home matches: 11 second-half goals in 8 games (1.38 per game)
- Cheonan away matches: 8 second-half goals conceded in 8 games (1.0 per game)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
In the absence of corner statistics, a neutral estimate based on league averages is used, but confidence is low due to lack of evidence.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches
- K League 2 average corners per game typically around 8-9
- No specific corner trends can be derived from provided data
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D0-0Cheonan CityvSeoul E-Land FCMar 21, 2026K L

W2-5Cheonan CityvSeoul E-Land FCAug 31, 2025K L

L4-2Cheonan CityvSeoul E-Land FCJun 21, 2025K L

L3-0Seoul E-Land FCvCheonan CityApr 5, 2025K L

W0-3Cheonan CityvSeoul E-Land FCOct 20, 2024K L

Seoul E-Land: 2 clean sheetsCheonan City: 2 clean sheets3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

K League 2 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Seoul E-Land Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)	17	9	3	5	30-21	30	DWLWW
11	Cheonan City	17	4	7	6	19-20	19	LLLDW

11pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Seoul E-Land

D2-2Suwon City FCJul 18K L

W3-1Gimhae CityJul 5K L

L1-2CheongjuJun 7K L

W1-0Jeonnam DragonsMay 31K L

W3-1Seongnam FCMay 24K L

D2-2Yongin CityMay 16K L

L0-3Asan MugunghwaMay 9K L

W2-1Gimpo CitizenMay 3K L

L1-2HwaseongApr 26K L

W2-0Ansan GreenersApr 19K L

W3-1Paju CitizenApr 11K L

W3-0Suwon City FCApr 4K L

W3-1Daegu FCMar 29K L

D0-0Cheonan CityMar 21K L

L2-3Busan I ParkMar 14K L

Cheonan City

L0-1CheongjuJul 19K L

W2-1Mokpo CityJul 15FAC

L0-1Gimhae CityJul 10K L

L1-2Gyeongnam FCJul 5K L

D2-2Suwon City FCJun 7K L

W3-1Ansan GreenersMay 31K L

L2-3Suwon BluewingsMay 25K L

D0-0Paju CitizenMay 16K L

L0-1Busan I ParkMay 10K L

W1-0Asan MugunghwaMay 3K L

D1-1Seongnam FCApr 25K L

W2-1Daegu FCApr 18K L

D2-2CheongjuApr 12K L

W1-0Jeonnam DragonsMar 28K L

D0-0Seoul E-Land FCMar 21K L

Squad & Injuries

Seoul E-Land

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Cheonan City

32 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders13

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 1.5

Seoul E-Land or Draw

Seoul E-Land

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals5 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Seoul E-Land at half-time / Seoul E-Land at full-time

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Seoul E-Land

Cheonan City

Squad & Injuries

Seoul E-Land

Cheonan City