Suwon Bluewings or Draw
BetBugs 72% · Market 76.9%
Suwon Bluewings are unbeaten in 9 of 10 home matches this season, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
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Predictions gradedPre-match view
Suwon Bluewings are strong at home but the market has priced them too short; the double chance at 1.30 offers no value (72% model vs 77% implied).
Avoid over 2.5 goals and BTTS as well – the best approach is to wait for better odds or target the second-half goals market.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 76.9%
Suwon Bluewings are unbeaten in 9 of 10 home matches this season, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
BetBugs 55% · Market 62.5%
H2H history strongly favors goals (12 of 17 over 2.5) and Suwon FC's away games average 3.2 total goals, but the odds already price in a high-scoring game.
BetBugs 58% · Market 63.7%
Both teams have consistent scoring records, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
Suwon Bluewings have fulfilled 1 of 4 win predictions, with an average estimated probability of 58.3% against an expected 2.3 wins. The missed predictions include two draws and one loss, and their only success came at home. Their current 45% probability sits at the lower end of their historical range of 45-68%.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon BluewingsPromotion | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29-17 | 40 |
| 3 | SuwonPromotion Play-offs | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 39-24 | 36 |

