Ceara11 – 3Cuiaba MT3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

H2H psychology and slightly better recent form give Ceara an edge, but both teams are mid-table with inconsistent results, so confidence is medium.

• Ceara are unbeaten in last 5 H2H vs Cuiaba (2W, 3D), including 2-0 away win in Apr 2026.
• Ceara home record: 4W, 3D, 4L in 11 home matches this season.
• Cuiaba away record: 2W, 5D, 3L in 10 away matches this season.
• Ceara recent form: WWLDD (last 5), Cuiaba: DDLLD (last 5).

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCearaEstimated chance38%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ceara's strong H2H record and Cuiaba's poor away form make Ceara or Draw highly likely.

• Ceara are unbeaten in last 5 H2H vs Cuiaba (2W, 3D).
• Cuiaba have only 2 away wins in 10 away matches this season.
• Ceara have lost only 4 of 11 home matches this season.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostCeara or DrawEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams rarely lead at half-time, and H2H shows frequent level scores at the break.

• Ceara led at half-time in only 20% of last 15 matches.
• Cuiaba led at half-time in only 20% of last 15 matches.
• In last 5 H2H, 3 matches were level at half-time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high draw rates, but exact HT/FT draw-draw is less common, so low confidence.

• Ceara have drawn 7 of 21 matches this season.
• Cuiaba have drawn 11 of 21 matches this season.
• H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings ended in draws.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low scoring averages and H2H history is low-scoring, supporting Under 2.5 goals.

• 4 of last 5 H2H meetings had 2 or fewer goals.
• Ceara average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match in last 15.
• Cuiaba average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match in last 15.
• Cuiaba's last 5 matches: 1-1, 1-1, 0-1, 0-2, 2-2 (3 of 5 under 2.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have struggled to score consistently, and H2H shows some clean sheets, making BTTS No slightly more likely.

• Ceara failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches.
• Cuiaba failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches.
• H2H: 2 of last 5 meetings ended with one team not scoring.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, making Under 1.5 first-half goals very likely.

• Ceara average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded in last 15.
• Cuiaba average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded in last 15.
• In last 5 H2H, only one match had more than 1 first-half goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half scoring is also low for both teams, supporting Under 1.5 second-half goals.

• Ceara average 0.6 second-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded in last 15.
• Cuiaba average 0.4 second-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded in last 15.
• H2H matches have been low-scoring overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and combined averages suggest over 9.5 corners is slightly more likely.

• Ceara average 5.9 corners per match and concede 4.3 opponent corners per match in last 15.
• Cuiaba average 6.4 corners per match and concede 4.5 opponent corners per match in last 15.
• Combined average corners per match: ~10.7.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate card counts, and the match intensity could push total cards over 4.5.

• Ceara average 2.3 yellow cards and 0.5 red cards per match in last 15.
• Cuiaba average 1.9 yellow cards and 0.3 red cards per match in last 15.
• Combined average cards per match: ~4.5 (excluding reds).