Sport Recife11 – 1Cuiaba MT1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Sport's high draw rate at home and Cuiaba's tendency to draw away, combined with both teams' recent form, point to a stalemate.

• Sport Recife's last 5 matches: 4 draws, 1 loss (DDDLL).
• Cuiaba MT's last 5 matches: 2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win (LDWDL).
• Sport Recife home record: 6 draws in 10 home games this season.
• Cuiaba MT away record: 4 draws in 9 away games.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sport's strong home resilience and Cuiaba's poor away form make a home win or draw highly probable.

• Sport Recife lost only 1 of their last 10 home games (3W, 6D, 1L).
• Cuiaba MT won only 2 of 9 away games this season.
• Sport Recife are 8th, pushing for promotion playoffs, with strong motivation.
• Cuiaba MT have the 4th worst away attack in the league (6 goals in 9 away games).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSport Recife or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half-time, suggesting a level first half.

• Sport Recife's last 5 matches: 3 draws at half-time.
• Cuiaba MT's last 5 matches: 3 draws at half-time.
• Sport Recife led at half-time in only 33% of matches this season.
• Cuiaba MT trailed at half-time in only 27% of matches this season.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A low-event match could easily be goalless at half-time and full-time, though the probability is modest.

• Sport Recife drew 6 of 10 home games, with 3 of those draws being 0-0 or 1-1 at half-time.
• Cuiaba MT drew 4 of 9 away games, with 2 of those draws being 0-0 at half-time.
• Last H2H meeting ended 0-0, with 0-0 at half-time.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Historically low-scoring H2H pattern combined with both teams' recent low-event form strongly supports under 2.5 goals.

• Last 5 H2H meetings all finished under 2.5 goals (0-0, 1-0, 0-0, 2-0, 1-1).
• Sport Recife's last 5 matches: 3 of 5 under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.4 total goals per game.
• Cuiaba MT's last 5 matches: 4 of 5 under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.6 total goals per game.
• Cuiaba MT away record: 6 of 9 away games under 2.5 goals, conceding only 7 goals in 9 away matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Matches tend to open up after the break, with both teams showing a pattern of second-half goals.

• Sport Recife's last 5 matches: all 5 had at least one second-half goal.
• Cuiaba MT's last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had at least one second-half goal.
• Sport Recife score 0.8 second-half goals per game on average.
• Cuiaba MT concede 0.6 second-half goals per game on average.