ChinaShanghai - ChinaFinished

Predictions graded

Ji Sung Nam #768South Korea2Denis Yevseyev #439Kazakhstan0

Sets 6-2 · 6-2Thu 10 Sept 2026, 07:10 Predictions gradedSecond RoundHard

Predictions2–529%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageDenis Yevseyev · 329 places

Jisung Nam

South Korea

Nam, 33, is a right-hander whose ITF profile lists hard as his preferred surface. His highest singles ranking was No. 236 in August 2019.

Current ranking: #768
Peak ranking: #236 · 2019
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

Reached a career-high No. 153 on 22 July 2024. He is currently No. 439; no reliably sourced preferred surface was found.

Current ranking: #439
Peak ranking: #153 · 2024
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 188 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 03:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Ji Sung Nam's strong hard-court form and recent straight-set wins give him a slight edge over Denis Yevseyev, but the margin is thin.

The over 21.5 total games market offers the best value, with a 58% probability, while Nam to win at 1.85 has a small edge. Expect a competitive match with potential for extended sets and a tiebreak.

Context

Nam, 33, is a South Korean right-hander ranked 768 and has spent most of his career on hard courts.
His three wins in Shanghai came against opponents ranked 157, 897, and 755, so the level of competition was modest. In his last 15 matches on hard courts, he is 6-6 with a 52.1% games-won rate, suggesting he is competitive but not dominant at this level.
- Nam's last three matches: wins over Rei Sakamoto (rank 157), Kaito Uesugi (897), and Joshua Charlton (755).
- Nam's last-15 hard-court record is 6-6 with 52.1% games won.
Yevseyev, 33, is a Kazakh right-hander with a career-high ranking of 164 and extensive Challenger experience.
His last-15 record is 7-8, but he has won two matches in Shanghai this week, including a three-set win over Petr Bar Biryukov. His first-serve percentage is 76%, which could give him an edge in holding serve, but his return points won is only 37.5%, so he may struggle to break Nam.
- Yevseyev's last-15 record is 7-8.
- Yevseyev's first-serve percentage is 76% and return points won is 37.5%.
- Yevseyev beat Petr Bar Biryukov (rank 288) in the previous round.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Nam's current hard-court form and recent straight-set wins give him a slight edge over Yevseyev, whose recent results are more mixed.
- Ji Sung Nam has won his last 3 matches on hard court, all in straight sets, including a 7-6(3) 6-4 win over Rei Sakamoto (rank 157).
- Nam's last 15 hard-court record is 6-6, with 52% sets won and 52.1% games won.
- Denis Yevseyev's last 15 overall record is 7-8, with 47.2% sets won and 48% games won.
- Yevseyev lost his most recent hard-court match 6-1 6-2 to Ilia Simakin.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJi Sung NamEstimated chance55%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of the matchup and Yevseyev's tendency for longer matches support a higher total games line.
- Nam's last 15 hard-court matches averaged 20.7 games per match.
- Yevseyev's last 15 overall matches averaged 23.5 games per match.
- Both players have similar serve and return stats, suggesting competitive sets.
- Yevseyev's recent hard-court matches have gone to 3 sets in 2 of his last 6.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first sets for both players have often been close or extended, making over 9.5 games plausible.
- Nam's last 3 hard-court first sets: 7-6, 6-2, 7-6.
- Yevseyev's last 3 hard-court first sets: 7-6, 6-2, 1-6.
- Both players have first-serve percentages around 60-70%, leading to longer games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been competitive in recent matches, with several going to 10 or more games.
- Nam's last 3 hard-court second sets: 6-4, 7-5, 6-2.
- Yevseyev's last 3 hard-court second sets: 6-7, 6-4, 2-6.
- Both players have similar second-serve points won percentages around 50%.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nam's recent pattern of strong starts on hard courts supports a modest edge in the opening set.
- Nam has won the first set in his last 3 matches, all on hard court.
- Yevseyev has lost the first set in 2 of his last 3 hard-court matches.
- Nam's first-set win conversion rate is 85% career-wide.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonJi Sung NamEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have relatively low double fault rates, making under 4.5 likely.
- Nam averages 2.5 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
- Yevseyev averages 1.7 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
- Combined average is 4.2 double faults per match.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages slightly exceed the line, but variance is high.
- Nam averages 3.3 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
- Yevseyev averages 2.5 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
- Combined average is 5.8 aces per match.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Previous match context available

Ji Sung Nam

6W 9L

7-6(3) 6-4#157Rei Sakamoto

6-2 7-5#897Kaito Uesugi

7-6(0) 6-2#755Joshua Charlton

6-4 6-3#506Dominik Palan

6-4 6-4#186Jan Kumstat

7-5 6-4#386Laurent Lokoli

6-3 6-2#442Marat Sharipov (RUS)

6-4 6-2#216Braden Shick

6-4 6-4#892Yuta Kikuchi

6-2 6-4#548Takuya Kumasaka

6-3 6-4#390Marek Gengel

1-6 7-6(6) 6-4#539Kokoro Isomura

6-4 6-4#310Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

6-0 6-1—Nathan Trouve

6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6)#270Hynek Barton

Denis Yevseyev

7W 8L

7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-2#288Petr Bar Biryukov 6-2 6-4#899Hanyi Liu 6-1 6-2#275Ilia Simakin

6-3 7-6(3)#592Svyatoslav Gulin

6-2 6-3#685Mirza Basic

7-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-4—Jannik Maute

6-3 6-4#753Matteo Covato

6-3 6-1#254Matej Dodig

7-5 7-5#578Saba Purtseladze

7-6(4) 4-6 7-5—Noel Larwig

6-4 4-6 6-1#305Yanki Erel

4-6 6-3 6-3#407Vadym Ursu

6-7(5) 6-1 6-3#633Tuncay Duran

6-2 6-3#273Dominic Stricker

6-3 6-0#213Guy Den Ouden

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

JNJi Sung NamNam

Last 15

7–2

9 core stats · 0 even

Denis YevseyevYevseyevDY

Ji Sung Nam carries the stronger recent form — Denis Yevseyev's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In60.8%+15.2pp76.0%

1st Serve Won68.6%+2.5pp66.1%

2nd Serve Won51.3%+3.3pp48.0%

Aces / Match3.3+0.82.5

Double Faults / Match2.50.8 fewer1.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won38.7%+1.2pp37.5%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted41.6%+5.1pp36.5%

Break Pts Saved53.9%+3.3pp50.6%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won50.0%+0.9pp49.1%

Serve · 3–2

60.8%1st Serve In+15.2pp76.0%

68.6%1st Serve Won+2.5pp66.1%

51.3%2nd Serve Won+3.3pp48.0%

3.3Aces / Match+0.82.5

2.5Double Faults / Match0.8 fewer1.7

Return · 1–0

38.7%Return Pts Won+1.2pp37.5%

Pressure · 2–0

41.6%Break Pts Converted+5.1pp36.5%

53.9%Break Pts Saved+3.3pp50.6%

Points · 1–0

50.0%Total Pts Won+0.9pp49.1%