Atletico OttawavsForge FC

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Forge are the stronger side and have recent head-to-head wins, so covering the draw gives them a solid route to avoid defeat.

• Forge are 2nd with 58 points and have lost only 4 of 28 league games.
• Forge are unbeaten in 5 of 7 away matches (1W-4D-2L).
• Forge beat Atletico 2-1 in Ottawa on 17 Oct and 3-0 at home on 12 Sep.
• Atletico are 3rd but have lost two of their last five in the supplied form.

BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Forge FCEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Both sides' season averages and the recent head-to-head pattern point to a low-scoring game.

• All five supplied head-to-heads finished under 3.5 goals, with a maximum of three.
• Forge overall matches average 2.80 total goals; Atletico overall average 3.07.
• Forge concede only 0.93 goals per game overall and 1.14 away.
• Atletico home matches average 3.25 total goals, close to the 3.5 mark.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48

The read

Both teams' first-half goal rates are low, making a quiet opening period the likeliest pattern.

• Atletico average 0.27 first-half goals for and 0.80 against; Forge average 0.57 for and 0.33 against.
• Atletico home first-half split: 0.13 scored and 0.75 conceded per game.
• Forge away first-half split: 0.57 scored and 0.29 conceded per game.
• The last head-to-head first half was 0-1.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62

The read

Forge concede regularly away while Atletico usually score at home, so both sides finding the net is well supported.

• Atletico home both-teams-scored rate is 5 of 8; Forge away is 6 of 7.
• Forge have kept no clean sheets in seven away matches.
• Atletico failed to score in only 2 of 8 home matches.
• Three of the last five head-to-head meetings had both teams scoring.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Atletico do most of their scoring after half-time and Forge's away games tend to open up late.

• Atletico home second-half goals average 1.75 for and 0.63 against.
• Forge away second-half goals average 0.43 for and 0.86 against.
• Atletico overall score 1.27 second-half goals per game.
• The recent head-to-head in Ottawa had two second-half goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' corner averages sit below the 10.5 mark, and the most recent head-to-head was low on corners.

• Atletico home corners average 4.71 for and 3.71 against, a total of 8.43.
• Forge away corners average 4.17 for and 3.83 against, a total of 8.00.
• Forge overall matches average 8.92 corners; Atletico overall average 8.71.
• The last head-to-head in Ottawa had six corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides' card averages and the recent head-to-head point to a match above the 4.5 total.

• Atletico home matches average 1.71 yellow cards for and 3.14 against, plus 0.75 red-card total.
• Forge away matches average 2.50 yellow cards for and 2.50 against, plus 0.80 red-card total.
• The last head-to-head in Ottawa produced five cards (four yellow, one red).
• Atletico overall matches average 4.86 yellow cards; Forge overall average 4.17.