Legia Warszawa IIvsResovia Rzeszow

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.67

The read

A winless bottom side that barely scores is the right opponent for a Legia II team that averages nearly three goals a game at home.

• Legia II at home: 3W-0D-3L, 16 goals in 6 games (2.67 per game)
• Resovia: 0 wins in 13 league games (6D 7L), 6 points, 18th of 18
• Resovia away: 0W-3D-4L, 4 scored and 9 conceded in 7

BetBugs · Draw No BetLegia Warszawa II, draw no betMarket price1.67Estimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29

The read

Legia II have been the quicker starters at home, and Resovia rarely lead at the interval.

• Legia II led at half-time in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Resovia were level or behind at the break in 4 of their last 6
• Legia II home first half: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded per game

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfLegia Warszawa II or DrawMarket price1.29Estimated chance72%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Resovia's scoring output is a single goal at best in almost every game, so two or more away goals is a distant scenario.

• Resovia: 4 goals in 7 away league games, 8 in 13 overall (0.6 per game)
• Resovia never scored more than once in their last 6 matches (2 goals total)
• Legia II kept 2 clean sheets in their last 6 matches

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalResovia Rzeszow under 1.5Market price1.67Estimated chance85%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Both sides are low first-half scorers, so the chance of each finding the net before the interval is small.

• Legia II first half: 0.69 scored, 0.46 conceded per game over 13 matches
• Resovia first half: 0.40 scored, 0.73 conceded per game over 15 matches
• Resovia scored before the break in only 2 of their last 6 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Legia II have been scoring early at home, and Resovia concede before the break more often than they score.

• Legia II's last 6 first halves all contained at least one goal (2-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0)
• 5 of Resovia's last 6 first halves had a goal
• Combined first-half rates: Legia II 0.69 for / 0.46 against, Resovia 0.40 for / 0.73 against

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57

The read

One side supplies almost all the goal threat, which keeps the ceiling on a four-goal game fairly low.

• Resovia's 13 league games: 8 scored, 21 conceded, about 2.2 goals per match
• Resovia failed to score in 9 of 15 tracked matches
• Legia II's 13 matches average 3.8 goals, but most of that comes from their own home scoring

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Legia II score heavily at home and face a bottom side missing a regular defender, so two goals is a fair target.

• Legia II at home: 16 goals in 6 games, 2.67 per game
• Resovia away: 9 conceded in 7 games, 21 in 13 overall
• Legia II scored twice or more in four of their last six matches
• Resovia defender M. Geniec is suspended after four yellow cards

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalLegia Warszawa II over 1.5Estimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.50

The read

Resovia's attack is the weakest part of their game, so a Legia II goal is unlikely to be answered.

• Resovia have scored in only 6 of 15 tracked matches (0.6 goals per game)
• Legia II kept 3 clean sheets in 13 league games and 2 in their last 6
• Resovia's last 6 matches: 2 scored, 5 conceded

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A controlled home win with Resovia failing to score is the scoreline the season data points to most often.

• Legia II average 2.67 goals at home; Resovia average 0.57 away
• Resovia were blanked in 4 of their last 6 matches
• Legia II's 3-0 home win over Podhale is the closest recent template

BetBugs · Correct ScoreLegia Warszawa II 2-0 Resovia RzeszowEstimated chance13%