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Predictions graded

Rekord Bielsko Biala1Resovia Rzeszow1

HT 0–1Sat 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 09:20 · Europe/Bucharest

Resovia are winless in 12 league games and bottom of the table, visiting a Rekord side that has won three of five at home — a clear home case, though all four recent meetings between the clubs finished by a single goal.

Rekord at 2.0, both teams not to score at 2.4 and under 2.5 goals at 2.3 all pay more than the form justifies; the first-half prices at 1.25 and 2.3 do not.

Context

Resovia's twelve league matches have produced five draws and seven defeats, and they have been shut out in seven of them, so the problem is chance creation rather than a defence that collapses weekly. Four of those seven defeats came by a single goal, which is why this does not read as a team being taken apart. Rekord have won three of five home league games and lost only once at home, so the fixture asks Resovia to produce away from Hetmańska what they have not produced anywhere since July. The counterpoint is that five points from twelve rounds is a deficit late-October form rarely repairs, so this is pressure and stakes rather than a changed match condition.
- Resovia's 0-0 draw with Sokół Kleczew on 18 October left them last in the II liga table after twelve rounds, with Sokół 16th and seven points clear of safety.
- After eleven rounds Resovia had four points, fewer than all but one of 126 clubs from the Ekstraklasa down to the four III liga groups.
- Resovia have scored seven goals in twelve league games and been shut out in seven of them, with four of their seven defeats by a single goal.
ReportedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 09:17 · Europe/Bucharest
A centre-back with more than 130 Ekstraklasa appearances and a past captaincy at Widzew Łódź is an unusual addition for a side bottom of the third tier, and Resovia made the move with their season already adrift. It matters here because the arrival was immediate rather than gradual, so Rekord will meet a defence built around a senior organiser rather than the makeshift combination that started the campaign. The limitation is scale: one defender cannot repair a team with five points, and two matches is too few to judge whether the back line around him has improved.
- Resovia announced on 1 October 2026 that 31-year-old defender Patryk Stępiński had signed a contract running to 30 June 2027.
- He joined on a free transfer after leaving Miedź Legnica on 30 June 2026, having played 24 matches there in 2025/26, and has more than 130 Ekstraklasa appearances plus a past captaincy at Widzew Łódź.
- Stępiński was booked in the 44th minute of Resovia's 0-0 draw with Sokół Kleczew on 18 October.
- P. Stępiński started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 09:17 · Europe/Bucharest
Four meetings since August 2024 produced 2-1, 1-0, 2-1 and 3-2 scorelines, all one-goal margins, with both teams scoring in three of them. Rekord's April win is the most recent meeting, and the two before it went to the away side. A comfortable home afternoon is not what this fixture has produced lately, which is the counterweight to the twelve-point gap between the clubs.
- Rekord Bielsko-Biała beat Resovia 2-1 at home on 18 April 2026 in II Liga - East.
- Resovia won 1-0 at home on 5 October 2025; Rekord won 2-1 in Rzeszów on 14 March 2025.
- Resovia won 3-2 in Bielsko-Biała on 17 August 2024.
Rekord average 2.2 goals per home game, the clearest reason to expect them to lead at some stage; Resovia have three away goals in six matches, the clearest reason to doubt a response. Both samples are small — five and six games — and Resovia's five draws in twelve show they can hold a game level for long spells.
- After twelve rounds Rekord are 9th on 17 points with a home record of 3W-1D-1L, 11 goals for and 4 against in five games.
- Resovia are 18th on 5 points with an away record of 0W-2D-4L, 3 goals for and 8 against in six games.
- Resovia's overall league record is 0W-5D-7L with 7 goals scored and 20 conceded.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Rekord's home scoring and Resovia's winless league run make the home side the clear favourite.
- Rekord are 3W-1D-1L at home with 11 goals scored and four conceded.
- Resovia are bottom with 0 wins in 12 league games (5 draws, 7 losses) and 7 goals scored.
- Resovia's away league record is 0W-2D-4L with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded.
- Rekord are 9th on 17 points after 12 league rounds.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRekord Bielsko BialaEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
First-half scoring is low for both sides, so the break is often level.
- Rekord's home first halves average 1.2 total goals (0.8 for, 0.4 against).
- Resovia's away first halves average 1.0 total goals (0.43 for, 0.57 against).
- Rekord were level at half-time in three of their last six.
- Resovia's most recent match was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Rekord's home second-half scoring is much stronger than Resovia's away output.
- Rekord average 1.4 second-half goals at home and concede 0.4.
- Resovia average 0.14 second-half goals away and concede 0.57.
- Rekord scored second-half goals in four of their last six matches.
- Resovia have scored one second-half goal in seven away matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonRekord Bielsko BialaEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rekord's home scoring and Resovia's winless league run make the home side the clear favourite. Resovia's draw habit and low scoring make a share of the points plausible.
- Rekord are 3W-1D-1L at home with 11 goals scored and four conceded.
- Resovia are bottom with 0 wins in 12 league games (5 draws, 7 losses) and 7 goals scored.
- Resovia have drawn 5 of 12 league games.
- Resovia kept a 0-0 in their latest match and have two clean sheets in 14 competitive games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRekord Bielsko Biala or DrawEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rekord's home first-half scoring and Resovia's low first-half output favour a home lead at the break. First-half scoring is low for both sides, so the break is often level.
- Rekord average 0.8 first-half goals at home and concede 0.4.
- Resovia average 0.43 first-half goals away and concede 0.57.
- Rekord's home first halves average 1.2 total goals (0.8 for, 0.4 against).
- Resovia's away first halves average 1.0 total goals (0.43 for, 0.57 against).
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostRekord Bielsko Biala or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Resovia's low scoring and draw-heavy run point to fewer than three goals.
- Resovia away matches average 1.71 total goals (0.57 for, 1.14 against).
- Resovia have six goals in 14 competitive matches.
- Rekord's last six competitive matches averaged 2.17 total goals.
- Resovia have drawn five of 12 league games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.40
The read
Resovia's shortage of goals makes a clean sheet for either side more likely than both scoring.
- Resovia have six goals in 14 competitive matches and were shut out in four of their last six.
- Rekord kept two clean sheets in five home matches.
- Resovia kept two clean sheets in 14 overall, one in seven away.
- Rekord failed to score in four of 13 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Rekord's home scoring rate makes two goals more likely than not.
- Rekord have scored 11 goals in five home matches, an average of 2.2.
- Resovia conceded eight in seven away matches and kept one clean sheet.
- Rekord are 3W-1D-1L at home.
- Resovia's away league record includes eight goals conceded in six games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRekord Bielsko Biala over 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia's low goal output makes two away goals unlikely.
- Resovia have scored four goals in seven away matches and six in 14 competitive matches.
- Resovia were shut out in four of their last six matches.
- Rekord kept two clean sheets in five home matches.
- Rekord conceded four goals in five home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonResovia Rzeszow under 1.5Estimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
A first-half goal is more likely than not given both teams' first-half rates.
- Rekord's home first halves average 1.2 total goals.
- Resovia's away first halves average 1.0 total goals.
- Rekord scored first-half goals in three of their last six.
- Resovia's 2-2 at Chojniczanka had three first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia's low second-half scoring points to fewer than two goals after the break.
- Resovia's away second halves average 0.71 total goals (0.14 for, 0.57 against).
- Resovia have scored one second-half goal in seven away matches.
- Resovia's overall second-half scoring is 0.21 per match.
- Rekord's overall second-half conceding is 0.77 per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance57%

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 2W

L2-1Rekord Bielsko-BiałavResovia RzeszówApr 18, 2026II

L1-0Resovia RzeszówvRekord Bielsko-BiałaOct 5, 2025II

W1-2Resovia RzeszówvRekord Bielsko-BiałaMar 14, 2025II

W2-3Rekord Bielsko-BiałavResovia RzeszówAug 17, 2024II

3 goals/game avg

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Rekord Bielsko Biala	12	5	2	5	16-13	17	LDLWW
18	Resovia Rzeszow	12	0	5	7	7-20	5	DLDLL

12pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Rekord Bielsko Biala

L0-1Znicz PruszkówOct 18II

D1-1Sandecja Nowy SączOct 9II

L1-2Podhale Nowy TargOct 3II

W3-0Świt SkolwinSep 18II

W1-0Avia ŚwidnikSep 13II

W2-1Legia Warszawa IISep 6II

L0-1Górnik ŁęcznaAug 30II

L1-2Olimpia GrudziądzAug 23II

L0-3Sokół KleczewAug 15II

W3-1Stal Stalowa WolaAug 8II

L0-3Sandecja Nowy SączAug 5CUP

W3-0Zawisza BydgoszczAug 2II

D1-1Lechia Zielona GóraJul 25II

D0-0Goczałkowice ZdrójJul 18FRI

D1-1Wiślanie JaśkowiceJul 11FRI

Resovia Rzeszow

D0-0Sokół KleczewOct 18II

L0-1Olimpia GrudziądzOct 12II

D1-1Avia ŚwidnikOct 3II

L0-2Stal Stalowa WolaSep 20II

L0-1Lechia Zielona GóraSep 11II

D2-2Chojniczanka ChojniceSep 5II

L0-4Arka GdyniaSep 2CUP

L0-3Sandecja Nowy SączAug 28II

D1-1Podhale Nowy TargAug 22II

D2-2Tychy 71Aug 15II

L0-1Zawisza BydgoszczAug 8II

W1-0Warta PoznańAug 5CUP

L1-5Śląsk Wrocław IIAug 1II

L0-1Znicz PruszkówJul 24II

W4-3Siarka TarnobrzegJul 18FRI

Squad & Injuries

Rekord Bielsko Biala

29 available

Attackers10

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Resovia Rzeszow

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Under 2.5

Rekord Bielsko Biala

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Draw

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Rekord Bielsko Biala

Resovia Rzeszow

Squad & Injuries

Rekord Bielsko Biala

Resovia Rzeszow