II Liga - EastUpcoming

Resovia RzeszowAvia Swidnik

Sat 3 Oct 2026, 11:003 Oct, 11:00

14Probabilities2Priced2Edges84%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 30 Sep 2026, 16:53 · Europe/Bucharest

Resovia are winless and bottom, hosting an Avia side that has won three league games but lost four of its last five.

The likelier reading is a game with goals and no clean sheet, yet Avia have scored just three times in four away league games and Resovia have blanked in three of their last four at home. No quoted price is worth taking: 1.67 on over 2.5 goals and 1.25 on a first-half goal both ask for more than the records support.

Context

Resovia's goalkeeping picture is unsettled — Jakub Tetyk is back in full training after five months out while Kuba Bochniarz's Poland U-18 call-up leaves his availability for this game uncertain — and the league records point to a home side that concedes heavily against a visitor whose league goals have come at home.

Resovia's own update on 25 September said Jakub Tetyk had played in a friendly against Poland U-18, his first outing after a five-month injury absence, and had returned to full training loads. He is now available to the coaching staff for the Avia fixture, adding a fit-again option to the goalkeeper group. A friendly appearance and a return to training do not establish that he will displace the current starter, so the concrete change is competition and cover rather than a confirmed switch in the XI.
- Resovia's 25 September post said Jakub Tetyk played in a friendly against Poland U-18, his first appearance after five months out injured.
- The same day the club said Tetyk had returned to full training loads and was available to the coaches.
- J. Tetyk started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- K. Bochniarz started in the same position in 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when J. Tetyk did not start.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 16:51 · Europe/Bucharest
Resovia said teenager Kuba Bochniarz was with Poland U-18 during the September international break and played for the national side in a training game against his own club. The club then listed the camp's remaining friendlies, including Sweden on 3 October, the same day as this league fixture. That creates a genuine availability question over one of Resovia's goalkeepers, although the club has not said whether Bochniarz will be released for the Avia match or stay with the U-18 squad.
- Resovia said on 25 September that Kuba Bochniarz was with Poland U-18 and played the first half for the national team in a friendly against his own club.
- A 26 September club post listed Poland U-18's remaining camp friendlies: Sweden on 3 October and Uruguay on 6 October.
- K. Bochniarz started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 16:51 · Europe/Bucharest
Avia Świdnik arrive with the better league position but a thin away scoring record to carry into Rzeszów.
The table splits Avia's season by venue: 9 of their 12 league goals came in five home games, and three goals in four away matches is a modest base for a side sitting 13th. Resovia's four home league games have produced 14 goals, 11 of them conceded, which is why the game can still look open even with Avia's small away output. On this record the realistic reading is one or two Avia goals rather than a comfortable away win.
- II Liga - East table as of 30 September 2026: Avia Świdnik have 12 goals in nine league games, with 9 scored in five home matches and 3 in four away matches.
- The same table lists Avia's away record as one win, one draw and two defeats, with 7 goals conceded across those four away games.
- Resovia are bottom with 3 points from nine games (0 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses) and have conceded 11 goals in four home league matches.
Avia Świdnik beat Wieczysta Kraków 3-1 in the Polish Cup on 3 September, a result confirmed by the club's own match posts, and were drawn against Ekstraklasa side Radomiak Radom in the next round. The cup run is the standout part of Avia's season so far and explains the club's raised profile around this fixture. It does not by itself predict league performance: Avia have four defeats in their last five II-liga matches, so the cup results sit apart from their division form.
- Avia Świdnik's official account posted the 3 September Polish Cup win over Wieczysta Kraków, including the 3-1 scoreline.
- The club said on 17 September that it had been drawn against Ekstraklasa side Radomiak Radom in the next round.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 16:51 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 80%

−8.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches usually see at least one first-half goal, and their combined first-half averages support that.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.67fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 59.9%

−1.9ppshort

Both teams' overall and home-away goal averages point to a match with several goals, though Avia's league away games have been lower-scoring.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 76%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Avia sit higher and have won more league games, while Resovia are bottom with no league wins.
- Avia sit 13th with 10 points while Resovia are bottom with 3 points.
- Avia have won 3 league games this season; Resovia have won none.
- Resovia's home league record is 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses.
- Avia's away league record is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses.
BetBugs · Match WinnerAvia SwidnikEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves involving these teams have generally been low-scoring, with both sides often level at the break.
- Resovia average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.83 against in 12 competitive games.
- Avia average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.58 against in 12 competitive games.
- Resovia's last six competitive matches produced five first-half goals.
- Avia's last six competitive matches produced four first-half goals.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Avia's stronger second-half scoring and Resovia's poor second-half defence make Avia more likely to lead after the break.
- Resovia average 0.33 second-half goals for and 1.0 against in 12 competitive games.
- Avia average 1.17 second-half goals for and 1.0 against in 12 competitive games.
- Resovia have conceded 8 second-half goals in their last 6 competitive matches.
- Avia have scored 5 second-half goals in their last 6 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerAvia SwidnikEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With Resovia winless and Avia inconsistent away, the match could be tight with both sides struggling to finish. Avia sit higher and have won more league games, while Resovia are bottom with no league wins.
- Resovia have drawn 3 of 9 league games; Avia have drawn 1 of 9.
- Resovia's home league record is 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses.
- Avia sit 13th with 10 points while Resovia are bottom with 3 points.
- Avia have won 3 league games this season; Resovia have won none.
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Avia SwidnikEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves involving these teams have generally been low-scoring, with both sides often level at the break. Avia have a slightly better first-half scoring and defensive record, and Resovia concede early chances at home.
- Resovia average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.83 against in 12 competitive games.
- Avia average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.58 against in 12 competitive games.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or Avia SwidnikEstimated chance76%

Goals9 outcomes · top 84%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Both teams' overall and home-away goal averages point to a match with several goals, though Avia's league away games have been lower-scoring.
- Resovia's competitive matches average 2.67 total goals.
- Avia's competitive matches average 3.42 total goals.
- Resovia's home league games average 3.5 total goals.
- Avia's away league games average 2.5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.67Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia's weak home defence gives Avia chances, but Resovia have been shut out in four of their last six competitive matches.
- Resovia have scored in 6 of 12 competitive matches and conceded in 10 of 12.
- Avia have scored in 9 of 12 competitive matches and conceded in 9 of 12.
- Resovia's home league record includes 3 goals scored and 11 conceded in 4 games.
- Avia's away league record includes 3 goals scored and 7 conceded in 4 games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia's low scoring rate and recent home shutouts make it more likely they score at most one goal.
- Resovia average 0.83 goals per competitive match and 1.0 per home competitive match.
- Resovia have scored 3 goals in 4 home league games.
- Resovia failed to score in three of their last four home competitive matches.
- Avia concede 1.58 per competitive match and 1.8 per away competitive match.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalResovia Rzeszow under 1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Avia have the attacking edge and face a Resovia defence that concedes heavily at home, so two goals is plausible.
- Avia average 1.83 goals per competitive match and 1.2 per away competitive match.
- Resovia concede 1.83 per competitive match and 2.5 per home competitive match.
- Avia have scored 3 goals in 4 away league games.
- Avia scored twice in their most recent away league match.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalAvia Swidnik over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia's poor home defensive record and Avia's ability to score in most games make a clean sheet unlikely.
- Resovia have kept 2 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches and 1 in 6 home matches.
- Avia have failed to score in 3 of 12 competitive matches and 2 of 5 away matches.
- Resovia's home league record: 11 goals conceded in 4 games.
- Avia's away league record: 3 goals scored in 4 games.
BetBugs · Team to ScoreAvia Swidnik to scoreEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Resovia have scored in half their home matches, and Avia's away defence has conceded regularly, making a clean sheet less likely.
- Avia have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches and 1 in 5 away matches.
- Resovia have scored in 6 of 12 competitive matches and 3 of 6 home matches.
- Resovia have scored 3 goals in 4 home league games.
- Avia's away league record: 7 goals conceded in 4 games.
BetBugs · Team to ScoreResovia Rzeszow to scoreEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams' recent matches usually see at least one first-half goal, and their combined first-half averages support that.
- Resovia's competitive matches average 1.33 first-half goals.
- Avia's competitive matches average 1.25 first-half goals.
- Resovia's last six competitive matches produced first-half goals in five.
- Avia's last six competitive matches produced first-half goals in four.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.25Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
At least one team is likely to be held scoreless before half-time given their low first-half scoring rates.
- Resovia scored in the first half in only 1 of their last 6 competitive matches.
- Avia scored in the first half in 2 of their last 6 competitive matches.
- Resovia's first-half goals for average 0.5; Avia's first-half goals against average 0.58.
- Avia's first-half goals for average 0.67; Resovia's first-half goals against average 0.83.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfNoEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in both teams' recent matches have often produced multiple goals, with Avia especially active after the break.
- Resovia's competitive matches average 1.33 second-half goals; Avia's average 2.17.
- Resovia's last six competitive matches saw 9 second-half goals.
- Avia's last six competitive matches saw 12 second-half goals.
- Resovia's home second-half record: 0.5 for, 1.33 against in 6 games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance58%

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
18	Resovia Rzeszow	9	0	3	6	6-18	3	LLDLD
13	Avia Swidnik	9	3	1	5	12-16	10	DLLLL

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Resovia Rzeszow

L0-2Stal Stalowa WolaSep 20II

L0-1Lechia Zielona GóraSep 11II

D2-2Chojniczanka ChojniceSep 5II

L0-4Arka GdyniaSep 2CUP

L0-3Sandecja Nowy SączAug 28II

D1-1Podhale Nowy TargAug 22II

D2-2Tychy 71Aug 15II

L0-1Zawisza BydgoszczAug 8II

W1-0Warta PoznańAug 5CUP

L1-5Śląsk Wrocław IIAug 1II

L0-1Znicz PruszkówJul 24II

W4-3Siarka TarnobrzegJul 18FRI

W5-0Korona Kielce IIJul 11FRI

L0-4NiecieczaJul 4FRI

W3-0KSZO 1929Jun 9II

Avia Swidnik

D2-2Sokół KleczewSep 18II

L0-1Rekord Bielsko-BiałaSep 13II

L0-1Tychy 71Sep 6II

W3-1Wieczysta KrakówSep 3CUP

L1-3Lechia Zielona GóraAug 29II

L1-4Zawisza BydgoszczAug 22II

L0-4Stal Stalowa WolaAug 16II

W3-0Sandecja Nowy SączAug 9II

W1-0Górnik ŁęcznaAug 1II

W4-1Olimpia GrudziądzJul 26II

W4-3Stal MielecJul 17FRI

D2-2Stal Stalowa WolaJul 11FRI

W2-1Chełmianka ChełmJul 4FRI

W3-2Czarni PołaniecMay 30III

W4-0Wisłoka DębicaMay 23III

Squad & Injuries

Resovia Rzeszow

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders11

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Avia Swidnik

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3