Marek Dupnitsa11 – 3CSKA Sofia II3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Marek are a different side in Dupnitsa and have not lost to this opponent in five meetings, while CSKA II's away form is solid rather than dominant.

• Marek league home record: 5 played, 4W-0D-1L, 12 goals for, 7 against
• Head-to-head last five: Marek 3W 2D, unbeaten
• CSKA Sofia II away league record: 7 played, 3W 2D 2L, 8 goals for, 4 against

BetBugs · Double ChancelostMarek Dupnitsa or DrawEstimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Marek start strongly in Dupnitsa while CSKA II's away first halves are passive, making a home lead or level score at the break the more likely outcome.

• Marek average 1.67 first-half goals at home and concede 0.83
• CSKA Sofia II average just 0.43 first-half goals in away matches
• CSKA II have led at half-time rarely on the road in this window

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostMarek Dupnitsa or DrawEstimated chance64%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

CSKA II's away games are low-scoring and Marek's season-long output is modest, so four or more goals needs an outlier.

• CSKA Sofia II away matches average 1.71 total goals (8 for, 4 against in 7)
• CSKA Sofia II concede just 0.57 goals per away game
• Marek's 15 competitive matches average 2.47 goals (1.27 for, 1.2 against)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

CSKA II's scoring drops sharply on their travels, so two or more away goals is not the base case.

• CSKA Sofia II have 8 goals in 7 away league games, 1.14 per match
• They were shut out away at Nesebar (0-0) and Etar (0-1) in recent weeks
• Marek keep 6 clean sheets in 15 competitive matches

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostCSKA Sofia II under 1.5Estimated chance64%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second-half scoring rates are low enough that two or more goals after the break is the less likely side.

• Marek average 0.27 second-half goals across 15 games
• CSKA Sofia II score 0.71 and concede 0.43 per second half away from home
• The two sides' combined second-half expectation sits near 1.1 goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A tight, low-scoring draw fits both the recent head-to-head and CSKA II's cautious away profile.

• The last meeting in Dupnitsa finished 1-1
• Marek have 3 draws in 13 league games, CSKA Sofia II 4 in 13
• Marek's home games produce 3.67 goals but CSKA II's away games only 1.71

BetBugs · Correct ScorelostMarek Dupnitsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance11%