CSKA Sofia II3Yantra Gabrovo3

HT 3–0Fri 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges1–233%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Oct 2026, 20:39 · Europe/Bucharest

CSKA Sofia II have scored 15 goals in five home league games; Yantra Gabrovo have three in five on the road and were shut out in four of their last six competitive matches.

The leaders should win, but 1.8 on a CSKA victory offers no clear advantage. The one price that stands is both teams to score — No at 1.88, even though CSKA have conceded in three of five home league games.

Context

Yantra have won this exact fixture recently, while CSKA's best result in the series came on their travels.
The series has lately rewarded the visiting side rather than the host. Yantra's May win came in the same fixture CSKA now stage, and it is the reason a low-scoring away display cannot be dismissed. CSKA's 3-0 in Gabrovo five months earlier shows the margin can also run the other way.
- 4 May 2026: CSKA Sofia II 0-1 Yantra 2019, Second League, in Sofia
- 3 November 2025: Yantra 2019 0-3 CSKA Sofia II, Second League
- 3 April 2025: Yantra 2019 2-0 CSKA Sofia II; 23 September 2024: CSKA Sofia II 0-0 Yantra 2019
CSKA's home league form is the platform for their place at the top of the table.
CSKA have made their own ground the base of a title challenge, averaging three goals a game across those five fixtures. The sample is small and includes a 4-0 win over Montana and a 5-1 win over Spartak Pleven, so the scoring rate flatters slightly. Yantra's task is to stay level long enough to deny the late surges that have settled those games.
- Five league home matches, 11 August to 27 September 2026: 4W-1D-0L, 15 goals scored, 5 conceded
- Those five matches produced 20 goals in total
Yantra's away record includes a cup win at Oborishte, so the league-only picture is even leaner.
Two of those six away outings were cup ties, including a 3-1 win at Oborishte, which lifts the scoring line without changing the league pattern of narrow, low-scoring games. The clean-sheet count of one in six away matches points to a side that concedes most weeks on the road. Against a home team averaging three goals per league game, that record is the main obstacle to an away result.
- Six away matches, 3 August to 4 October 2026: 2W-1D-3L, 4 goals scored, 5 conceded, 1 clean sheet
- The sample includes cup fixtures as well as Second League matches
The split describes when CSKA's goals arrive rather than how many they score overall.
CSKA's league matches tend to be tight at the interval before opening up, which makes an early lead a less reliable assumption than the raw home goal tally suggests. That matters for a visiting side whose best route is a compact, low-scoring game. The sample is 12 league matches, so it is a tendency rather than a rule.
- 12 league matches, 28 July to 10 October 2026: 0.5 first-half goals for, 1.42 second-half goals for
- Home split of five league games: 0.6 first-half goals for, 2.4 second-half goals for

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.91fair 1.92

BetBugs 52% · Market 52.4%

−0.4ppshort

CSKA's home scoring rate pushes the total up, but Yantra's away games have been much tighter.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
The league leaders have been dominant in Sofia, while Yantra have scored just three goals in five away league games.
- CSKA Sofia II are 4W-1D-0L at home in the league with 15 goals scored and 5 conceded in five games
- Yantra Gabrovo are 1W-1D-3L on their league travels with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded
- CSKA Sofia II lead the table on 24 points; Yantra are sixth on 19
- CSKA Sofia II have won four of their last six league matches, Yantra three of their last five in the league
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score little before half-time, making a level interval the most likely single outcome.
- Combined first-half scoring averages are under one goal per match
- Yantra Gabrovo have conceded 0.29 first-half goals per league game
- CSKA Sofia II have conceded 0.33 first-half goals per league game
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA score heavily after half-time and fade less than Yantra do in the second period.
- CSKA Sofia II average 1.42 second-half goals for and 0.42 against in league games
- In their home split they average 2.4 second-half goals for and 0.4 against
- Yantra Gabrovo concede 1.0 second-half goals per away match in their away split
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The league leaders have been dominant in Sofia, while Yantra have scored just three goals in five away league games. Yantra's low-scoring, compact games give them a reasonable route to a share of the points.
- CSKA Sofia II are 4W-1D-0L at home in the league with 15 goals scored and 5 conceded in five games
- Yantra Gabrovo are 1W-1D-3L on their league travels with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded
- CSKA Sofia II have drawn three of twelve league games
- Yantra Gabrovo have drawn once in twelve league games but held a 1-1 away draw this season
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCSKA Sofia II or DrawEstimated chance81%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA create slightly more before the break, but first halves in this fixture profile are tight. Both teams score little before half-time, making a level interval the most likely single outcome.
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against in league games
- In their home split first-half goals are 0.6 for and 0.6 against
- Combined first-half scoring averages are under one goal per match
- Yantra Gabrovo have conceded 0.29 first-half goals per league game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonCSKA Sofia II or DrawEstimated chance84%

Goals8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
CSKA's home scoring rate pushes the total up, but Yantra's away games have been much tighter.
- CSKA Sofia II home league games have produced 20 goals in five matches (15 for, 5 against)
- CSKA Sofia II average 1.92 scored and 0.75 conceded per league game
- Yantra Gabrovo away league games average 1.8 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
At least one side being shut out is the more likely outcome given Yantra's recent blanks.
- Yantra Gabrovo failed to score in four of their last six competitive matches
- CSKA Sofia II kept clean sheets in five of twelve league games
- Yantra kept five clean sheets in fourteen competitive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA have scored at least twice in most home league games this season.
- CSKA Sofia II scored 15 goals in five home league matches
- They scored in all five home league matches and in nine of twelve league games overall
- Yantra Gabrovo concede 1.2 goals per away league match
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCSKA Sofia II over 1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yantra's away scoring rate points to one goal or none.
- Yantra Gabrovo scored 3 goals in five away league matches
- They failed to score in four of their last six competitive matches
- CSKA Sofia II conceded 0.75 goals per league game
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostYantra Gabrovo under 1.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA concede at home often enough that Yantra finding one goal is slightly more likely than not.
- CSKA Sofia II conceded in three of five home league matches
- Yantra Gabrovo scored in nine of fourteen competitive matches this season
- CSKA conceded 5 goals in five home league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYantra Gabrovo to scoreEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA's home scoring record makes a Yantra clean sheet unlikely.
- CSKA Sofia II scored in five of five home league matches
- CSKA scored 15 goals in those five home games
- Yantra Gabrovo conceded in five of six away matches across competitions
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCSKA Sofia II to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Most CSKA home wins this season came with a goal conceded or did not happen at all.
- CSKA Sofia II conceded in three of five home league matches
- Yantra Gabrovo scored in nine of fourteen competitive matches
- CSKA's five home league games produced five goals against
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Roughly one first-half goal is expected across the two teams' records, so an early goal is more likely than not.
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.83 combined first-half goals per league game
- Yantra Gabrovo average 0.71 combined first-half goals per league game
- CSKA's home split shows 1.2 combined first-half goals per game
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance59%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences start games well, so at least one team is very likely to reach half-time without conceding.
- Combined first-half scoring rates sit well below one goal per team per match
- Yantra Gabrovo average 0.29 first-half goals against in league play
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.33 first-half goals against in league play
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves involving these teams produce around two goals, and CSKA's home games in particular open up late.
- CSKA Sofia II average 1.84 combined second-half goals per league game
- Yantra Gabrovo average 1.42 combined second-half goals per league game
- CSKA's home split shows 2.8 combined second-half goals per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance54%