Second LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

CSKA Sofia II4Montana0

HT 1–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges4–267%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 00:38 · Europe/Bucharest

CSKA Sofia II's strong home form and Montana's poor away record make a home win or draw highly likely, but the best betting value lies in 'Montana not to keep a clean sheet' at odds of 1.65, with a +14.4 point edge.

Avoid backing CSKA Sofia II to win outright at 1.85, as the price offers no value.

Context

Montana is 9th in the Second League with 11 points from 8 matches.
Their away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded. This pattern suggests they struggle on the road, and facing a CSKA Sofia II side that is unbeaten at home adds to the challenge.
- Montana's away record this season: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in 4 matches.
- They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 away from home.
Montana midfielder H. Ivanov has started four of the five recent fixtures with available lineups.
Ivanov missed the 8 September match against Vihren through illness and there is no confirmed update on his return. If he remains unavailable, Montana must adjust its midfield selection from the group used in recent league matches.
- Montana coach Bozhidar Djurkovic said on 7 September that Ivanov was ill and could not play unless fully fit.
- Ivanov was left out of Montana’s 20-player group for the Vihren match on 8 September.
- H. Ivanov started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 00:38 · Europe/BucharestPFC Montanapfcmontana.bg · 7 Sep 2026Sportal.bgsportal.bg · 7 Sep 2026
CSKA Sofia II is 5th in the Second League with 14 points.
Their home record is 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded. This strong home form gives them an advantage against a Montana side that has struggled away.
- CSKA Sofia II's home record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses in 3 matches.
- They have scored 10 goals and conceded 5 at home.
CSKA Sofia II and Montana have faced each other three times in the last two years.
All three matches ended level: 1-1 in a July 2026 friendly, 0-0 in March 2025, and 0-0 in September 2024. This pattern suggests a closely contested match, though current form may break the trend.
- 2026-07-01: CSKA Sofia II 1-1 Montana (Friendly)
- 2025-03-30: CSKA Sofia II 0-0 Montana (Second League)
- 2024-09-14: Montana 0-0 CSKA Sofia II (Second League)

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

CSKA Sofia II

1.85fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 54%

0.0ppshort

CSKA Sofia II's strong home form and Montana's poor away record give the hosts a clear edge, supported by motivation to stay in promotion contention.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.70fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches show high scoring tendencies, especially CSKA Sofia II at home, making over 2.5 goals probable.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.30fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average over half a goal in the first half, making at least one first-half goal likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's strong home form and Montana's poor away record give the hosts a clear edge, supported by motivation to stay in promotion contention.
- CSKA Sofia II home record: 2W 1D 0L, 10 goals scored, 5 conceded in 3 matches
- Montana away record: 0W 2D 2L, 5 goals scored, 7 conceded in 4 matches
- CSKA Sofia II overall points: 14 vs Montana 11; goal difference +7 vs +1
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's unbeaten home record combined with Montana's away struggles makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- CSKA Sofia II unbeaten at home (2W 1D)
- Montana winless away (0W 2D 2L)
- H2H last 3 meetings all draws
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCSKA Sofia II or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into half time level, making a first-half draw a reasonable outcome.
- CSKA Sofia II leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing 27%
- Montana leading at half time in 20%, trailing 27%
- H2H recent matches had 0-0 or 1-1 first half scores
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by a CSKA Sofia II win is plausible given their home strength and Montana's away fragility.
- CSKA Sofia II home record: 2W 1D, often scoring in second half
- Montana away record: 0W 2D 2L, conceding late goals
- CSKA Sofia II second half goal difference positive
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / CSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance20%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches show high scoring tendencies, especially CSKA Sofia II at home, making over 2.5 goals probable.
- CSKA Sofia II home matches average 5.0 total goals (10 scored, 5 conceded in 3)
- Montana away matches average 3.0 total goals (5 scored, 7 conceded in 4)
- CSKA Sofia II overall average 1.8 goals for, 0.9 against; Montana 1.4 for, 1.9 against
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams scoring likely.
- CSKA Sofia II scored in 12 of last 15 matches; Montana scored in 11 of last 15
- Montana conceded in 12 of last 15; CSKA Sofia II conceded in 9 of last 15
- H2H: 1-1 draw in most recent meeting
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over half a goal in the first half, making at least one first-half goal likely.
- CSKA Sofia II first half goals: 0.6 per match; Montana first half goals: 0.7 per match
- CSKA Sofia II first half goals conceded: 0.6; Montana first half goals conceded: 0.7
- Combined first half goal rate: 1.3 per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second half scoring rates suggest over 1.5 goals is possible, though confidence is low due to limited direct data.
- CSKA Sofia II second half goals: 1.2 per match (1.8 total - 0.6 first half)
- Montana second half goals: 0.7 per match (1.4 total - 0.7 first half)
- Combined second half goal rate: 1.9 per match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Montana's consistent scoring threat makes a CSKA Sofia II clean sheet unlikely.
- CSKA Sofia II conceded in 9 of last 15 matches
- Montana scored in 11 of last 15 matches
- Montana away scored in 3 of 4 matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonMontana to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's strong home attack and Montana's defensive struggles make a Montana clean sheet very unlikely.
- Montana conceded in 12 of last 15 matches
- CSKA Sofia II scored in 12 of last 15 matches
- CSKA Sofia II home scored 10 goals in 3 matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostCSKA Sofia II to scoreEstimated chance75%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 29% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 25%; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 0W

D1-1CSKA Sofia IIvMontanaJul 1, 2026FRI

D0-0CSKA Sofia IIvMontanaMar 30, 2025SEC

D0-0MontanavCSKA Sofia IISep 14, 2024SEC

CSKA Sofia II unbeaten in 3 meetingsCSKA Sofia II: 2 clean sheetsMontana: 2 clean sheets0.7 goals/game avg

League Table

Second League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	CSKA Sofia II	8	4	2	2	15-8	14	LWLDW
9	Montana	8	3	2	3	13-12	11	LDWLW

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia II

L0-1Etar Veliko TarnovoSep 6SEC

W5-1Spartak PlevenSep 3SEC

L0-1FratriaAug 29SEC

D1-1Ludogorets IIAug 25SEC

W1-0Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAug 17SEC

W4-3Hebar 1918Aug 11SEC

W3-0Pirin BlagoevgradAug 3SEC

D1-1VihrenJul 28SEC

W2-0Rilski SportistJul 11FRI

D1-1MontanaJul 1FRI

W2-1Sportist SvogeJun 27FRI

W3-0Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaMay 23SEC

W2-1FK Minyor PernikMay 11SEC

L0-1Yantra 2019May 4SEC

D2-2FratriaApr 26SEC

Montana

L1-4VihrenSep 8SEC

D0-0BeroeSep 3SEC

W3-0Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaAug 30SEC

L1-2Rilski SportistAug 22SEC

W1-0MarekAug 16SEC

L2-3Yantra 2019Aug 11SEC

W3-1NesebarAug 4SEC

D2-2Sportist SvogeJul 25SEC

W3-1Spartak PlevenJul 18FRI

L2-7Slavia SofiaJul 11FRI

D1-1CSKA Sofia IIJul 1FRI

L0-2Slavia SofiaMay 22FIR

L0-2Spartak VarnaMay 18FIR

L0-1Botev VratsaMay 14FIR

D2-2Lokomotiv SofiaMay 9FIR

Squad & Injuries

CSKA Sofia II

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper5

Montana

27 available

Attackers10

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

CSKA Sofia II or Draw

CSKA Sofia II to score

CSKA Sofia II

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

Montana

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia II

Montana

Squad & Injuries

CSKA Sofia II

Montana