Zalgiris Kaunas00 – 0Zalgiris Vilnius0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The league leaders concede very little at home, while Vilnius have been an ordinary travelling side this season.

• Zalgiris Kaunas lead the A Lyga with 54 points and a home league record of 8W-4D-3L, 34 goals for and 9 against in 15 games.
• Zalgiris Vilnius are 5W-4D-5L away in the league, 14 scored and 14 conceded in 14 away games.
• Vilnius lost 3-0 away at TransINVEST on 19 September and have been much stronger at home than on the road.

BetBugs · Double ChanceZalgiris Kaunas or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Kaunas' home defence is the tightest in the league, and Vilnius have scored only a goal per away game.

• Kaunas have conceded just 20 goals in 29 league games, and only 9 in 15 at home.
• Vilnius average 1.0 goal per away league game (14 in 14).
• Vilnius kept four clean sheets across their 14 tracked competitive matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A one-goal-per-away-game attack meeting the league's meanest home defence points to a low away tally.

• Vilnius have scored 14 goals in 14 away league games, an average of 1.0.
• Kaunas have conceded only 9 in 15 home league games.
• Vilnius were shut out in their most recent away league match before this fixture window closed.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalZalgiris Vilnius under 1.5Estimated chance69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Kaunas score reliably in front of their own crowd, and Vilnius concede regularly away from home.

• Kaunas scored 34 goals in 15 home league games and scored in 12 of their 15 tracked matches.
• Vilnius have conceded 35 goals in 30 league games, including 14 in 14 away.
• Vilnius kept only four clean sheets in 14 tracked competitive matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScoreZalgiris Kaunas to scoreEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side scores often before the break, so a split first half looks more likely than an early exchange.

• Kaunas average 0.6 first-half goals for and 0.73 against across 15 matches.
• Vilnius average 0.64 first-half goals for and 1.0 against across 14 matches.
• Only two of each side's last six matches had both teams scoring before half-time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The tracked matches show both teams giving up plenty of corners, which makes a modest total of seven plausible.

• Kaunas' matches average 2.6 corners for them against 7.6 for opponents across 5 tracked games.
• Vilnius' matches average 3.5 corners for them against 6.0 for opponents across 2 tracked games.
• Both sides concede a high corner count relative to their own.