Zalgiris Kaunas or Draw
Market 82% · BetBugs 82%
Zalgiris Kaunas' strong home form and TransINVEST's vulnerability on the road make a home win or draw highly likely.
A LygaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Zalgiris Kaunas are favourites but the home win at 1.57 offers negative value (55% model vs 63.7% implied).
The best edge is Both Teams to Score at 1.80 (+4.4 points), with Over 2.5 goals also fair. Avoid first-half overs and the double chance due to no value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 82% · BetBugs 82%
Zalgiris Kaunas' strong home form and TransINVEST's vulnerability on the road make a home win or draw highly likely.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and their two H2H meetings this season produced 3 goals each, supporting Over 2.5.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have scored in 10 of 12 home/away matches respectively, and both H2H meetings this season saw both teams score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 64% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 40-15 | 37 |
| 4 | FK TransINVEST | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32-31 | 35 |

