Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris Vilnius: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hajduk's dominant first-leg win and strong recent form, combined with Zalgiris' poor away record, make a home victory highly likely.
- Hajduk won the first leg 6-2 away on 6 Aug 2026, showing clear superiority.
- Hajduk's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 losses, scoring 11 goals (2.2 per game).
- Zalgiris lost 3 of last 5 away matches, conceding 9 goals (1.8 per game).
- Hajduk have a 53% leading-at-half-time rate in last 15 matches vs Zalgiris' 20%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHajduk SplitEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With a four-goal cushion and strong home form, Hajduk are very unlikely to lose this match.
- Hajduk are unbeaten in 4 of last 5 home matches (3W, 1D, 1L).
- Zalgiris have only 1 win in last 5 away matches (1W, 1D, 3L).
- Hajduk's aggregate lead allows them to manage the game without needing to win.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonHajduk Split or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hajduk's strong first-half record and home advantage make them favorites to lead at the break.
- Hajduk led at half-time in 53% of last 15 matches.
- Zalgiris trailed at half-time in 33% of last 15 matches.
- Hajduk scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 home matches.
- First leg: Hajduk led 2-1 at half-time away.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHajduk SplitEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hajduk's ability to control games from the start at home supports a half-time/full-time double.
- Hajduk led at half-time and won in 4 of last 5 home wins.
- Zalgiris lost 3 of last 5 away matches, trailing at half-time in 2 of those.
- Hajduk's home form: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostHajduk Split / Hajduk SplitEstimated chance50%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and Zalgiris must attack to overturn the deficit, increasing goal likelihood.
- First leg produced 8 goals (2-6).
- Hajduk's last 5 matches averaged 3.6 total goals.
- Zalgiris' last 5 away matches averaged 3.4 total goals.
- Hajduk scored 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Zalgiris' need to score and Hajduk's occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring a reasonable outcome.
- Both teams scored in the first leg.
- Zalgiris scored in 4 of last 5 away matches.
- Hajduk conceded in 3 of last 5 home matches.
- Zalgiris average 1.6 goals conceded per game in last 15, suggesting defensive vulnerability.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hajduk's consistent home scoring and Zalgiris' defensive frailties point to the hosts netting at least twice.
- Hajduk scored 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 home matches.
- Hajduk average 1.9 goals per game in last 15 matches.
- Zalgiris conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonHajduk Split over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zalgiris' attacking necessity and decent away scoring record suggest they will find the net at least once.
- Zalgiris scored in 4 of last 5 away matches.
- Hajduk conceded in 3 of last 5 home matches.
- Zalgiris average 2.1 goals per game in last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostZalgiris Vilnius over 0.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start quickly, and the aggregate situation may lead to an open first half.
- First leg had 3 first-half goals.
- Hajduk's last 5 matches averaged 1.6 first-half goals.
- Zalgiris' last 5 away matches averaged 1.4 first-half goals.
- Hajduk average 1.0 first-half goals per game in last 15.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data, but Hajduk's home matches tend to produce corners, and an open game could increase the count.
- First leg had 7 corners (Zalgiris 2, Hajduk 5).
- Hajduk average 4.2 corners per game in last 15, opponents 5.1.
- Zalgiris average 2.0 corners per game in last 15, but data is sparse.
- Hajduk's last 5 home matches with corner data averaged 9.2 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Hajduk Split4Zalgiris Vilnius0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Hajduk Split

Hajduk Split or Draw

Hajduk Split

Hajduk Split at half-time / Hajduk Split at full-time

Over 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Hajduk Split

Hajduk Split or Draw

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Hajduk Split

Zalgiris Vilnius

Squad & Injuries

Hajduk Split

Zalgiris Vilnius