Hegelmann vs Zalgiris Vilnius: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hegelmann's strong H2H resistance and high home draw rate (70%) combine with Zalgiris' European distraction to make a draw the most likely single outcome.
- Hegelmann home record: 2W-7D-1L in 10 league matches this season, with 7 draws.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 2 draws, 2 Hegelmann wins, 1 Zalgiris win; last meeting at Hegelmann ended 0-0.
- Zalgiris away record: 4W-3D-3L, with 3 draws in 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hegelmann's historical H2H dominance and Zalgiris' European sandwich (high motivation/rotation risk) strongly support Hegelmann avoiding defeat.
- Hegelmann unbeaten in 9 of last 10 league H2H meetings (W5 D4 L1).
- Hegelmann home record: only 1 loss in 10 home league matches this season.
- Zalgiris lost 3-0 away in Europe 4 days ago and face a must-win return leg 3 days after this match, risking heavy rotation.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostHegelmann or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a tendency for first-half stalemates, with Hegelmann's 53% draw rate at half-time and Zalgiris' 40% making a level first half the most probable scenario.
- Hegelmann led at half-time in only 20% of recent matches, trailed in 27%, drawn in 53%.
- Zalgiris led at half-time in 33% of recent matches, trailed in 27%, drawn in 40%.
- Last H2H at Hegelmann was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combination of Hegelmann's draw-heavy home profile and Zalgiris' potential rotation makes a stalemate throughout plausible, though specific HT/FT draws are inherently low-probability.
- Hegelmann home matches: 7 draws in 10, with many goalless at half-time.
- Zalgiris away matches: 3 draws in 10, often tight first halves.
- Last H2H at Hegelmann: 0-0 at half-time, 0-0 full-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low-scoring trends in Hegelmann home games and recent H2H, plus potential Zalgiris rotation reducing attacking cohesion, point to a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Hegelmann home matches average 2.5 total goals (13 scored, 12 conceded in 10 games).
- Zalgiris away matches average 1.8 total goals (11 scored, 7 conceded in 10 games).
- Last H2H at Hegelmann ended 0-0; 3 of last 5 H2H had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hegelmann's home scoring struggles (only 13 goals in 10 games) and Zalgiris' solid away defense (7 conceded in 10) suggest at least one side may blank.
- Hegelmann failed to score in 3 of last 5 home league matches.
- Zalgiris kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 away league matches.
- Last H2H at Hegelmann ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring averages for both teams and a history of tight H2H openings strongly support a quiet first 45 minutes.
- Hegelmann first-half goals: 0.7 per game; first-half conceded: 1.0 per game.
- Zalgiris first-half goals: 0.7 per game; first-half conceded: 0.5 per game.
- Last 5 H2H: only 1 match had over 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While first halves tend to be tight, both teams' overall goal rates and Hegelmann's defensive fragility suggest the match could open up after the break, though evidence is moderate.
- Hegelmann concede 1.8 goals per game overall, with many goals coming after half-time.
- Zalgiris score 1.6 goals per game overall, often finding the net in the second half.
- Last H2H: Hegelmann scored all 3 goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of corner stats, the expected cautious, low-event match pattern suggests a lower corner count, though confidence is limited by missing data.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Low-scoring, tight matches typically produce fewer corners.
- Zalgiris' possible rotation may reduce attacking width and corner opportunities.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Hegelmann	21	4	10	7	23-34	22	WLDLD
4	Zalgiris Vilnius	20	9	4	7	30-22	31	WWDLW

Hegelmann2Zalgiris Vilnius3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Hegelmann or Draw

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Hegelmann

Zalgiris Vilnius

Squad & Injuries

Hegelmann

Zalgiris Vilnius