Hull City1Brentford1

HT 1–0Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–275%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 12–14On targetOn target 2–6CornersCorners 5–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Oct 2026, 21:40 · Europe/Bucharest

Hull are unbeaten at home in the league; Brentford have drawn all three of their league games on the road, so a tight draw is the likeliest shape.

Brentford's greater scoring (13 league goals to Hull's 8) is the case for the away side, but Draw or Brentford at 1.22 asks far too much. Prices that hold up: fewer than four goals at 1.48, fewer than two before half-time at 1.53, and Hull to score at least once at 1.44.

Context

Brentford arrive at Hull with Yarmolyuk and Janelt both suspended. Their absence removes two midfield options from the matchday selection and may require a different midfield combination. The available evidence does not identify the replacements or establish either player's projected starting role.
- Yehor Yarmolyuk is suspended for the Hull City match.
- Vitaly Janelt is suspended for the Hull City match.
ReportedSources checked 24 Oct 2026, 21:38 · Europe/BucharestFlashscore match previewwww.flashscore.co.uk · 24 Oct 2026
Brentford's away record in the window is 2W 4D 1L, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded across seven games. Both teams scored in six of those seven. Hull finding at least one home goal is well supported, and the same record argues against a clean-sheet away win.
- Seven away matches in the 2026 window: 2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 6 scored, 7 conceded.
- Brentford kept no clean sheet in those seven away matches and both teams scored in six of them.
- Brentford averaged 2.0 goals for and 1.57 against per away match.
One goal against in four home matches, with three clean sheets, is the base of Hull's season so far. The caution is at the other end: three goals in four home games is a modest return that explains the draws. Against a Brentford side that has scored in six of seven away games, both parts of that record will be tested.
- Four home matches in the window: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 3 scored, 1 conceded.
- Hull kept three clean sheets across those four home matches.
Mendy is among Hull's listed injuries before the Brentford fixture. This reduces the home side's available squad options for the match. The evidence does not specify his injury, expected recovery point or whether he was projected to start.
- Nobel Mendy is included on Hull City's injury list before the Brentford fixture.
ReportedSources checked 24 Oct 2026, 21:38 · Europe/BucharestFlashscore match previewwww.flashscore.co.uk · 24 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Brentford carry the greater attacking threat and rarely lose, while Hull's home solidity has produced draws rather than wins.
- Brentford have drawn 4 of 7 league games and are unbeaten away in the league (0W 3D 0L).
- Hull have drawn 3 of 7 league games, including 0-0 at home to Aston Villa.
- Brentford have scored 13 league goals to Hull's 8.
- Brentford's away window record is 2W 4D 1L.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or BrentfordEstimated chance63%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Brentford score regularly on the road and have not been shut out often, so an away goal is the likelier side of a close call.
- Brentford have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches in the window at 2.0 goals per game.
- Brentford kept no clean sheet in any of those 7 away matches.
- Hull have kept 3 clean sheets in 4 home matches, but only 5 in 10 overall.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBrentford over 0.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Hull's games have been low-scoring and tight, and four goals would require a far more open game than either side has produced lately.
- Hull's competitive matches average 1.9 goals in total (1.1 for, 0.8 against).
- Hull home matches average 1.75 goals in total.
- Hull have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Neither side starts quickly enough for two first-half goals to be the likely outcome.
- Hull average 0.4 first-half goals for and 0.4 against.
- Brentford average 1.0 first-half goal for and 0.31 against.
- Hull's home split is 0.5 first-half goals for and 0 conceded.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Brentford's away defence has been porous all window, giving Hull a good chance of at least one home goal.
- Hull scored in 7 of 10 competitive matches and have 5 goals in 4 home games.
- Brentford have kept no clean sheet in 7 away matches in the window.
- Brentford's away matches concede 1.57 goals per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonHull City over 0.5Estimated chance76%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches are busy in front of goal, and Brentford's away games in particular generate well over the line.
- Hull's matches average 24.3 shots in total; Brentford's average 30.9.
- Brentford away matches average 32.4 shots in total.
- Brentford's opponents average 16.2 shots per game, Hull's 13.8.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 25.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Brentford are a modest corner-winning side away from home and have stayed under five in most recent games.
- Brentford average 3.86 corners across 7 away matches.
- Brentford took 3, 2, 4, 7, 1 and 4 corners in their last six matches.
- Hull concede 4.75 corners per home game.
BetBugs · Away CornerslostBrentford under 4.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have produced card counts around or above four, helped by Brentford's reliance on physical midfielders.
- Brentford average 2.15 yellows plus 2.08 for opponents, about 4.2 cards per game.
- Hull average 2.9 yellows plus 0.8 for opponents, about 3.7 per game.
- Recent totals include 7 cards in Brentford's Liverpool game and 6 in Hull's Chelsea game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance58%