Debrecen2Vasas SC4

HT 2–1Sat 19 Sept 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges5–271%

PossPossession 49%–51%ShotsShots 11–15On targetOn target 6–6CornersCorners 4–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Sep 2026, 17:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Vasas SC are a slight value pick at 2.63 to win away at Debrecen, with a +4 point edge.

Avoid Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score Yes, as the market overprices scoring relative to our model.

Context

Vasas SC is third in NB I with 11 points from seven matches.
Their away record shows one win, one draw, and one loss, with a negative goal difference. This suggests they are less reliable on the road, which could give Debrecen a chance despite the table gap.
- Away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in 3 matches.
- Goals for: 3, goals against: 4.
Debrecen midfielder Balázs Dzsudzsák had started six of the first seven league matches before being forced off at Paks.
His unresolved fitness leaves an attacking starting place unsettled. The cup team sheet at Gödöllő did not include him, but no definitive update has been published, so his availability remains a watch item.
- DVSC confirmed that Dzsudzsák was substituted because of injury in the 5 September win at Paks.
- Head coach Gert Remmel said the severity of Dzsudzsák's injury was not yet known after the Paks match.
- The official 12 September Gödöllő-DVSC cup team sheet did not list Dzsudzsák among the starters or substitutes.
To watchSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 17:50 · Europe/BucharestDVSC: Paks-DVSC match reportdvsc.hu · 5 Sep 2026Nemzeti Sport: Gert Remmel's Paks reactionwww.nemzetisport.hu · 6 Sep 2026MLSZ match record: Gödöllő-DVSCadatbank.mlsz.hu · 12 Sep 2026
Debrecen is eighth in NB I with 9 points from seven matches.
Their home results are mixed, with no clear advantage at their own stadium. This could make the match more open, as they have not been dominant in front of their fans.
- Home record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss in 4 matches.
- Goals for: 4, goals against: 5.
Debrecen goalkeeper Plamen Andreev had started five of the first six league rounds before his injury at Paks.
His condition leaves the goalkeeper selection unresolved. Benedek Erdélyi started the cup match in his place, but Andreev's status for Vasas has not been confirmed.
- DVSC confirmed that Andreev was substituted because of injury in the 5 September win at Paks.
- Gert Remmel said after Paks that the severity of Andreev's injury was still being assessed.
- The official 12 September Gödöllő-DVSC cup team sheet lists Benedek Erdélyi as goalkeeper.
To watchSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 17:50 · Europe/BucharestDVSC: Paks-DVSC match reportdvsc.hu · 5 Sep 2026MLSZ: goalkeeper usage after six league roundsvalogatott.staging.mlsz.hu · 2 Sep 2026MLSZ match record: Gödöllő-DVSCadatbank.mlsz.hu · 12 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1 St Half Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Vasas SC

1.40fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 71%

0.0ppshort

Vasas SC's strong first-half record and Debrecen's tendency to trail at the break make a Vasas lead or draw at half-time the more likely outcome.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC's stronger overall record and Debrecen's mediocre home form give the visitors a slight edge, though Debrecen's home advantage keeps it close.
- Vasas SC away record: 1W-1D-1L, 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 away matches
- Debrecen home record: 1W-2D-1L, 4 goals scored, 5 conceded in 4 home matches
- Vasas SC overall form: 3W-2D-2L, 13 goals scored, 9 conceded in 7 matches
- Debrecen overall form: 2W-3D-2L, 10 goals scored, 11 conceded in 7 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVasas SCEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Debrecen's home form has been inconsistent with two draws, while Vasas SC have been competitive away, making a Vasas win or draw the more likely combined outcome.
- Debrecen home record: 1W-2D-1L, 4 goals scored, 5 conceded in 4 home matches
- Vasas SC away record: 1W-1D-1L, 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 away matches
- Debrecen overall form: 2W-3D-2L, 10 goals scored, 11 conceded in 7 matches
- Vasas SC overall form: 3W-2D-2L, 13 goals scored, 9 conceded in 7 matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Vasas SCEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC have been strong in first halves, but Debrecen's home advantage and the overall competitive balance make a drawn first half a plausible outcome.
- Debrecen first half results in last 5 matches: 2W, 1D, 2L
- Vasas SC first half results in last 5 matches: 3W, 2D, 0L
- Debrecen average first half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded
- Vasas SC average first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.2 conceded
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC's superior second-half scoring and Debrecen's tendency to fade after the break give the visitors an edge in the second period.
- Vasas SC average second half goals: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded
- Debrecen average second half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded
- Vasas SC second half results in last 5 matches: 3W, 1D, 1L
- Debrecen second half results in last 5 matches: 1W, 2D, 2L
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonVasas SCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Vasas SC win is a plausible sequence given Vasas SC's second-half strength and Debrecen's tendency to draw first halves.
- Debrecen first half results: 13% leading, 47% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC first half results: 47% leading, 13% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC overall win rate: 43% (3 wins in 7 matches)
- Debrecen overall draw rate: 43% (3 draws in 7 matches)
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Vasas SCEstimated chance22%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team has shown consistent dominance in both halves, making it highly unlikely that either side will win both halves.
- Debrecen first half results: 13% leading, 47% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC first half results: 47% leading, 13% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen second half results: 20% winning, 40% losing (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC second half results: 47% winning, 20% losing (last 15 matches)
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC's strong first-half record and Debrecen's tendency to trail at the break make a Vasas lead or draw at half-time the more likely outcome.
- Vasas SC first half results: 47% leading, 13% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen first half results: 13% leading, 47% trailing (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.2 conceded
- Debrecen average first half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Vasas SCEstimated chance65%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency for goals, with Vasas SC's high scoring average and Debrecen's defensive vulnerabilities suggesting a match with at least three goals.
- Debrecen average goals per match: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average goals per match: 2.2 scored, 1.2 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen home matches: 4 goals scored, 5 conceded in 4 matches (avg 2.25 total)
- Vasas SC away matches: 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 matches (avg 2.33 total)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been consistently finding the net while also conceding, making it likely that each side will score in this encounter.
- Debrecen scored in 5 of their last 7 matches
- Vasas SC scored in 6 of their last 7 matches
- Debrecen conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches
- Vasas SC conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown the ability to score in the first half, and Debrecen's tendency to concede early increases the likelihood of a first-half goal.
- Debrecen average first half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.2 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen first half goals in last 5 matches: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- Vasas SC first half goals in last 5 matches: 3 scored, 1 conceded
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC's strong second-half scoring record and Debrecen's defensive lapses after the break suggest a decent chance of multiple second-half goals, though confidence is limited.
- Debrecen average second half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average second half goals: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen second half goals in last 5 matches: 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Vasas SC second half goals in last 5 matches: 5 scored, 3 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vasas SC's strong first-half defense and Debrecen's modest first-half scoring make it unlikely that both teams will score before the break.
- Debrecen average first half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded
- Vasas SC average first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.2 conceded
- Debrecen first half goals in last 5 matches: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- Vasas SC first half goals in last 5 matches: 3 scored, 1 conceded
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Debrecen's high corner count at home could push the total over 9.5, but Vasas SC's low corner numbers make this a low-confidence call.
- Debrecen average corners: 8.3 per match (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average corners: 3.3 per match (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen home corners in last 4 home matches: 7, 15, 6, 13 (avg 10.25)
- Vasas SC away corners in last 3 away matches: 7, 1, 2 (avg 3.33)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined shots on target averages suggest a total around 7-8, making over 8.5 a borderline call with low confidence.
- Debrecen average shots on target: 4.1 per match (last 15 matches)
- Vasas SC average shots on target: 3.3 per match (last 15 matches)
- Debrecen shots on target in last 5 matches: 6, 8, 2, 6, 2 (avg 4.8)
- Vasas SC shots on target in last 5 matches: 5, 3, 2, 2, 3 (avg 3.0)
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance50%