Union Omaha
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 55%
Union Omaha's unbeaten home record and Spokane's poor away form give the hosts a clear edge, supported by the structural home/away signal.
USL League OneFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Union Omaha's unbeaten home record and Spokane's poor away form make the hosts likely winners, but the best value is the double chance (Union Omaha or Draw) at 1.33 with a 6.8-point edge.
Avoid overpriced markets like Both Teams to Score and first-half Over 0.5 goals, where the odds leave no cushion.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Union OmahaMarket 48.8% · BetBugs 55%
Union Omaha's unbeaten home record and Spokane's poor away form give the hosts a clear edge, supported by the structural home/away signal.
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 82%
Given Union Omaha's unbeaten home record, the double chance of home win or draw is highly likely.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Combined average of 3.0 goals per match and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities support Over 2.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 70% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
Union Omaha has fulfilled 1 of 5 recent win projections, a 20% success rate. The expected number of wins based on estimated probabilities was 2.4, indicating underperformance. Notably, all three away projections failed, while the only home win came at a 45% probability.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union OmahaPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 45-28 | 52 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity FCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33-28 | 39 |

