Over 0.5
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams have scored or conceded in the first half in the majority of their recent matches, and H2H history shows first-half goals in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Spokane Velocity FC are strong favorites to avoid defeat at home, where they've won seven of eight this season, but the best betting value is on both teams to score (edge: +4.4pts) given both sides' consistent scoring and conceding patterns.
Avoid the match winner market due to no edge and the first-half both teams to score 'No' at short odds, which is mispriced relative to current form.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams have scored or conceded in the first half in the majority of their recent matches, and H2H history shows first-half goals in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Spokane consistently score at home but also concede, while Madison have found the net in most away games; the pattern points to both teams getting on the scoresheet.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 77%
Spokane's near-perfect home record (7-0-1) and Madison's road struggles make a home loss highly unlikely; the double chance covers both a win and a draw.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17-17 | 23 |
| 8 | Forward MadisonPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21-14 | 20 |

