Richmond Kickers11 – 1Chattanooga Red Wolves1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga's superior overall record and away form, combined with Richmond's poor defensive record, make the visitors favourites despite Richmond's home advantage.

• Chattanooga away record: 5W-1D-5L, 19 goals for, 21 against in 11 away matches
• Richmond home record: 4W-3D-4L, 12 goals for, 13 against in 11 home matches
• Richmond overall: 5W-4D-14L, 21 goals for, 45 against; Chattanooga overall: 12W-2D-9L, 44 goals for, 36 against
• Last 5 H2H: Chattanooga won 5-0 away in May 2026; Richmond won 2-0 at home in July 2025

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostChattanooga Red WolvesEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga's superior second half performance suggests they are more likely to win the second half.

• Chattanooga second half goal difference: +0.2 per match; Richmond second half goal difference: -0.4 per match
• Chattanooga have won 12 matches overall, often with strong second halves
• Richmond have lost 14 matches, many with second half collapses

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostChattanooga Red WolvesEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half time followed by a Chattanooga win is a plausible scenario given both teams' first half tendencies and Chattanooga's stronger second half.

• Richmond draw at half time in 27% of matches; Chattanooga draw at half time in 26%
• Chattanooga win full time in 52% of matches
• Combined probability of draw at HT and Chattanooga win at FT is moderate

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Chattanooga Red WolvesEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga winning both halves is possible but not highly probable given the competitive nature of the league.

• Chattanooga have won both halves in some matches, but data not directly available
• Richmond have rarely won both halves
• Chattanooga's overall dominance suggests possibility

BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostChattanooga Red WolvesEstimated chance20%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high-scoring tendencies, especially Chattanooga away and Richmond's leaky defense, supporting over 2.5 goals.

• Richmond average goals conceded per match: 2.1; Chattanooga average goals scored per match: 1.7
• Richmond home matches average total goals: 2.27; Chattanooga away matches average total goals: 3.64
• Last 5 H2H total goals: 5, 2, 0, 3, 4 (average 2.8)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

First half scoring has been moderate for both teams, with a combined average around 1.5, making over 1.5 a borderline call.

• Richmond first half goals average: 0.3; first half goals conceded average: 1.1
• Chattanooga first half goals average: 0.7; first half goals conceded average: 0.9
• Combined first half average goals: 1.5

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in the second half, with a combined average above 1.5, supporting over 1.5 second half goals.

• Richmond second half goals average: 0.6 (total 0.9 - first half 0.3); second half conceded average: 1.0 (2.1 - 1.1)
• Chattanooga second half goals average: 1.0 (1.7 - 0.7); second half conceded average: 0.8 (1.7 - 0.9)
• Combined second half average goals: 1.7

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Given low first half scoring rates, both teams scoring in the first half is unlikely.

• Richmond first half goals average: 0.3; Chattanooga first half goals average: 0.7
• Combined first half goals average: 1.0
• Both teams scoring in first half is less common than in full match