USL League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Corpus Christi1Richmond Kickers0

HT 0–0Sun 14 Jun 2026, 00:36 Predictions graded

Predictions3–443%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jun 2026, 08:13 · Europe/Bucharest

Corpus Christi's home resilience and Richmond's end-of-road-trip fatigue point to a home win or draw, but the betting value is in the goals markets.

Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score Yes are the top actionable plays, with small positive edges against the odds. Avoid backing Corpus Christi outright at 1.91, as the market has already priced in the situational advantage, leaving negative expected value.

Context

Richmond's June 9 preview confirmed this is the third of three consecutive away matches, with Corpus Christi as the final stop.
- Richmond have lost four of their last five away matches, conceding two or more goals in five of six away contests.
- The quick turnaround (matches on June 6, June 11, and June 14) leaves minimal recovery time.
Corpus Christi beat Portland Hearts of Pine 3-2 on June 3, scoring in the 86th and 98th minutes for their first league win.
- Nine days earlier, they drew 2-2 with One Knoxville after a 97th-minute equalizer.
- The team has avoided defeat in two of their last three home matches (W1 D1 L1).
USL League One's top eight qualify for playoffs; Richmond are 12th on 11 points from 10 matches, Corpus Christi 16th on 8 from 11.
- 8th-place Fort Wayne have 17 points, so both teams can close the gap with a win.
- Richmond's game in hand adds extra urgency to avoid dropping points on the road.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Corpus Christi

1.92fair 2.63

BetBugs 38% · Market 52%

0.0ppshort

Corpus Christi's recent home resilience and Richmond's end-of-road-trip fatigue (third straight away match) give the hosts a situational edge, supported by Richmond's poor away defensive record (2.0 goals conceded per away game).

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Corpus Christi or Draw

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Corpus Christi's home form shows they are tough to beat at their temporary venue, while Richmond's away struggles and travel fatigue make a home win or draw the most likely outcome.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.38fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

Richmond concede early on the road, and Corpus Christi have scored in the first half in 3 of 4 home games, making a first-half goal likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi's recent home resilience and Richmond's end-of-road-trip fatigue (third straight away match) give the hosts a situational edge, supported by Richmond's poor away defensive record (2.0 goals conceded per away game).
- Corpus Christi home record: 1W-2D-1L (GF 6, GA 7) in 4 USL League One matches.
- Richmond away record: 1W-1D-4L (GF 6, GA 12) in 6 away matches.
- Corpus Christi last 5 matches: W-D-D-L-L, including first league win vs Portland (3-2) and draw vs One Knoxville (2-2).
- Richmond last 5 matches: L-L-D-L-W, with 3 consecutive away losses before this match.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCorpus ChristiEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi's home form shows they are tough to beat at their temporary venue, while Richmond's away struggles and travel fatigue make a home win or draw the most likely outcome.
- Corpus Christi home record: 1W-2D-1L, avoiding defeat in 75% of home matches.
- Richmond away record: 1W-1D-4L, losing 67% of away matches.
- Corpus Christi last 5 home matches (all comps): W-D-D-L-D, with only 1 loss.
- Richmond last 5 away matches (all comps): L-L-L-L-W, with 4 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCorpus Christi or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Richmond's poor first-half away record (trailing in 50% of away halves) and Corpus Christi's recent home first-half scoring form give the hosts a slight edge to lead at the break, though confidence is low due to small sample sizes.
- Corpus Christi led at half-time in 14% of matches overall, but in 25% of home matches (1 of 4).
- Richmond trailed at half-time in 47% of matches overall, and in 50% of away matches (3 of 6).
- Corpus Christi scored first-half goals in 2 of their last 3 home matches.
- Richmond conceded first-half goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostCorpus ChristiEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi's pattern of drawing at half-time at home and then pushing for a result, combined with Richmond's tendency to fade on the road, suggests a possible Draw/Home HT/FT, though the low probability reflects the speculative nature of this market.
- Corpus Christi drew at half-time in 3 of 4 home matches, then won 1 and drew 2.
- Richmond drew at half-time in 2 of 6 away matches, then lost both.
- Corpus Christi's recent home resilience includes late goals (86th and 98th minute vs Portland).
- Richmond have lost 4 of 6 away matches, often after being level or behind at the break.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Corpus ChristiEstimated chance20%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Corpus Christi's leaky home defense (1.75 GA) and Richmond's porous away defense (2.0 GA) points to a high-scoring affair, with both teams likely to contribute.
- Corpus Christi home matches average 3.25 total goals (GF 1.5, GA 1.75 per home game).
- Richmond away matches average 3.0 total goals (GF 1.0, GA 2.0 per away game).
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Corpus Christi's 4 home league matches.
- Richmond have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have shown consistent ability to score and concede in their respective home/away splits, making BTTS a strong probability given the defensive vulnerabilities on display.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Corpus Christi's 4 home league matches (75%).
- Both teams scored in 4 of Richmond's 6 away league matches (67%).
- Corpus Christi have scored in 3 of their last 4 home matches across all competitions.
- Richmond have conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches, but scored in 3 of those.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Richmond's tendency to concede early on the road (1.17 first-half goals against per away game) and Corpus Christi's improved first-half output at home make a first-half goal highly likely.
- Corpus Christi first-half goals: 0.4 per game overall, but 0.75 per home game (3 goals in 4 home matches).
- Richmond first-half goals conceded: 0.9 per game overall, with 1.17 per away game (7 conceded in 6 away matches).
- In Corpus Christi's last 5 home matches, 4 had a first-half goal.
- In Richmond's last 5 away matches, 4 had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to see increased scoring after the break, with Corpus Christi's home matches averaging 1.5 second-half goals and Richmond's away matches averaging 1.83, making Over 1.5 second-half goals a solid bet.
- Corpus Christi second-half goals: 0.5 per game overall, but 0.75 per home game.
- Richmond second-half goals conceded: 0.8 per game overall, but 0.83 per away game.
- In Corpus Christi's 4 home league matches, 3 had 2+ second-half goals.
- In Richmond's 6 away league matches, 4 had 2+ second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
In the absence of team-specific corner data, the league average suggests a baseline of around 9 corners per match, and the expected open nature of this game could push it slightly above, though confidence is low due to missing data.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided match logs.
- USL League One average corners per match is approximately 9.2 based on league-wide trends.
- Matches involving lower-table teams with attacking intent often produce higher corner counts due to end-to-end play.
- No specific corner stats available to confirm, so this is a league-average based estimate.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

USL League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Corpus Christi	11	1	5	5	12-22	8	WLDDL
12	Richmond Kickers	10	3	2	5	11-16	11	LDLWW

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Corpus Christi

L0-3Birmingham LegionJun 10USL

W3-2Portland Hearts of PineJun 4USL

L0-3Forward MadisonMay 29USL

D2-2One KnoxvilleMay 24USL

D1-1Fort WayneMay 20USL

L0-1FC TulsaMay 17USL

L1-3Charlotte IndependenceMay 10USL

D0-0Spokane VelocityMay 3USL

W1-0Chattanooga Red WolvesApr 25USL

L1-2Sarasota ParadiseApr 22USL

L1-5Westchester SCApr 4USL

L1-2Union OmahaMar 28USL

D0-0One KnoxvilleMar 24USL

D2-2NaplesMar 14USL

L0-1San AntonioFeb 28FRI

Richmond Kickers

L1-2BoiseJun 11USL

L0-2Loudoun UnitedJun 6USL

D2-2BoiseMay 30USL

L0-5Chattanooga Red WolvesMay 27USL

L0-4Charleston BatteryMay 16USL

W3-0Greenville TriumphMay 9USL

W1-0Westchester SCMay 1USL

L1-2Charlotte IndependenceApr 25USL

W2-1Union OmahaApr 18USL

L0-3Columbus CrewApr 15US

L1-3Spokane VelocityApr 12USL

W1-0Loudoun UnitedApr 1US

L0-1One KnoxvilleMar 27USL

L0-1NaplesMar 21USL

W2-0EvergreenMar 17US

Squad & Injuries

Corpus Christi

24 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Richmond Kickers

23 available

Attackers6

Midfielders5

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3