Kalmar FF0Djurgarden1

HT 0–0Mon 7 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 13–6On targetOn target 1–2CornersCorners 3–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Sep 2026, 06:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Djurgården are the likely winners based on form and H2H, but the odds offer no value.

The best angle is to avoid BTTS Yes, as Kalmar’s loss of Rosenquist weakens their attack and the market overprices that outcome.

Context

Kalmar FF attacker C. Rosenquist started their last league match against Halmstad on 29 August and had seven goals and one assist in 19 Allsvenskan matches this season.
Kalmar confirmed his transfer to Djurgården on 31 August, so the home side must replace a current attacking option from their latest starting XI. The departure removes a forward who was directly involved in eight league goals this season. Kalmar's attacking selection changes for this match, and the replacement will need to fill that role without the same recent starting continuity.
- Kalmar FF confirmed an agreement with Djurgårdens IF for the transfer on 31 August.
- Kalmar said he had seven goals and one assist in 19 Allsvenskan matches this season.
- Kalmar’s official report lists C. Rosenquist in the starting XI against Halmstad on 29 August.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 06:22 · Europe/BucharestKalmar FF confirms Rosenqvist transferkalmarff.se · 31 Aug 2026Kalmar FF match report at Halmstadkalmarff.se · 29 Aug 2026
Djurgarden sit third in Allsvenskan with 32 points from 18 matches. Their away record shows five wins, one draw, and two losses.
Djurgarden's away form is strong, with five wins in eight away matches. Kalmar's home record is better than their away record, with five wins in nine home games. This suggests Djurgarden may still be favourites, but Kalmar's home advantage could narrow the gap.
- Djurgarden away record: 5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 8 matches.
- Kalmar home record: 5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in 9 matches.
Djurgården play away at Mjällby on 3 September, four days before this fixture, and then have a cup tie against IFK Haninge on 10 September.
The Mjällby match can affect Djurgården's selection and freshness for the trip to Kalmar. Minutes and recovery from that league game may lead to rotation or tired legs. The schedule gives Djurgården limited recovery time before facing Kalmar, though the exact impact depends on how the Mjällby match unfolds.
- Djurgården’s official 31 August match report states that the return meeting at Strandvallen is on Thursday.
- Djurgården’s official schedule lists Mjällby away on 3 September, Kalmar away on 7 September and IFK Haninge on 10 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 06:22 · Europe/BucharestDjurgården’s Mjällby match reportwww.dif.se · 31 Aug 2026Djurgården fixture calendarwww.dif.se · 19 Aug 2026
Kalmar are 13th in the table with 19 points from 19 matches. Their recent form is LDLLD.
Kalmar's recent form is poor, with three losses and two draws in their last five league matches. Djurgarden have won three of their last five. This suggests Djurgarden are in better shape heading into this match.
- Kalmar last five league matches: L, D, L, L, D.
- Djurgarden last five league matches: W, W, L, L, W.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Djurgarden

1.78fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 56.2%

0.0ppshort

Djurgarden's superior away form and recent H2H dominance outweigh Kalmar's home advantage, making an away win the most likely single outcome.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Djurgarden

1.25fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Kalmar's poor overall form and Djurgarden's consistency make a Djurgarden win or draw highly probable.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' attacking output and recent H2H goal totals support a relatively high-scoring match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's superior away form and recent H2H dominance outweigh Kalmar's home advantage, making an away win the most likely single outcome.
- Djurgarden away record: 5W-1D-2L, 14 goals scored, 7 conceded in 8 away matches
- Kalmar home record: 5W-2D-2L, 14 goals scored, 11 conceded in 9 home matches
- Djurgarden last 5 form: WWLLW; Kalmar last 5 form: LDLLD
- H2H last 5: Djurgarden 3 wins, Kalmar 1 win, 1 draw
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDjurgardenEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kalmar's poor overall form and Djurgarden's consistency make a Djurgarden win or draw highly probable.
- Kalmar have lost 10 of 19 league matches this season
- Djurgarden have lost only 6 of 18 league matches
- Kalmar home record: 5W-2D-2L; Djurgarden away record: 5W-1D-2L
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or DjurgardenEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's superior first-half performance makes them the most likely first-half leader, though a draw remains possible.
- Djurgarden led at halftime in 67% of matches
- Kalmar led at halftime in only 40% of matches
- Djurgarden average 1.5 first-half goals vs Kalmar's 0.9
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDjurgardenEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's stronger overall squad and scoring rate suggest they are more likely to win the second half.
- Djurgarden average 1.0 second-half goals per match
- Kalmar average 0.6 second-half goals per match
- Djurgarden have a positive goal difference in second halves across recent matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDjurgardenEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's tendency to lead at halftime and win matches supports a HT/FT double, though the probability is modest.
- Djurgarden led at halftime in 67% of matches
- Djurgarden won 10 of 18 matches overall
- Kalmar lost 10 of 19 matches overall
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDjurgarden/DjurgardenEstimated chance30%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' attacking output and recent H2H goal totals support a relatively high-scoring match.
- Djurgarden average 2.5 goals scored per match overall, 1.75 away
- Kalmar average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match overall
- Djurgarden's last 5 matches: 4,3,1,0,6 goals scored
- H2H last 5 meetings produced 3,2,3,3,4 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns, making BTTS a reasonable expectation.
- Kalmar scored in 4 of last 5 home matches
- Djurgarden conceded in 3 of last 5 away matches
- Djurgarden scored in 4 of last 5 away matches
- Kalmar conceded in 4 of last 5 home matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Djurgarden's strong first-half scoring record could push the first-half total over 1.5, though Kalmar's lower output tempers confidence.
- Djurgarden average 1.5 first-half goals per match
- Kalmar average 0.9 first-half goals per match
- Djurgarden led at halftime in 67% of matches; Kalmar in 40%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half scoring averages slightly exceed 1.5, but the margin is narrow and confidence is low.
- Djurgarden average 1.0 second-half goals per match (2.5 total - 1.5 first half)
- Kalmar average 0.6 second-half goals per match (1.5 total - 0.9 first half)
- Combined average second-half goals: 1.6
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages exceed 9.5, but Kalmar's low corner count introduces uncertainty.
- Djurgarden average 6.6 corners per match, Kalmar average 3.6
- Combined average corners: 10.2
- Djurgarden's recent matches: 4,7,5,7,5 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' shots on target averages suggest a total above 8.5, though Kalmar's lower output adds risk.
- Djurgarden average 6.9 shots on target per match
- Kalmar average 3.8 shots on target per match
- Combined average shots on target: 10.7
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages are below 3.5, but match intensity and referee tendencies could push the total higher.
- Kalmar average 0.6 yellow cards per match, Djurgarden average 1.1
- Combined average yellow cards: 1.7
- Recent H2H matches have seen moderate card counts
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance50%