Under 2.5
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 60%
Last 3 H2H meetings all under 2.5 goals; both teams average moderate total goals with IFK home games at 2.43 and Kalmar away at 2.71.
AllsvenskanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back under 2.5 goals at 2.10 for a strong +12.4% edge, driven by a consistent low-scoring H2H pattern and moderate team totals.
The draw at 3.40 also offers value (+6% edge) given the stalemate history and Kalmar's poor away form, though IFK's new coach and European fatigue add risk. Avoid both teams to score and short-priced double chance markets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 60%
Last 3 H2H meetings all under 2.5 goals; both teams average moderate total goals with IFK home games at 2.43 and Kalmar away at 2.71.
Market 29% · BetBugs 35%
H2H psychology shows a draw tendency, and Kalmar's poor away form balances IFK's home struggles, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
Market 43% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have identical first-half profiles, and H2H shows no clear dominance, making a draw at the break the most balanced outcome.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 63.7% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; vig too heavy for a directional Yes play.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | IFK Gothenburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19-33 | 16 |
| 10 | Kalmar FF | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19-21 | 18 |

