Djurgarden11 – 3AIK Stockholm3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Djurgarden's strong home scoring and recent H2H win, combined with AIK's slightly weaker away defense, give the home side an edge in this derby.

• Djurgarden home record: 4W-1D-3L, 22 goals scored, 9 conceded in 8 home matches
• AIK away record: 4W-4D-1L, 15 goals scored, 12 conceded in 9 away matches
• Djurgarden won the last H2H 4-2 on 10 May 2026
• Djurgarden form last 5: LWWDW; AIK form last 5: WLDWW

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDjurgardenEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Djurgarden's solid home form and AIK's tendency to draw away make the double chance of home win or draw highly probable.

• Djurgarden home record: 4W-1D-3L (62.5% unbeaten)
• AIK away record: 4W-4D-1L (88.9% unbeaten)
• H2H last 5: 1 Djurgarden win, 2 draws, 2 AIK wins
• Djurgarden have lost only 3 of 8 home matches

BetBugs · Double ChancelostDjurgarden or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Djurgarden's superior first-half scoring and AIK's tendency to trail at the break give the home side a slight edge to lead at half-time.

• Djurgarden led at half-time in 53% of matches
• AIK trailed at half-time in 40% of matches
• Djurgarden average 1.4 first-half goals vs AIK's 0.5
• Djurgarden first-half goals conceded: 0.6 vs AIK's 1.1

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDjurgardenEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Djurgarden's ability to lead at half-time and maintain the lead is plausible, but AIK's strong away resilience lowers confidence in a full HT/FT double.

• Djurgarden led at half-time in 53% of matches and won 53% overall
• AIK trailed at half-time in 40% and lost 31% overall
• Djurgarden home record: 4W-1D-3L
• AIK away record: 4W-4D-1L

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDjurgarden/DjurgardenEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and the recent derby saw a high-scoring second period, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.

• Djurgarden average 0.8 second-half goals per game (2.2 total - 1.4 first half)
• AIK average 0.8 second-half goals per game (1.3 total - 0.5 first half)
• Combined second-half average: 1.6 goals
• Last H2H had 4 second-half goals (2-2 after 1-0 at half)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a high number of corners, and the recent derby saw 16 corners, making over 9.5 a reasonable but not certain outcome.

• Djurgarden average 7 corners per game, concede 4.5 opponent corners
• AIK average 5.8 corners per game, concede 5.2 opponent corners
• Combined average corners: 12.8 per game
• Last H2H: Djurgarden 9 corners, AIK 7 corners (16 total)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Djurgarden's high shot-on-target numbers, especially at home, combined with AIK's moderate output, suggest a total above 8.5 is likely.

• Djurgarden average 6.9 shots on target per game
• AIK average 4.2 shots on target per game
• Combined average: 11.1 shots on target
• Djurgarden home matches: 22 goals in 8 games (high shot volume)