BK Astrio1Astorps Ff2

HT 1–2Sun 6 Sept 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–190%

Edges4–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 5 Sep 2026, 00:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Astorps Ff are the likelier side, but the best value is the double chance (Draw or Astorps Ff) at 1.36, which offers a small positive edge.

Avoid the straight away win and over 2.5 goals, as the odds leave no cushion.

Context

BK Astrio are 14th in Division 2 Västra Götaland with 6 points from 19 matches.
They have lost five consecutive league games, including a 6-0 home defeat to Torslanda on 9 August and a 4-2 loss at Jonsered on 30 August. Their defence has conceded 44 goals overall, the most in the division. This poor form makes them vulnerable against any opponent, though they did win their only home match of the season back in May.
- BK Astrio have lost their last five league matches.
- They lost 6-0 at home to Torslanda on 9 August 2026.
- They lost 4-2 away to Jonsered on 30 August 2026.
- They have conceded 44 goals in 19 league games, the most in the division.
Åstorp are 11th in the table with 20 points, 14 points above the relegation line.
They won 1-0 at Böljan on 14 August and 2-1 at Kongahälla on 30 May, showing they can pick up points away from home. However, they lost their most recent away game 2-1 at Landvetter IS on 30 August. Their away record is mixed with three wins, two draws and five losses, so they are not consistently strong travellers.
- Åstorp won 1-0 at Böljan on 14 August 2026.
- They won 2-1 at Kongahälla on 30 May 2026.
- They lost 2-1 at Landvetter IS on 30 August 2026.
Åstorps FF announced two senior squad additions on 2 September, with one described as mainly a full-back.
The new full-back gives Åstorp another defensive option on the flank, though the final matchday role is unconfirmed. This could influence selection and cover without guaranteeing a change to the starting lineup.
- Åstorps FF announced two players joining its senior squad for the autumn run-in on 2 September.
- The club described one of the arrivals as mainly a full-back.
ConfirmedSources checked 5 Sep 2026, 00:00 · Europe/BucharestÅstorps FF — Two additions strengthen the squadwww.astorpsff.se · 2 Sep 2026
The teams have met three times in the last two seasons, with Åstorp winning twice and one draw.
Åstorp won the most recent encounter 2-1 at home on 28 March 2026. Last season, Åstorp also won 1-0 away at BK Astrio in October 2025, while the earlier meeting in May 2025 ended 1-1. This gives Åstorp a slight historical edge, but the sample is small and both teams have changed since then.
- Åstorp beat BK Astrio 2-1 at home on 28 March 2026.
- Åstorp won 1-0 away at BK Astrio on 4 October 2025.
- The teams drew 1-1 on 29 May 2025.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Astorps Ff

1.70fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Astorps Ff's superior away form and BK Astrio's poor recent results make the away side the likelier winner.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.38fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and recent high-scoring games support over 2.5 goals, but the odds leave no value.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.20fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to concede early, making a first-half goal likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Astorps Ff's superior away form and BK Astrio's poor recent results make the away side the likelier winner.
- BK Astrio have lost their last 5 matches and sit bottom with 6 points from 19 games.
- Astorps Ff have won 3 of their last 5 away matches, scoring 16 goals in 10 away games.
- Head-to-head: Astorps Ff won the most recent meeting 2-1 in March 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAstorps FfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
BK Astrio's inability to win games makes the double chance for the away side a strong option.
- BK Astrio have only 1 win in 19 league matches this season.
- Astorps Ff have lost only 5 of 10 away matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws.
- BK Astrio have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Astorps FfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Astorps Ff's slightly better first-half record gives them a marginal edge, but the probability remains low.
- BK Astrio trail at half-time in 60% of their matches.
- Astorps Ff lead at half-time in 27% of their matches.
- Astorps Ff have won the first half in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAstorps FfEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Astorps Ff's ability to lead early and hold on is plausible but not consistent enough for high confidence.
- Astorps Ff have led at half-time and won the match in 2 of their last 10 away games.
- BK Astrio have trailed at half-time and lost in 6 of their last 10 home games.
- The most recent head-to-head saw Astorps Ff win 2-1 after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonAstorps Ff/Astorps FfEstimated chance30%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and recent high-scoring games support over 2.5 goals.
- BK Astrio concede an average of 2.7 goals per game overall and 2.1 at home.
- Astorps Ff average 1.6 goals conceded per game and have seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
- BK Astrio's last 5 matches have produced 3 or more goals in 4 of them.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown they can score while also conceding, making BTTS a reasonable outcome.
- BK Astrio have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- Astorps Ff have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches this season.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early, making a first-half goal likely.
- BK Astrio average 0.4 first-half goals and concede 1.1 first-half goals per game.
- Astorps Ff average 0.5 first-half goals and concede 1.0 first-half goals per game.
- In 4 of BK Astrio's last 5 matches, there was at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring trends are moderate, but the attacking weaknesses of BK Astrio make this a borderline call.
- BK Astrio concede an average of 1.6 goals in the second half based on recent matches.
- Astorps Ff average 1.1 goals in the second half across their last 15 matches.
- Combined second-half goal averages suggest around 2.7 goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Astorps Ff's away defensive record suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
- Astorps Ff have kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 away matches.
- BK Astrio have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- Astorps Ff concede an average of 2.0 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBK Astrio to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
BK Astrio's poor defensive record at home makes a clean sheet highly unlikely.
- BK Astrio have kept only 1 clean sheet in 9 home matches.
- BK Astrio concede an average of 2.1 goals per home game.
- Astorps Ff have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAstorps Ff to scoreEstimated chance85%