Over 2.5
Market 69% · BetBugs 78%
Thun's last 15 matches average 5.0 total goals and H2H last 5 meetings all went over 2.5, supporting a high-scoring game.
Super LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The strongest value is in the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (78% model vs 69% implied) and especially Over 1.5 second-half goals (65% vs 47.6%, +17-point edge).
Thun's high-scoring form and Lausanne's injury issues support an open game, but match winner bets offer no value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 69% · BetBugs 78%
Thun's last 15 matches average 5.0 total goals and H2H last 5 meetings all went over 2.5, supporting a high-scoring game.
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 72%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and H2H history shows both teams scored in 4 of last 5 meetings.
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 60%
Thun's high first-half goal involvement (1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded) and attacking intent suggest an open first half.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 28.6% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of ~35%; vig too heavy for a directional Over play.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ThunPlay-offs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9-14 | 6 |
| 8 | Lausanne-SportRelegation Play-offs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6-7 | 5 |

