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Predictions graded

Lausanne-Sport1Grasshopper Zurich3

HT 0–2Sat 16 May 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges5–456%

PossPossession 54%–46%ShotsShots 18–9On targetOn target 5–4CornersCorners 7–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 23:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Back both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, as recent H2Hs and season-long defensive frailties make a high-scoring affair highly likely.

The draw at 5.00 offers value given three stalemates in the last five meetings, but Zeidler’s return adds unpredictability. Avoid short-priced first-half and double chance markets where odds are inflated.

Context

Zeidler was sacked by Lausanne on 16 April and appointed by Grasshopper on 1 May.
- He knows Lausanne's squad, tactics, and weaknesses intimately.
- Emotional return could motivate Grasshopper or disrupt Lausanne's game plan.
Lausanne home: conceded in 13 of 16 matches (81%).
- Grasshopper away: conceded in 15 of 17 matches (88%).
- Both teams scored in all five recent H2Hs.
Last 5 H2H results: 3-2, 1-1, 3-1, 2-2, 2-2.
- Both teams scored in all five, over 2.5 goals in four.
- Three draws in the last five suggest a stalemate is possible.
Forebet preview framed this as a crucial relegation-group showdown.
- Both teams are in the relegation round and need points to avoid the drop.
- Lausanne's recent form is LLLWL, Grasshopper's is WLLLW – neither is safe.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Motivation/stakes are high for both relegation-threatened sides, and H2H psychology shows a recent pattern of tight, drawn encounters, making a stalemate the most likely single outcome.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 draws, 1 Lausanne win, 1 Grasshopper win.
- Lausanne home record: 5W-5D-6L; Grasshopper away record: 3W-4D-10L.
- Both teams in relegation round with similar poor form: Lausanne LLLWL, Grasshopper WLLLW.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge favors Lausanne, who are harder to beat at home, while Grasshopper's poor away defensive record makes a home win or draw likely.
- Lausanne home: unbeaten in 10 of 16 (5W-5D); Grasshopper away: lost 10 of 17.
- Last 5 H2H: Lausanne lost only 1 (away), with 2 home draws and 1 away win.
- Grasshopper away goals conceded: 37 in 17 (2.18 per game).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostLausanne-Sport or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology shows a strong pattern of first-half stalemates, and both teams' half-time records suggest neither is likely to dominate early.
- Lausanne home: led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 40%.
- Grasshopper away: led at half-time in 27% of matches, trailed in 40%.
- Last 5 H2H: half-time results: D, D, L, D, D – 4 draws.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Motivation/stakes and H2H psychology suggest a cautious, tight affair, but a full-time draw after a level first half is a low-probability specific outcome given both teams' defensive frailties.
- Last 5 H2H: 2 matches ended in draws, both with half-time draws.
- Lausanne home: 5 draws, 3 were 0-0 or 1-1 at half-time.
- Grasshopper away: 4 draws, 3 were level at the break.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology and structural home/away splits strongly point to goals at both ends, with all recent meetings seeing BTTS and both defenses conceding regularly.
- Last 5 H2H: 3-2, 1-1, 3-1, 2-2, 2-2 – both teams scored in all 5.
- Lausanne home: 28 goals for, 27 against in 16 home matches (avg 3.44 total goals).
- Grasshopper away: 18 goals for, 37 against in 17 away matches – both teams scored in 10 of 17.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance75%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology and structural home/away edge both support a high-scoring match, with recent meetings and season-long averages consistently exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Last 5 H2H: 5, 2, 4, 4, 4 total goals – 4 of 5 over 2.5.
- Lausanne home matches average 3.44 total goals; Grasshopper away matches average 3.24 total goals.
- Lausanne last 5: 3 of 5 over 2.5; Grasshopper last 5: 3 of 5 over 2.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge and H2H psychology indicate early action is common, with both teams regularly conceding in the first half and recent meetings rarely goalless at the break.
- Lausanne home first-half goals: 0.7 for, 0.7 against on average; 73% of home matches had a first-half goal.
- Grasshopper away first-half goals: 0.5 for, 0.9 against on average; 82% of away matches had a first-half goal.
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (0-0 only once).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge shows both teams are involved in high-scoring second halves, and H2H psychology confirms a trend of goals after the break.
- Lausanne home: 12 of 16 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Grasshopper away: 13 of 17 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Last 5 H2H: second-half goals totals: 3, 1, 2, 2, 2 – 4 of 5 over 1.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge shows both teams rarely score in the first half, and H2H psychology confirms a trend of one-sided or goalless opening periods.
- Lausanne home: both teams scored in first half in only 4 of 16 matches.
- Grasshopper away: both teams scored in first half in 5 of 17 matches.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in first half in only 1 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge and H2H psychology strongly indicate Lausanne will concede, given their poor defensive record at home and Grasshopper's ability to score on the road.
- Lausanne home: conceded in 13 of 16 matches (81%).
- Grasshopper away: scored in 10 of 17 matches (59%).
- Last 5 H2H: Lausanne kept no clean sheets, conceding in all 5.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGrasshopper Zurich to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge and H2H psychology strongly indicate Grasshopper will concede, given their leaky away defense and Lausanne's consistent home scoring.
- Grasshopper away: conceded in 15 of 17 matches (88%).
- Lausanne home: scored in 13 of 16 matches (81%).
- Last 5 H2H: Grasshopper kept no clean sheets, conceding in all 5.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLausanne-Sport to scoreEstimated chance80%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge and H2H psychology indicate a high corner count, with both teams averaging double-digit total corners in their respective splits and recent meetings consistently exceeding 9.5.
- Lausanne home average corners: 5.3 for, opponent 5.9 against – total 11.2.
- Grasshopper away average corners: 5.1 for, opponent 5.6 against – total 10.7.
- Last 5 H2H: corner totals: 11, 13, 13, 12, 7 – 4 of 5 over 9.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

W2-3GrasshoppersvLausanneMar 8, 2026SUP

D1-1LausannevGrasshoppersJan 24, 2026SUP

L3-1GrasshoppersvLausanneSep 14, 2025SUP

D2-2LausannevGrasshoppersFeb 22, 2025SUP

D2-2GrasshoppersvLausanneFeb 4, 2025SUP

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Super League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Lausanne-Sport Relegation Round	33	10	9	14	47-57	39	LLLWL
11	Grasshopper Zurich Relegation Round	33	6	9	18	40-65	27	WLLLW

12pt gap between teamsLausanne-Sport in relegation zoneGrasshopper Zurich in relegation zone

Recent Form

Lausanne-Sport

L0-2Servette FCMay 12SUP

L1-2FC WinterthurMay 9SUP

L1-3FC LuzernMay 2SUP

W3-0FC ZurichApr 25SUP

L0-3FC SionApr 12SUP

W2-1FC WinterthurApr 4SUP

L0-4FC LuzernMar 22SUP

L0-2BSC Young BoysMar 15SUP

W3-2GrasshoppersMar 8SUP

W2-1FC ZurichMar 4SUP

L1-2FC Basel 1893Mar 1SUP

L1-2Sigma OlomoucFeb 26UEF

L1-2FC LuganoFeb 22SUP

D1-1Sigma OlomoucFeb 19UEF

D3-3Servette FCFeb 15SUP

Grasshopper Zurich

W3-2FC WinterthurMay 12SUP

L1-2FC ZurichMay 9SUP

L0-2Servette FCMay 3SUP

L1-2FC LuzernApr 25SUP

L0-2Stade Lausanne-OuchyApr 18SCH

W2-0FC WinterthurApr 11SUP

L0-4FC SionApr 6SUP

L0-5Servette FCMar 21SUP

L1-5FC ThunMar 14SUP

L2-3LausanneMar 8SUP

L0-1FC Basel 1893Mar 5SUP

W1-0FC LuganoMar 1SUP

L1-2FC ZurichFeb 21SUP

D0-0FC ST. GallenFeb 14SUP

L3-4FC LuzernFeb 10SUP

Squad & Injuries

Lausanne-Sport

32 available

Attackers9

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Grasshopper Zurich

35 available

Attackers4

Midfielders14

Defenders14

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

Grasshopper Zurich to score

Lausanne-Sport to score

Draw

Draw

Over 0.5

No

Lausanne-Sport or Draw

Over 9.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Lausanne-Sport

Grasshopper Zurich

Squad & Injuries

Lausanne-Sport

Grasshopper Zurich