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Predictions graded

Lausanne-Sport2Young Boys Bern2

HT 0–0Sat 8 Aug 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 57%–43%ShotsShots 11–17On targetOn target 4–6CornersCorners 3–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Aug 2026, 17:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect goals in this Super League clash, with Over 3.5 goals offering strong value at 1.91 given Young Boys' explosive attack and a chaotic H2H history averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Monitor Young Boys' centre-back injuries—if Wüthrich or Zesiger miss out, Lausanne's scoring chances increase, making both teams to score even more appealing. Avoid the heavily juiced Over 2.5 line and the double-chance market on Lausanne, which offers no value.

Context

Gregory Wüthrich was withdrawn after 60 minutes and Cédric Zesiger after 76 minutes in the 1 August match, both described as carrying knocks.
- No status update has been confirmed for 8 August, making their participation a developing risk.
- Young Boys conceded 2 goals in their only home league match this season, suggesting vulnerability even with a full-strength defence.
Lausanne beat Young Boys 5-0 at home on 5 October 2025.
- They also won 3-1 away in January 2026, before Young Boys' 2-0 win in the most recent meeting.
- The last five H2H meetings have averaged 4.0 goals per game, with Lausanne scoring 11 in total.
Young Boys beat FC Sion 4-2 at home and FC Thun 6-0 away in their first two Super League matches.
- They average 5.0 goals per game and 7.4 shots on target per game over their last 15 matches.
- Under coach Gerry Seoane, they have used a flexible 4-4-2 with attacking options like Monteiro and Essende.
Lausanne's official preview frames the match as a chance to build on their unbeaten start under new coach Luka Elsner.
- The previous YB visit on 15 March drew 9,703, Lausanne's highest 2025/26 league attendance.
- Fan activities are scheduled from 16:00, indicating the club expects a strong turnout.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's dominant early-season form and clean sheet in the last H2H away win give them the edge, though Lausanne's home resilience and high-scoring H2H history introduce some uncertainty.
- Young Boys Bern have won their first 2 league matches with a +8 goal difference.
- Lausanne-Sport are unbeaten in their first 2 league matches (1W, 1D) but have only scored 2 goals.
- Young Boys Bern won the most recent H2H meeting 2-0 away at Lausanne.
- Young Boys Bern's away record this season: 1 win, 6 goals scored, 0 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYoung Boys BernEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lausanne's solid start and strong home form provide a reasonable chance to avoid defeat, though Young Boys' superior quality makes a home win less likely than a draw.
- Lausanne-Sport are unbeaten in their first 2 league matches (1W, 1D).
- Lausanne-Sport have lost only 1 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions (3W, 1D, 1L).
- Young Boys Bern have drawn 3 of their last 15 matches, including 2 away draws in friendlies.
- The last 5 H2H meetings at Lausanne's home have seen 2 home wins, 1 away win, and 2 draws.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLausanne-Sport or DrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Young Boys' strong first-half performances this season give them a slight edge to lead at the break, though Lausanne's own first-half record at home makes it a close call.
- Young Boys Bern have led at half-time in both league matches this season.
- Lausanne-Sport have led at half-time in 53% of their last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Young Boys led at half-time in 2 matches, Lausanne in 2, and 1 was drawn.
- Young Boys Bern average 1.5 first-half goals per game, while Lausanne average 0.9.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostYoung Boys BernEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Young Boys' ability to maintain intensity and their strong second-half record this season suggest they could edge the second period, but Lausanne's home resilience keeps confidence low.
- Young Boys Bern have won the second half in both league matches this season.
- Lausanne-Sport have won the second half in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Young Boys won the second half twice, Lausanne once, with 2 draws.
- Young Boys Bern's superior squad depth may give them an advantage as the game progresses.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostYoung Boys BernEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Young Boys' perfect start makes HT/FT win possible, Lausanne's home stubbornness and the mixed H2H pattern reduce the likelihood of a wire-to-wire away victory.
- Young Boys Bern have led at half-time and won both league matches this season.
- Lausanne-Sport have not lost a home league match this season (1 draw).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Young Boys led at half-time and won only once.
- Young Boys Bern's overall form is strong, but Lausanne are tough to beat at home.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostYoung Boys Bern / Young Boys BernEstimated chance35%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's explosive attack (10 goals in 2 games) combined with a high-scoring H2H history (4.0 goals per game in last 5) strongly supports Over 2.5 goals, despite Lausanne's solid defensive start.
- Young Boys Bern have scored 10 goals in their first 2 league matches this season, averaging 5.0 goals per game.
- Lausanne-Sport's last 5 home matches across all competitions have seen an average of 3.4 total goals.
- The last 5 H2H meetings have produced 3, 4, 5, 5, and 3 goals respectively, averaging 4.0 goals per game.
- Young Boys Bern's away league match this season ended 6-0, while Lausanne's home league match ended 1-1.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lausanne's consistent home scoring and Young Boys' occasional defensive lapses on the road, coupled with a H2H trend of both teams scoring in 60% of recent meetings, make BTTS likely.
- Lausanne-Sport have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Young Boys Bern have conceded in 2 of their last 3 away matches in all competitions.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in 3 matches.
- Lausanne-Sport average 1.8 goals per game over their last 15 matches, while Young Boys Bern average 2.9.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys' fast starts (5 first-half goals in 2 games) and Lausanne's tendency to score early at home suggest a lively first half, supported by H2H history.
- Young Boys Bern have scored 5 first-half goals in their last 2 league matches.
- Lausanne-Sport have scored in the first half in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Young Boys Bern average 1.5 first-half goals per game over their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede in the second half, with Young Boys' attacking depth likely to exploit tired legs, making Over 1.5 second-half goals probable.
- Young Boys Bern have scored 5 second-half goals in their last 2 league matches.
- Lausanne-Sport have conceded 4 second-half goals in their last 5 home matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Young Boys Bern average 1.4 second-half goals per game over their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown first-half scoring ability, but the low historical frequency of both scoring before the break in this fixture limits confidence.
- Young Boys Bern have scored in the first half of both league matches this season.
- Lausanne-Sport have scored in the first half in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in the first half only once.
- Lausanne-Sport average 0.9 first-half goals, while Young Boys Bern average 1.5.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostYesEstimated chance40%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages and H2H history suggest a total around 10-11 corners, making Over 9.5 a borderline call with low confidence due to limited recent corner data.
- Lausanne-Sport average 5.1 corners per game over their last 15 matches.
- Young Boys Bern average 5.1 corners per game over their last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings with corner data, total corners were 11, 11, 13, 9, and 10, averaging 10.8.
- Both teams' recent league matches have seen corner counts around the 9-11 range.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys' high shot volume, especially on the road, pushes the combined expected shots on target above 8.5, though Lausanne's lower output and data gaps in friendlies introduce uncertainty.
- Young Boys Bern average 7.4 shots on target per game over their last 15 matches.
- Lausanne-Sport average 4.4 shots on target per game over their last 15 matches.
- In Young Boys' last away league match, they had 16 shots on target.
- Combined, the teams average 11.8 shots on target per game based on their 15-match averages.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 74.1% leaves no cushion vs our 75% estimate; odds too short for a HIGH confidence play.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

W0-2LausannevBSC Young BoysMar 15, 2026SUP

W1-3BSC Young BoysvLausanneJan 17, 2026SUP

L5-0LausannevBSC Young BoysOct 5, 2025SUP

L3-2LausannevBSC Young BoysMay 3, 2025SUP

L3-0BSC Young BoysvLausanneMar 8, 2025SUP

Young Boys Bern: 2 clean sheets3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Super League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Lausanne-Sport Play-offs	2	1	1	0	2-1	4	WD
1	Young Boys Bern Play-offs	2	2	0	0	10-2	6	WW

2pt gap between teamsYoung Boys Bern leads the league

Recent Form

Lausanne-Sport

W1-0FC Basel 1893Aug 1SUP

L0-4Saint EtienneJul 29FRI

D1-1GrasshoppersJul 25SUP

W3-0Yverdon SportJul 18FRI

L1-2Neuchatel Xamax FCJul 11FRI

W2-1BreitenrainJul 11FRI

L0-2FlamengoJul 8FRI

W1-0Étoile CarougeJul 4FRI

W3-0La Sarraz-EclépensJun 27FRI

W9-0RenensJun 20FRI

L1-3GrasshoppersMay 16SUP

L0-2Servette FCMay 12SUP

L1-2FC WinterthurMay 9SUP

L1-3FC LuzernMay 2SUP

W3-0FC ZurichApr 25SUP

Young Boys Bern

W6-0FC ThunAug 1SUP

W4-2FC SionJul 26SUP

W5-0Étoile CarougeJul 18FRI

W5-3PlzenJul 10FRI

W2-0Metalist 1925 KharkivJul 5FRI

D0-0Austria LustenauJul 1FRI

D3-3FC SionMay 17SUP

W8-3FC ThunMay 14SUP

W3-0FC Basel 1893May 10SUP

L0-1FC LuganoMay 3SUP

L1-2FC ST. GallenApr 26SUP

D1-1Servette FCApr 12SUP

D3-3FC Basel 1893Apr 4SUP

D1-1FC LuganoMar 22SUP

W2-0LausanneMar 15SUP

Squad & Injuries

Lausanne-Sport

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Young Boys Bern

29 available

Attackers3

Midfielders11

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 3.5

Young Boys Bern

Young Boys Bern

Yes

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 2.5

Lausanne-Sport or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Lausanne-Sport

Young Boys Bern

Squad & Injuries

Lausanne-Sport

Young Boys Bern