Lausanne-Sport
Market 32.3% · BetBugs 45%
Lausanne-Sport are unbeaten in their last 3 league matches while FC Luzern have lost 2 of 3 and conceded 8 goals, giving the visitors a clear edge at a generous price.
Super LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Lausanne-Sport to win at 3.10 (45% model vs 32% implied) or the double chance Draw/Lausanne at 1.80 (70% vs 56%).
Avoid the over 2.5 and BTTS Yes markets as they are overpriced; the second-half over 1.5 at 2.00 offers a small edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Lausanne-SportMarket 32.3% · BetBugs 45%
Lausanne-Sport are unbeaten in their last 3 league matches while FC Luzern have lost 2 of 3 and conceded 8 goals, giving the visitors a clear edge at a generous price.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 70%
FC Luzern have failed to win any of their last 3 league matches and Lausanne-Sport have avoided defeat in all 3 this season, making the double chance strongly underpriced.
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and H2H record shows consistent over 1.5 second-half goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 52% leaves no cushion vs our 35% estimate; the price is too short given Luzern's poor defensive form.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC LuzernRelegation Play-offs | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1 |
| 6 | Lausanne-SportPlay-offs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-3 | 5 |

